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wxmanmitch

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wxmanmitch

  1. wxmanmitch

    NNE Winter Thread

    Figured I'd go ahead and do the honors of starting a winter NNE thread since today's the first day of met winter. Hopefully it'll continue to deliver like November did for us. I'm at 40.5" for the season, which is awesome for 12/1. Depth is down to around 20" or so after some compaction. HRRR wants to give us some front end goods overnight before flipping to mix and then rain. NAM on the other hand starts me as straight ZR, but still drops some snow to the north.
  2. wxmanmitch

    NNE Winter Thread

    Had 0.4" of snow earlier this morning. Ended as some light freezing rain/drizzle. Now it's 35.4° and mostly cloudy.
  3. wxmanmitch

    February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs

    6.0" snow/sleet total here. There must have been some freezing drizzle mixed in overnight as it got a bit crusty on top. Very dense, there's probably at least an inch of water in this stuff, but the snow blower handled it okay.
  4. wxmanmitch

    February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs

    4.8" of new snow/sleet. Sleet with pixie dust. Latitude FTL. Temperature creeping upward, now at 17.6° F. The winds have slacked off. Still breezy, but we're not getting the freight train sound from above with the occasional gusts to 30+ MPH anymore.
  5. wxmanmitch

    February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs

    The NAM didn't have us getting much more than 4-5". Maybe we get a little upslope action on the backside tomorrow AM? 4.5" or so now, heavy sleet. The wind has definitely been a under appreciated/forecast part of this storm. Classic freight train sound coming from just above the surface. Perpendicular winds to the mountains + high inversion = wind.
  6. wxmanmitch

    February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs

    Transition to sleet occurring, so yes, I ping before BOS. Around 4" or so. Winds gusting to at least 30 MPH. 12.4° F.
  7. wxmanmitch

    February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs

    Still snow for now, but pingers are encroaching from the W and S per the dual pol. The wind is really cranking with gusts into the 30 MPH range out of the ESE, which is blowing this fine snow all over the place. I wonder if I can generate some low level snow beneath the inversion once the sleet moves in. I've seen it before here and ESE wind is perpendicular to the mountains.
  8. wxmanmitch

    February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs

    2.5" and heavy snow. Typical SWFE meager snow growth. Super cold at 10° F though.
  9. wxmanmitch

    Winter Re-Awakening - February 12-14th Redeveloper

    I like the look of the Euro and GFS, but I'm always nervous when the meso models show so much warming aloft. I know this event is still a bit beyond the NAM's wheelhouse, but it can't be discounted, especially the way so many storms have gone this winter. Besides it's pretty common for SWFE to trend warmer as we get closer.
  10. wxmanmitch

    NNE Winter Thread

    I had about 1/4 to 1/3" of glaze here. Just below damage threshold, but the birches and evergreens were sagging and bending a bit. I put a couple of pics up in the other thread. I've been rotting at 32-33° F all day and foggy while the west slope has been 45-50° F and partly cloudy. Even Woodford has been flirting with 40° F. Incredible difference over such as short distance! The mesoscale nuances here in the Green Mountains never cease to amaze me. You can actually see the downslope clearing on the GOES 16 image today. Pretty neat.
  11. wxmanmitch

    Feb 6-7 icing

    I rot at 33° F and fog while Bennington on the other side of the mountain is 45°+ F with partly cloudy skies! What a drastic difference! It has tried to clear with the silhouette of the sun poking through the fog at times, but it has not succeeded. Even Woodford has been flirting with 40° F. There's still some residual glaze left on the trees, but it warmed up just enough to get most of it off. There was about 1/4 to 1/3" of accretion, which was enough for the tree branches to sag, but not any damage. A couple of photos from earlier.
  12. wxmanmitch

    Feb 6-7 icing

    30.8° F with light freezing rain. It was pouring earlier at 31.2° F. There's definitely some accretion going on, but it doesn't seem too efficient with the heavier rain as it tends to drip off the trees before freezing. There is some sagging on the birches, spruces, and firs, but it doesn't seem too bad yet. The lighter rain and drizzle accretes much more efficiently, plus with less latent heat release from heavier rain, temperatures may drop back a little. This is why we will likely accrete more overnight.
  13. wxmanmitch

    Feb 6-7 icing

    31.7° F/22° F as the first spits of freezing rain arrive. The 22" snow pack will have a nice shiny veneer on it by tomorrow AM.
  14. wxmanmitch

