Arnold214 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ecmwf ens mean is just over an inch of liquid here. 0.5" contour goes roughly from laconia nh to cape ann mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Fantasy league purposes only: 18z NAM vs. 12z shows impact of slightly less digging Haven't had time to look carefully at the relationship, but wondering how much this weekend is a redux of last weekend in that first clipper storm impacts chances of better phasing on Monday's system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 18z NAM is pretty paltry, basically 1-2" for everyone except NNH and ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 NAM is meh for our area.. but it's the NAM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ecmwf ens mean is just over an inch of liquid here. 0.5" contour goes roughly from laconia nh to cape ann mass. Matches the OP, pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 it means alot i think!! nam is bad for all of SNE great for Maine Fantasy league purposes only: 18z NAM vs. 12z shows impact of slightly less digging Haven't had time to look carefully at the relationship, but wondering how much this weekend is a redux of last weekend in that first clipper storm impacts chances of better phasing on Monday's system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ecmwf ens mean is just over an inch of liquid here. 0.5" contour goes roughly from laconia nh to cape ann mass. Don't even have this last one taken care of yet, I better get cracking.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Thoughts on ORH area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Thoughts on ORH area? Let's be clear....N ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'm pretty sure that if NE mass ends up doing well, the amounts in GC will go down as the energy consolidates to the east. So, I'm holding out hope for a late developer. Sometimes you just have to settle for a penny when you can't even scrounge up a nickel or a dime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Let's be clear....N ORHLolThe whole county is fine. GFS looks like 2-4, 3-5 for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMPhysicsTeacher Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Fantasy league purposes only: 18z NAM vs. 12z shows impact of slightly less digging Haven't had time to look carefully at the relationship, but wondering how much this weekend is a redux of last weekend in that first clipper storm impacts chances of better phasing on Monday's system That was my first thought when this showed up. Is the EURO showing this coming in faster as well? Also, with snow packs are temps modeled differently? I often hear how the snow pack helps (obviously) to keep the cold but is it picked up on in any of the runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Can't lose lately. Going to be a nice event from Ray to me at my apartment. Absurd snowpack here too. (Back at school) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 GFS was better, very close, plenty of time and I think the right trend continued. Eventually it'll tip so far that way the solution will jump I think. We will see tonight....(I think) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 BOX's take on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Too low on BOX west of 495 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 It could be like 2-4" of paste in E MA followed by 2-3" of pure arctic fluff with temps in the teens. Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMPhysicsTeacher Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 CH 4 has almost an exact opposite map than BOX latest map. They have 3-5 out in western MA and coating Ern MA up through the NH border/coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'd have 2-4 for almost all of SNE except immediate coast..and 3-6 NE of ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ya'll missing one thing in this discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Of course they tweet this out which is exactly how things look currently Active weather pattern evolving w/potentially more #snow Thu ngt-Fri ngt & again late Sun/Mon. Bitterly cold Sat too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMPhysicsTeacher Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ya'll missing one thing in this discussion That explains why Maine will get hit hard--this shows good amplification. I can't zoom in enough on NY phone--how low does the pressure go in the gulf of Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Christ... Snow could be blowing everywhere if those gusts materialize. Could really amplify the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Ecmwf ens mean is just over an inch of liquid here. 0.5" contour goes roughly from laconia nh to cape ann mass. That mean worked out well in western areas last storm, lol...only off by 75% . You guys will take the brunt of it regardless of amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 That mean worked out well in western areas last storm, lol...only off by 75% . You guys will take the brunt of it regardless of amounts.People who now discard the Euro because of the last storm will fail a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 People who now discard the Euro because of the last storm will fail a lotThe new king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 People who now discard the Euro because of the last storm will fail a lot Was going to make a similar comment. I'd temper exuberance about the Canadians. Fact is last weekend Euro did lead the pack on key synoptic features including the capture and closer to coast scenario. RGEM ultimately had a better handle of that northeastern piece of vorticity and ensuing dual-low / northeastern-dominating SLP, subtle but critical error by the Euro (and surprisingly its ensembles, go back and see runs 12/25) and it embarrassed itself over NYC, but let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater. Euro / RGEM was the go-to combo last season, and RGEM scored a coup on Monday, but let's not suddenly dismiss Euro like we do any of the American models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Plus this is a different type of system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Was going to make a similar comment. I'd temper exuberance about the Canadians. Fact is last weekend Euro did lead the pack on key synoptic features including the capture and closer to coast scenario. RGEM ultimately had a better handle of that northeastern piece of vorticity and ensuing dual-low / northeastern-dominating SLP, subtle but critical error by the Euro (and surprisingly its ensembles, go back and see runs 12/25) and it embarrassed itself over NYC, but let's not throw the baby out with the bathwater. I have had several laughs today reading posts and tweets.Reminds me off all the pink hat fans who after the third game of the season said Brady was washed up. People who understand,understand, others well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Plus this is a different type of system.But is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.