Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Are we looking at a freezing rain situation with the road surfaces so cold in southern areas again? Could be icy, especially if the initial batch of precip is light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Slip and fall incidents will be on the rise. Put a new inch on top of frozen runoff from melting and parking lots will be a skating rink. I'd rather have four inches of new snow than an inch for safety purposes alone.Not down this way. Most surfaces are dry at this point, and there's not a whole lot of runoff from 3 or 4 inches, unlike you guys and your 20 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Looks like both the RGEM and NAM have backed off a shade on the backside moisture rotating SW from ME...so the early returns on the 12z suite are not one that would make me upgrade this to a low end warning event for eastern regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The crowd grows silent....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 That isn't a Miller A is it? Thought it was an Ohio Valley redeveloper. You're right...Monday isn't a Miller A. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Is this a deal where im gonna need some good rates tomorrow to accumulate. I know sse/se wind for melrose usually torches BL (i.e 34 or so) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Is this a deal where im gonna need some good rates tomorrow to accumulate. I know sse/se wind for melrose usually torches BL (i.e 34 or so) Yeah North Shore is torched on a light SE wind. We do ok here but I don't think I have much moisture to work with. This is a meh event imo, maybe 1-3 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Is this a deal where im gonna need some good rates tomorrow to accumulate. I know sse/se wind for melrose usually torches BL (i.e 34 or so) Depends where you are, in southern areas we'll need to overcome low level warmth. Verbatim NAM is rain to start in SE MA before transitioning to snow. Couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Really think Mets should hit the freezing rain in southern areas hard, pavement temps are in the teens, much more dangerous than 1-2" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Really think Mets should hit the freezing rain in southern areas hard, pavement temps are in the teens, much more dangerous than 1-2" of snow Who's getting zr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GFS bucks the NAM/RGEM trend and looks more impressive than any of it's previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 1-3" final call hopefully Monday works out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It's really a tough setup to be bullish this far SW unless the low really tucks in east of BOS. There might be a narrow area of Essex county that does fairly well. Sometimes the back edges of those 700 lows have a really good band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 NAM 3-5 type of deal here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 GFS bucks the NAM/RGEM trend and looks more impressive than any of it's previous runs. Yeah...that looks pretty good down into SNE. I'm heading up to Loon mid-afternoon tomorrow. How's it looking up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 1-3" final call hopefully Monday works out now Too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 1-3" final call hopefully Monday works out now why wouldn't you wait 2 hours and see the whole 12Z suite? Do you have a high need for closure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Could be a wet snow through morning, wind blown powder in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It's really a tough setup to be bullish this far SW unless the low really tucks in east of BOS. There might be a narrow area of Essex county that does fairly well. Sometimes the back edges of those 700 lows have a really good band. 700 low closes off over the Cape before heading east...there is probably like 4-6 hour window where something could happen on the W and NW side of that...these are always nasty to forecast. I also wouldn't be surprised if we got a band of enhancement on the front end stuff near ORH and into E MA as the sfc low redevelops from like SLK to SE SNE and causes some pretty good low level convergence...BL temps a bigger problem near BOS so we'll watch that part too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Winds will whip pretty good with this It seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Have to think advys will fly out here after the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Who's getting zr? coast 95 corridor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I don't think freezing rain happens with this system. NAM is not very warm at 925 and 850mb and instead shows a very light warm layer at 925mb where the temp is around .3C. So I think the mix will be short lived. Especially staying over the Cape and not getting any further northwest. Right now its 35F, so warmer than forecasted for today. That sun means business today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The upper level low closes off at H5 to the southeast of ACK. This is in prime location to produce heavy snows from Cape Cod to Cape Ann into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The upper level low closes off at H5 to the southeast of ACK. This is in prime location to produce heavy snows from Cape Cod to Cape Ann into Maine. Ot James but did you take pics of your blizzard and where are they Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I don't think freezing rain happens with this system. NAM is not very warm at 925 and 850mb and instead shows a very light warm layer at 925mb where the temp is around .3C. So I think the mix will be short lived. Especially staying over the Cape and not getting any further northwest. Right now its 35F, so warmer than forecasted for today. That sun means business today. James .01 of frzrn is a disaster when pavement temps are this cold, its only 22 here near the south coast of ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Very strong upper level energy diving into the Great Lakes with a potent shortwave over the Oh Valley spilling eastward. This amount of energy will allow the storm to go to town overnight tonight through Saturday morning. Upper level energy catches the surface low, but seems the capture is too far to the northeast to lead to a significant impact to SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Ot James but did you take pics of your blizzard and where are they I have a Facebook page by my name James Nichols, check it out, its under Blizzard of 2015 #Juno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 This looks like one of those deals where BOS stays at like 33-34 for hours, but probably cold enough to support snow. Maybe if it's real light it could be a mix. This would be late morning and early aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I still think you should be fine and stay below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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