    2018/19 Winter Banter and General Discussion - We winter of YORE

    49.2° F for yesterday's high, 44.7° F today. Disaster averted, but there was a net loss of several inches. The rivers stayed mostly frozen without there being any rain, so no flooding issues. Depth is probably around 22-24", but I'll measure tomorrow. Now if we can avoid the worst of the freezing rain around here. Soundings look hideous...
  15. wxmanmitch

    Feb 6-7 icing

    Yikes! Not liking the looks of the soundings around here tomorrow night. It's still rotting at 32° F here at hour 60 as the cutter comes in Thursday night. Euro has it icing into Friday AM too. My elevation puts me right smack dab in the midst of the cold layer with too much warmth above for sleet. Usually the base of the > 0° C layer needs to be above 800-825 mb for sleet here, unless it's super cold and/or warm layer is thin. 925 mb charts work quite well for my spot. While usually 925 mb is up closer to the 3K, there are cases when 925 mb is below me during stronger storms.
  16. wxmanmitch

    NNE Winter Thread

    At 90.3" so far for the season, 40.5" in Novie, 11.3" in December, and 38.5" in January. Seasonal total is probably a bit above average to date, but probably not too much. I have no idea what this location averages, and it'll take time to establish an average. My guess is 120-130", but it could be higher, possibly 150". The 38.5" for January is probably about average for the month. January was a meh month here, nothing too exciting, but not terrible by any means either. I could've done without the rainy cutters though. All that said, I'm likely ahead of where I was at this point last winter and we finished with over 200" thanks to getting 90" in the first two weeks of last March.
  17. wxmanmitch

    1/29-1/30 obs

    That was nuts!!! I had at least 20 minutes of near zero visibility +SN and wind. Now getting a moderate arctic dust from upslope. There's probably about an inch of new snow, but it's pretty much impossible to measure due to blowing. BTW, last night was a dud. I sat under weak 15-20 dBZ returns pretty much the whole time and only mustered 4.0". I kept expecting the heavier echoes to move in from the S and SW except they never did. I'm not sure what happened, but I may have been screwed by the energy transfer somehow. I missed the southerly flow upslope that brought some impressive totals in the southern Adirondacks, which was a result of the primary and heavier totals to my S and SW from the secondary.
  18. wxmanmitch

    NNE Winter Thread

    A little over an inch of the freshies so far. 28° F. It's a little foggy too and I'm getting some light riming on the trees. It seems to happen here a lot with S or SE flow. Hoping to get another 1-2" from the squalls this evening. Total depth is around 24". We winter...
  19. wxmanmitch

    1/29- 1/30 Storm Threat

    I did my Synoptic II case study paper on that storm. Started out as a light freezing rain in Plymouth, NH and then went to one of the most intense wind whipped blizzards I can recall. We got 6" or so, but it was super intense. Anyway, I like where I stand for this upcoming event. It doesn't look like a big ticket event, but I think a decent moderate event is in order the way it stands now.
  20. wxmanmitch

    Massive Sou'easter could bring damaging winds to Eastern MA

    It doesn't look like much on radar, but it is really dumping right now. A very fine snow, probably 1-1.5" new since the changeover occurred. 28° F.
  21. wxmanmitch

    January 2019 Discussion II

    Not bad at all actually. This pack really is absorbing it like a sponge and I don't think I lost more than 6". Last year's thaw on 1/12 was far worse in terms of flooding around here for whatever reason. We had about a 2 foot pack prior to that event, but it nearly got wiped out unlike this event where it's held up comparatively well. Pretty much over to all snow now, albeit wet.
  22. wxmanmitch

    Massive Sou'easter could bring damaging winds to Eastern MA

    Rain is beginning to mix with snow here. 35.7° F off a high of 47.5° F. 2.60" of rain for the event. Pack took a hit, but it still looks like at least 18". Maybe I put a couple of it back over the next few hours...
  23. wxmanmitch

    2018/19 Winter Banter and General Discussion - We winter of YORE

    Back down to -9.5° F after a high of -7.8° F and a low of -16.1° F. A most impressive cold day. The great pixie dust blizzard of 2019 is winding down now, finally after nearly 24 hours. With the wind it's impossible to tell how much it accumulated though as it blew off the snow board. My other board that I use for the snow depth had a 0.6" gain though.
  24. wxmanmitch

    2018/19 Winter Banter and General Discussion - We winter of YORE

    -16° F with light snow this morning...the coldest I've ever experienced! It's a fine pixie dust that appears more like haze.
  25. wxmanmitch

    NNE Winter Thread

    -16.1° F this morning with light upslope snow. It's likely the coldest snow I've ever experienced; a fine pixie dust that appears more like haze.
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