ineedsnow Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Nam moving west but it was only a matter of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I am sure when sampling occurs tonight and tomorrow, the GFS and NAM will converge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 That's quite a significant change from 12z's partly cloudy look for even coastal areas. 18z hits SNE pretty hard. NAM Hits RI/SE Mass hard.. at least up to 84.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I am sure when sampling occurs tonight and tomorrow, the GFS and NAM will converge. NAM will converge on Tuesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 NAM will converge on Tuesday nightOnly to lose it Wednesday morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 lol, you guys right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Only to lose it Wednesday morning... they should just turn it off between November and March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 NAM Hits RI/SE Mass hard.. at least up to 84.. Lock it in. Thats probably the last model run that will show any significant snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 At what point do you typically allow the op run to really overrule the ensembles? 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Mount Holly afternoon AFD updated. Good read from Walt Drag. They posted snow accum. maps already as first guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Lock it in. Thats probably the last model run that will show any significant snow here Around a inch of QPF. Borderline temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 A nice cutter would make the thread much more readable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 A nice cutter would make the thread much more readable. At 0z the Euro just may have that lol?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 AT this point I'm looking for any model to stop shifting west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Lol right. The rest of the models will shift west towards the Euro, and the Euro in the end will tick east, or maybe Not. It's all part of the fun right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 A nice cutter would make the thread much more readable. And its only november, Going to be a long winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The Euro op and Control looked locked in step. Can the 18 Z GFS hold ground and keep the momentum from getting out of control. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Lol right. The rest of the models will shift west towards the Euro, and the Euro in the end with tick east, or maybe Not. It's all part of the fun right? Thats probably the most likely scenario. Everything comes west and euro ticks slightly east. The outcome will probably be euroesque Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The gfs is generally awful on miller A storms. See 2/8/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Thats probably the most likely scenario. Everything comes west and euro ticks slightly east. The outcome will probably be euroesque My thoughts exactly. We've seen this type of thing before. When the Euro gets real consistant, like it's been for a while now at this range, it's usually on to something(yes there are times where it faulters here too). I too, feel the Euroesque idea will be the right one. But again, who knows??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The gfs is generally awful on miller A storms. See 2/8/13. Feb 8, 2013 was a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Feb 8, 2013 was a Miller B. Technically yes. I should clarify coastals storms in general. Gfs sucks on coastal cyclogenesis, always has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Technically yes. I should clarify coastals storms in general. Gfs sucks on coastal cyclogenesis, always has. Oh O.K., gotcha. I think the Euro takes the day here...but will tick east a bit over the next few days. It's still November, nobody should be upset if they don't get 8 inches of snow. It will be forgotten about in no time, when we get into real winter, and we are tracking another major threat. Enjoy the possibilities of the upcoming potential, and the Holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Technically yes. I should clarify coastals storms in general. Gfs sucks on coastal cyclogenesis, always has. To be honest though it has had the storm solution for about the same time as the EURO, just different tracks. Most of the other B-team models though are really bad as they still haven't figured out there might be a storm on the east coast somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Live and die by each piece of guidance...let the roller coaster begin. As long as you meet the weenie length requirement, come on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 A nice cutter would make the thread much more readable.seriously. Bunch of snow in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Would be nice if they were right for once TUESDAY...SUNNY. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TEMPERATURE FALLING INTO THE MID 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS 10 TO15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH..TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER WITH LOWS IN THELOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH..WEDNESDAY...SNOW. MUCH COLDER. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THEMID 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT..WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Would be nice if they were right for once TUESDAY...SUNNY. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TEMPERATURE FALLING INTO THE MID 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SNOW. MUCH COLDER. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. Yes it sure would be nice if that forecast is right!! Maybe it will be??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Any takers that the GFS comes West?? I think it's going to come west of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 To be honest though it has had the storm solution for about the same time as the EURO, just different tracks. Most of the other B-team models though are really bad as they still haven't figured out there might be a storm on the east coast somewhere. Thats why I am not totally ready to throw in the towel yet. I mentioned early that the gfs has pretty much been as steady as the euro in terms of holding its solution. They are just worlds apart in what the final outcome is. The gfs hasn't flopped around....yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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