Giant signal for mid month. This was noted in the teleconnectors earlier this week

[CT Rain]

Big hit n of NYC and away from shore in far SE areas

 

I could see pinger issues to 84 with that track but generally no complaints here. 

[Damage In Tolland]

I could see pinger issues to 84 with that track but generally no complaints here. 

Fine with us lol.. a foot + of glue and mashed and some ice in the mix and then back to snow

[weathafella]

Verbatim 12+ Kevin to ginxy to PVD up to BOS and well north into Powderfreak and dryslot land.

[Ginx snewx]

Hey Polar, I"d hit it. Nice run.

[weathafella]

Nate gets 8-10, Forky 2 per euro.

[Damage In Tolland]

Since folks are going gut..my gut says Euro ens will make a small move SE overall today..nothing huge but significant enough to help

[ORH_wxman]

Too bad that is 144 hours out. That run hits just about everyone in New England hard from Powderfreak to Ginxy.

 

 

Large circulation storm with strong high to the north (but not obscenely strong) really wrings out the moisture. It is going to be a long few days.

 

 

Keeping patience in here will be difficult.

[dryslot]

Still so far out, But that would be about as good as it could get for the region

[weathafella]

Kids get a Thursday snow day.

[weathafella]

Ensembles will totally cave is my call.

[Damage In Tolland]

Kids get a Thursday snow day.

In by Wed nite and all of Thurs..then bitter cold to lock it in OTG for weeks.. Hard to believe we're still 5 days out

[eduggs]

If the s/w near the 4 corners doesn't get pinched off and left behind like the GFS shows, this is going to be a big, moist system.

The Euro and GFS are actually pretty close aloft at day 4 when overlayed on plymouth.  The GFS just has a little more s/w energy slightly further west than the Euro.  The Euro gets a little more energy around the base of the trof so that by days 5 and 6 they look increasingly different.  I'm still wary of a GFS-like solution as the bigger solution looks tenuous.

[Juliancolton]

The Euro has assumed NCEP's old role of providing us our daily wx porn. Those frames are as tauntingly beautiful as they are unlikely to represent reality.

[SnowMan]

So how long of a storm is it as currently modeled?  Also kevin mentioned it going out over the BM - where does it go from there? NNE or NE?  Wouldn't we want this to ride up into the bay of fundy?

[dryslot]

So how long of a storm is it as currently modeled?  Also kevin mentioned it going out over the BM - where does it go from there? NNE or NE?  Wouldn't we want this to ride up into the bay of fundy?

 

Its a hair inside, Between Ack and the BM, And it goes NE its a good hit for us

[Ginx snewx]

Color me jaded

[Typhoon Tip]

Welp ... not to hone details that will surely poke the collective hornet's nest but the 12z operational Euro "appeals" on the rip-n-read synoptic chart to pretty much dump 1 to 3 feet of snow for SNE/CNE and Maine

[Juliancolton]

So how long of a storm is it as currently modeled?  Also kevin mentioned it going out over the BM - where does it go from there? NNE or NE?  Wouldn't we want this to ride up into the bay of fundy?

Assuming a straight path, it cuts from Ocean City, NJ, to just southeast of Nantucket (rather, that's where the "L" is on Weatherbell maps; your mileage may vary). Looks to approach Yarmouth after that.

[ORH_wxman]

The run drops over an inch of qpf for just about every poster here...maybe powderfreak is slightly less over to BTV, but not by much. And then northern maine is less...that's it.

 

The dreaded perfect solution at 144 hours has hit.

[CoastalWx]

Downhill from here.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Downhill from here.

Let the North Trend commence. 

[dryslot]

Would have certainly been better if this was tuesday

[MainePhotog]

Would have certainly been better if this was tuesday

 

Or 00z Wednesday.

 

Looks good now, but won't be holding my breath. Still a long way to go.

[eyewall]

The Euro is pointing toward the story of the winter with yet another CNE/SNE hit and a moderate brush up here. This seems to be a more consistent solution now in the op run. The low essentially crosses from ACY to near the BM in the low 980's verbatim. For MBY if this is were to verify I would go 3-6" due to shadowing (a problem in 2 events this year).

[HoarfrostHubb]

Let the North Trend commence. 

I think it goes East.... that is what I will say each day until Weds...no matter what the models show. I am stubborn

 

Ensembles should be a hoot

[Zeus]

The Euro is pointing toward the story of the winter with yet another CNE/SNE hit and a moderate brush up here. This seems to be a more consistent solution now in the op run. The low essentially crosses from ACY to near the BM in the low 980's verbatim. For MBY if this is were to verify I would go 3-6" due to shadowing (a problem in 2 events this year).

 

But we're still six days out, which, in weather-time, is a decade from the event.

[Damage In Tolland]

But we're still six days out, which, in weather-time, is a decade from the event.

5 .. It starts Wed nite

[ORH_wxman]

5 .. It starts Wed nite

 

 

Yeah at 06z...and the run initializes at 12z...so 138 hours out if you want to be nitpicky, which is much closer to 6 days.

[dendrite]

The Euro is pointing toward the story of the winter with yet another CNE/SNE hit and a moderate brush up here. This seems to be a more consistent solution now in the op run. The low essentially crosses from ACY to near the BM in the low 980's verbatim. For MBY if this is were to verify I would go 3-6" due to shadowing (a problem in 2 events this year).

pretty sure this run would hammer N VT with that H5 look...lol

[Zeus]

5 .. It starts Wed nite

 

Thank you for that valuable information!