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wxmanmitch

Meteorologist
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About wxmanmitch

  • Birthday February 22

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KPSF
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Heartwellville, VT: 2,230' ASL

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  1. wxmanmitch

    Nov 15/16 regionwide event

    The west slope midlevel warm tongue of doom is showing up on a lot of the models. The NAM is the most robust with it and even gives me a lot of pingers. It's possible that a place like Granville, MA gets more snow than Granville, NY with this setup as the latter location gets a sleet fest while the former stays snow longer despite the latitude difference.
  2. wxmanmitch

    NNE Fall Thread

    About an inch or so of slush beginning to freeze up, 30.6° F. It poured rain at 33-34° F for several hours. Latitude FTL. Davis recorded 0.64", but I think we got > 1" as there's still some snow atop the bucket. I was combing through local ASOS obs and there was no snow recorded at PSF, but both ALB and DDH did go to brief snow after starting as rain and then wet bulbing. AQW was offline earlier, but there was still a little bit of slush in North Adams, even on the valley floor at 650'. I was later down by Pittsfield and went over a hill on the north side of town at 1,350' and there was no hint of snow. As such this was a 80% a latitude gradient and 20% elevation one.
  3. wxmanmitch

    NNE Fall Thread

    I had a quick 2.3" before changeover to freezing rain just after 4 AM. Now just a 33° F rain and everything is slush. It's not really enough to snow blow and it's going to be a skating rank later today once the cold gets here. This event definitely was less elevation and more latitude dependent than last Friday's. Very little wind too, so orographic effects are pretty much nil this go around.
  4. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    Tonight looks colder in the low levels than Friday's event here. I think timing is in my favor as I'm now getting some radiational cooling under a thin cirrostratus deck. 31.6° F with a dew point of 20° F, so I may not need to "waste" some snow QPF as 34° F slop like I did on Friday. Instead I look to start as a 30-31° F snow and possibly rip 1/2" to 1" per hour for a few hours before changing to rain around 10-11z. The other difference with this event is the fact the warm air is initially coming in the lower levels (below 850 mb) as opposed to up around 750 mb. My location does better at holding low level cold than mid level cold, so maybe if I can stay snow an hour or two longer than the HRRR depicts, I will get an extra inch or two. Regardless, I still think I get 2-3" tonight with an outside shot of 4-5".
  5. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    I'll take the 12z Euro with a side of fries please... That would be a solid 10-15" snowstorm IMBY verbatim, assuming 10:1 ratios. 18z ICON would introduce big QPF worries for NNE, but no one should be putting too much stock in a particular solution at this point. The GOOFUS seems oddly warm right now, as it seems to be doing a lot lately. The fact that there's near universal consensus for a coastal storm should be enough to get anyone excited right now. I never made it out of the 20s today with a high of 29.4° F and a low of 21.1° F. I think I'll likely get my first teens tonight. There's still about an inch of crusty snow leftover from Friday night, but by the time you get down to about 2K it's bare ground. Tuesday looks similar here with a quick 1-3", maybe 2-4" event before changing to rain.
  6. wxmanmitch

    NNE Fall Thread

    33.5° F and light drizzle. Drip, drip, drip... Whatever's left of my 2.5" will likely be a small glacier by tomorrow AM. Not a bad appetizer before what will hopefully be an all you can eat buffet this winter.
  7. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    Over to sleet now. 2.5" on the board, so not quite snow blower threshold. It was fun while it lasted...
  8. wxmanmitch

    NNE Fall Thread

    +SN, 32.1° F. Probably 1-2" per hour stuff. You can see the high CCs dip south on the east slope to about the Mass Pike right now, which could be good for me if I can keep it snow a bit longer. Gusty E to SE wind is plastering the snow against the trees in said direction.
  9. wxmanmitch

    NNE Fall Thread

    Dumping...about 1/2" OTG. 32.5° F. We'll see how long I can keep the party going until the midlevel warmth gets here.
  10. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    We snow. Moderate to at times heavy snow now. 32.5° F. Around 1/2" down.
  11. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    Light snow, 33.0° F. Started as straight snow and is now sticking too. HRRR rips me until 00-01z at which point we flip to IP due to midlevel warmth. This morning's low of 26° F definitely helped to cool the surface skin temperatures a bit.
  12. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    This is suddenly beginning to pique my interest here above 2K. It's going to a battle between the WAA aloft near 700-750 mb, the surface, and the dynamical cooling resulting from the heavy precipitation. I'm more concerned about the midlevel warmth...if I can overwhelm that, it'll snow parachutes down here at the surface. Mesos keep me wet snow for several hours before flipping to cold rain and then ending as some upslope snow showers Saturday AM. I may have a glacier by then if we snow, rain, and snow/freeze. Snow blower is gassed up and ready to go just in case.
  13. wxmanmitch

    Fall Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018

    I was treated to this spectacular pink/lavender sky at sunset just as the last of the rain was departing. It only lasted a few minutes, but it was easily one of the most surreal shows I've seen put on by Mother Nature. Everything was bathed in this color, which the photo doesn't pick up too well. Absolutely incredible!
  14. wxmanmitch

    November discussion

    Neither...why pay Ryan Maue when you have so many people (weenies and mets) posting images on social media sites like Twitter where you can see them for free?
  15. wxmanmitch

    Fall Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018

    Interesting...I never bothered to count the rings, but noted that they were pretty wide compared to other species I've cut, indicating that fir is a fast growing species. The upper part of the tree where the newer growth was had the widest rings. I have some larger firs on the property, one of which died a couple years ago by the road. It is a bit more than the diameter of my 16" chainsaw and leans toward the power lines, so I don't feel comfortable tackling it on my own. I will need to hire a tree service for that one or else ma nature could bring it down onto the wires.
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