OceanStWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'm somewhat impressed with the way round 2 looks right now down to the southwest in the Delmarva and Mid-Atlantic...given that the sleet line is already collapsing back SE...there could be some nice bonus snows for many...esp in eastern areas where the backlash should be heaviest. I wonder if BOS can end with over 12". Seems like a very good possibility. RAP now suggesting 850 pops a new height contour around 18z right over SNE. We're probably seeing the result of that deepening going on right now across northern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 nice sucker hole movie into northern Connecticut now, no taint here at all just pretty decent snow growth being close to the line a little while ago, will be out to get a measurement during the dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 1030 BOX Update. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...1030 AM UPDATE...*/ HIGHLIGHTS...- MAJOR WINTER STORM CONTINUES WITH HEAVY SNOW FOR MOST LOCATIONS- MIX OF SLEET / FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE SOUTH-COAST- CHANGEOVER TO RAIN ACROSS THE OUTER-CAPE AND ISLANDS- AS THE STORM SWEEPS OUT...CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW- CONTINUED IMPACTS TO TRAVEL INTO THIS AFTERNOON / EVENING*/ OVERVIEW...CHALLENGING FORECAST TO SAY THE LEAST...ESPECIALLY WITH REGARDS TO2M TEMPERATURES. CONDITIONS TURNING COLDER ACROSS THE HUDSON / CT-RIVER VALLEY AS THE LOW EMERGES OFF THE COAST OF NJ AND THE WINDSENHANCE IN CONCERT WITH THE ISALLOBARIC RESPONSE. MEANWHILE TO THEE CONDITIONS ARE WARMING AND THE COASTAL FRONT ACROSS IMMEDIATE EMA TOWARDS SE RI IS TIGHTENING. ENHANCEMENT OF THE LOW PER THEEMERGENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL IMPULSE IS AMPLIFYING THE S-FLOW ALONGAND AHEAD. CAN CLEARLY SEE THE WARM LAYER AROUND 3-4 KFT SLOWINGTO THE N PER CORRELATION-COEFFICIENT VIA DUAL-POL. MODEL GUIDANCEIS IN GOOD CONSENSUS...BUT WHEN HANDLING THE SMALL FINE-SCALEDETAILS...IT IS NOT DOING SO WELL. HAS BEEN CHALLENGING TO UPDATETHE FORECAST...WHICH HAS BEEN FOR THE MOST PART BEEN PRETTY GOOD.JUST THE SMALL NUANCES OF THE MIXING LINES / COASTAL FRONTS AS TOTHEIR PROXIMITY. ITS NOT EASY. DOING THE BEST WE CAN. SO WILL HITTHE DETAILS WITHIN THE HIGHLIGHTS BELOW:*/ PTYPE AND SNOWFALL...IMMEDIATE S-COAST INTO THE SE COASTAL PLAIN OF MA HAS OR WILL SEEA CHANGEOVER TO A MIX OF SNOW / SLEET / FREEZING RAIN INTO THEMIDDAY HOURS. RAIN ANTICIPATED FOR THE CAPE / ISLANDS. TWO LINESOF DIFFERENTIATION ALREADY SETTING UP: THE WARM LAYER ALOFT AT 3-4KFT AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...AND THE COASTAL FRONT. IT IS TO THEN AND W OF THESE LINES IT WILL REMAIN AS ALL SNOW. IT IS LIKELYTHE LINES WILL WOBBLE AND THERE MAY BE CHANGES AS FAR N AS THE MA-PIKE AND NW-CORRIDOR OF THE 495-BELTWAY. AFTER THE MIDDAY HOURS...WILL SEE A CHANGE-BACK TO SNOW AS THE STORM EXITS E AND NW-WINDSFOLLOW USHERING COLDER AIR THROUGH ALL-LEVELS BACK INTO THE REGIONDURING WHICH TIME AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO ACCUM IS POSSIBLE.NONE OF THE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN HELPFUL IN CONSENSUSLY FORECASTINGOUTCOMES. HAVE GONE WITH THE PRIOR 2M TEMPERATURE FORECAST WHILEUSING WET-BULB WEIGHTING. THIS HAS THE MIXING LINE AS FAR N ASHARTFORD-WORCESTER-BOSTON.OTHERWISE CONTINUED OVERRUNNING SETUP RESULTING IN HEAVY AMOUNTSOF PRECIP INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. NOTED BY THE PRIOR FORECASTERSTRONG H85 FRONTOGENESIS ALONG A TIGHT THERMAL GRADIENT WITHPARENT -EPV SIGNAL AND WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF FAIRLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-3"/HOUR WITH NEAR- BLIZZARDCONDITIONS /ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE E-NE SHORELINE OF MA/ AREANTICIPATED. CAN NOT RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL OF THUNDERSNOW.SNOW AMOUNTS AROUND AND N OF HARTFORD-BOSTON-PROVIDENCE EXPECTEDTO BE AROUND 10 TO 14 INCHES. LESSER AMOUNTS S WITH MIXING OFSLEET / FREEZING RAIN WHICH WILL AMOUNT UP AROUND 0.1 TO 0.2INCHES. AREA OF BEST ICE ACCRETION / ACCUMULATION EXPECTED FROM SRI INTO SE MA. AMOUNTS AROUND 4 TO 8 INCHES...LOWEST OVER THEISLANDS AROUND 2 TO 4 INCHES.*/ STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...GUSTY WINDS BEING OBSERVED ALL ALONG THE E/NE MA COASTLINE. NEAR-TO FULL-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS BEING OBSERVED WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40MPH. POOR VISIBILITY IS OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SOTHROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAVE ADDRESSED THESE HAZARDS THROUGH ASPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...BUT WILL NOT BE GOING WITH A FULL-ONBLIZZARD WARNING AS CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE SPORADIC ANDBRIEF.*/ TOWARDS TONIGHT...A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FREEZE IS LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE MA ANDCAPE/ISLANDS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AS THE COASTAL FRONTMOVES THROUGH AND TEMPS PLUMMET FROM THE 30S DOWN TO TEENS IN THEMATTER OF JUST 2-3 HOURS. THIS COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ONTRAVEL LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WET/SLUSHY ROADSQUICKLY TURNING TO ICE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantR Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 7" sticking a tape measure into the snow on the deck just now. Most of the snow this morning is that very fine stuff, but we've had a few spells of the really big fluffy flakes recently. Those are my favorite, I love the depth of field that gives while watching the snow fall. I'm "working from home" today, which translates into staring out the windows entirely too