HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 1-2" max out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 The H5 trough has definitely trended south on this the past 24-30 hours. There could be some surprise goodies for eastern and especially northeast MA into SE NH for SNE. Maine will be the best spot overall, but for SNE, this could have some suprises...I'm pretty impressed with how deep the H5 low gets as is goes south of RI/SE MA. I know Mets don't like these question's bc they fear "weenies" can latch on....but Will ...what is the Potential of this thing. Maximum for Eastern Areas of SNE, be it PVD Ne or 128 NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 The H5 trough has definitely trended south on this the past 24-30 hours. There could be some surprise goodies for eastern and especially northeast MA into SE NH for SNE. Maine will be the best spot overall, but for SNE, this could have some suprises...I'm pretty impressed with how deep the H5 low gets as is goes south of RI/SE MA. Expect it to even trend into low warn criteria. This is a new season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I know Mets don't like these question's bc they fear "weenies" can latch on....but Will ...what is the Potential of this thing. Maximum for Eastern Areas of SNE, be it PVD Ne or 128 NE Expect it to even trend into low warn criteria. This is a new season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 clipper 15-20:1? another foot for you! Could be Mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 28.50" yesterday, 65.70" season, Oh yeah, Clipper friday coastal monday, You could say that........lol Man you are catching us. We gotta pick it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I know Mets don't like these question's bc they fear "weenies" can latch on....but Will ...what is the Potential of this thing. Maximum for Eastern Areas of SNE, be it PVD Ne or 128 NE There is definitely potential for E MA and esp NE MA for this to trend into a warning criteria snow (like 6-8")...but I wouldn't forecast that yet. Rest of SNE is probably advisory for potential...low prob from like ORH-SFZ eastward it could also trend into low end warning, but again, you certainly wouldn't go around honking yet. It's just a little too late developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Man you are catching us. We gotta pick it up. You have some work to do, By next weds i could be at the top................lol, When i posted the totals in the snow table this am i said Ha, Right there with the boys from VT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 My goal went from 20 inches on the season to a 40 inch depth. Turnaround much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 There is definitely potential for E MA and esp NE MA for this to trend into a warning criteria snow (like 6-8")...but I wouldn't forecast that yet. Rest of SNE is probably advisory for potential...low prob from like ORH-SFZ eastward it could also trend into low end warning, but again, you certainly wouldn't go around honking yet. It's just a little too late developing. Thanks.The thing that got me asking was the fact they said it will cut off. I wondered if there was a way for it to cut off further S or SSW and wether that has any wiggle room . I mostly ask that because the LP seemed to have shifted 50 miles south in last day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 You have some work to do, By next weds i could be at the top................lol, When i posted the totals in the snow table this am i said Ha, Right there with the boys from VT Haha yeah, it's pretty funny. Like three months of waaaaayyy in the lead and it gets erased in one freak storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Haha yeah, it's pretty funny. Like three months of waaaaayyy in the lead and it gets erased in one freak storm. January was looking like it was going to come in well below normal before this one, And climo wise, It suppose to be the best month, So that was erased with this one and will add to it Fri-Sat, It helps when two storms gives you 41.00" towards the seasonal total................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Maybe we can do like a 3-5 for Central areas of SNE ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 January was looking like it was going to come in well below normal before this one, And climo wise, It suppose to be the best month, So that was erased with this one and will add to it Fri-Sat, It helps when two storms gives you 41.00" towards the seasonal total................ Yeah pretty incredible. I like the clipper potential. Lots of orographic potential on the backside. Good storm not to be a QPF Queen up here....these can be our bread and butter with good convergence of SW flow pumping moisture up, then backside deepening slamming that moisture into terrain on NW flow with good snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Powder looks like more N/or 350 degree backside winds to me for N green's Cuts off too far south. Winds north of VT look NNE as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Yeah pretty incredible. I like the clipper potential. Lots of orographic potential on the backside. Good storm not to be a QPF Queen up here....these can be our bread and butter with good convergence of SW flow pumping moisture up, then backside deepening slamming that moisture into terrain on NW flow with good snow growth. 12z GGEM is spitting out over 1.00-1.25+"+ for the clipper here in Maine, Everyone else looks to be between 0.25-0.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I feel like Friday is just a bit too late to really close off and dump, but probably advisory for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I feel like Friday is just a bit too late to really close off and dump, but probably advisory for some. Could hang back some goodies or even redevelop them over E MA/SE NH...could be an Essex County Special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Could hang back some goodies or even redevelop them over E MA/SE NH...could be an Essex County Special Yeah, I feel like I'd want to be Cape Anne north when that lobe swings back south in the aftn. It's definitely interesting. I wouldn't rule it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 UKMET is pretty solid. (Remember 2.5mm = ~0.1" QPF) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Take the bitching to the banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 12z GGEM is spitting out over 1.00-1.25+"+ for the clipper here in Maine, Everyone else looks to be between 0.25-0.50" my back hurts already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 UKMET is pretty solid. (Remember 2.5mm = ~0.1" QPF) Warning snow up here on that map with 1.00"+, 25.4 mm= 1.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 We should be in Rgem range now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Prior to this 12z NAM run ... it was modeling a "quasi" norlun trough rotating S from coastal Maine... but just baaaarely off shore. Meanwhile, MDD from NCEP says they sans the 12z run because it appears to be an outlier in swinging the trough axis too far E; I must admit, this NAM run does appear to be 'stretching' the flow too much between the trough and the western N/A anchored ridge. This, btw, was also the correction applied to the global scaled models prior to the recent blizzard, and it appeared to be the correct course of action... to put it nicely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 my back hurts already You bought a long track right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 We should be in Rgem range now Just outside, 0z will be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 12z GGEM shows high end advisory, warning criteria for eastern new england. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Just outside, 0z will be close Yeah, at 48h the storm was just hitting western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 We should be in Rgem range now Another 12 hours...it can really only see the very beginning of it right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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