mrdaddyman

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Everything posted by mrdaddyman

  1. From what I understand, the Hi Res Euro has 9 Km resolution. Doesn't sound like too much of a slouch to me.
  2. In other words, if you live inside the dotted line, just flip a coin.
  3. I think you're being generous for our area.
  4. Believe me, you don't want to see it. The track was further South but it's trip up the coast after that is not a good track for us.
  5. I agree. I'm not buying the GEFS nor EPS means for Wake/Johnston area one bit. We will be looking at an inch of slop with heavy cold rain after that. I need to keep those maps to compare to on Monday. Seen it dozens of times before. Dearth of the -NAO the last few years makes it all dependent on timing in our area of NC so that the cold air and precip get here in unison. There's nothing to lock the cold air in and that doesn't work out 99% of the time for us. LP needs to track further SE. We are too far East for the CAD to save us.
  6. LOL. That model needs to be tossed out on it's head.
  7. Come on Frosty. You always end up shoveling snow.
  8. Let's hope so!You should be fine where your at. My area is going to have a hard time with 2m temps. Maybe rates will overcome.
  9. There's no way that much of NC gets snow out of this storm especially SE of RDU. The 3K NAM has done a good job this winter but I think it's off it's rocker tonight. There's just not enough cold air available for it to work with.
  10. Unless you sleepwalked about 100 miles NW while hibernating it's going to be a cold rain.
  11. Yeah, it's not a good track for RDU and points SE. Starts out good over extreme southern Alabama but then makes a beeline for Wilmington. Needs to track about 75 - 100 miles further SE. Not much cold or dry air to work with either. Edit: I smell a 35 degree driving cold rain with this one outside of the mountains and Northern NC into VA.
  12. It does for us for sure. Take comfort in the fact that they will all look totally different in about 2 hours from now.
  13. Maine is ALWAYS the big winner, every winter.
  14. The mountains probably have a decent chance at something else before the winter's over.
  15. A lot of talk on here today about the "irrelevant" GFS model.
  16. Doesn't give us much time. Average temps are climbing by that time.
  17. Great post Grit. We sure do look to have a favorable pattern coming up in a couple weeks and maybe it will stick around for a while. Hopefully most on this board will be able to score big!
  18. I know it's a ways out but that looks like some serious suppression with that push of cold air so we might be back to square one where it just shoved everything South. We'll see.
  19. Hey CR. If those snow shields keep dropping we might have a chance again soon!