much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 lol you there? No. One of my FD members plows for the town and my daughter is working Amb today so they are keeping me updated. Pics are nice, but I am enjoying my 70 degree morning while I live vicariously through you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Getting a lot of periods of meh -SN up here. Up to 4.0" and 4.7F. Radar shows a massive hole over us, but it's still a steady 3/4-1SM -SN apparently under the beam. Annoying wind though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'm somewhat impressed with the way round 2 looks right now down to the southwest in the Delmarva and Mid-Atlantic...given that the sleet line is already collapsing back SE...there could be some nice bonus snows for many...esp in eastern areas where the backlash should be heaviest. I wonder if BOS can end with over 12". Seems like a very good possibility.yes that's got my interest as peeps nw of me flipped back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Seems like the sleet line is retreating SE in northern Jersey. I have a feeling that if we get heavier precip moving into CT, we'll flip to snow in the next hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Sleet/Snow mix still, measured 6" a few hours ago probably have another inch maybe of sleet mix. 14°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Little bit of a lull now with just flurries as round 2 races NE from W CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 how much do you have in Middletown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Nice GUSTY WINDS BEING OBSERVED ALL ALONG THE E/NE MA COASTLINE. NEAR- TO FULL-BLIZZARD CONDITIONS BEING OBSERVED WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH. POOR VISIBILITY IS OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAVE ADDRESSED THESE HAZARDS THROUGH A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...BUT WILL NOT BE GOING WITH A FULL-ON BLIZZARD WARNING AS CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE SPORADIC AND BRIEF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Just crushing here atm! Great flakes. SN++ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I wish it were true, but I think snow accumulation is pretty much done here after 2-3 inches. Oh well.ya we got screwed pretty bad here on the south shore of RI. Oh well. You win some, you lose some (even though you lose more on the S Coast). Still shouldn't complain though as this puts me close to 30" on the season (26" in the last 7 days). Sure looks and feels wintry out there! Maybe we'll pick up an inch or two later this evening once we flip back to SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Radar says another 3-6 for most of us this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I wish it were true, but I think snow accumulation is pretty much done here after 2-3 inches. Oh well.ya we got screwed pretty bad here on the south shore of RI. Oh well. You win some, you lose some (even though you lose more on the S Coast). Still shouldn't complain though as this puts me close to 30" on the season (26" in the last 7 days). Sure looks and feels wintry out there! Maybe we'll pick up an inch or two later this evening once we flip back to SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Little bit of a lull now with just flurries as round 2 races NE from W CTso what 7 for you so far ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Radar says another 3-6 for most of us this afternoon I like the back building to the sw but looks like it gets areas east of 91 better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'm somewhat impressed with the way round 2 looks right now down to the southwest in the Delmarva and Mid-Atlantic...given that the sleet line is already collapsing back SE...there could be some nice bonus snows for many...esp in eastern areas where the backlash should be heaviest. I wonder if BOS can end with over 12". Seems like a very good possibility. Very cool squall line over Delaware-NJ, moving at nearly a right angle to the other echoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 so what 7 for you so far ? Yeah..I'm holding out some outside hope round 2 produces 5 to get to 12..but that seems like a bit of a reach..We'll see..It's racing in shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Back to heavy snow in Woodstock, sleeting line heading SE Still light sleet. Almost looks like nothing is falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 8.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 About 8" as of 11:00 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 11:17, TAN reporting -RA now. SPECI KTAN 021617Z AUTO VRB06KT 4SM -RA BR OVC008 01/M01 A2951 RMK AO2 UPB1554E06RAB06SNE1554 CIG 006V010 PRESFR P0002 T00061011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 11:17, TAN reporting -RA now. SPECI KTAN 021617Z AUTO VRB06KT 4SM -RA BR OVC008 01/M01 A2951 RMK AO2 UPB1554E06RAB06SNE1554 CIG 006V010 PRESFR P0002 T00061011 Now sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Now sleet. Been a good fight by the cold down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 7.5 to be exact Steve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Looks like about 6" total here so far, but haven't officially measured yet. It's dumping dendrites now, but much of the night it was this meh 3/4 mile visibility fine sand-like snow. I think there may have been some localized shadowing going on. Hopefully we make up some ground in this band now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 7.5 to be exact Steveimpressive stuff to our sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 impressive stuff to our sw It's on my doorstep..Let's hope it pounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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