40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Your thoughts mirror my thoughts on your thoughts. Whooosh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 As Tip stated, but Scott is skeptical of, BOX is hoping for better data to be sampled... BUT AGAIN...EXERCISING CAUTION. AGREE WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECASTER THAT UNTIL ENERGY BECOMES BETTER SAMPLED NO ONE PARTICULAR SOLUTION IS FAVORED. HIGHLY ENCOURAGE THE RECOMMENDATIONS COMMUNICATED BY WPC IN GIVING PREFERENCE TO ENSEMBLE MEANS AND EVALUATING CIPS ANALOGS DERIVED FROM GFS OUTPUT WHICH CONTINUE TO GIVE THE GREATEST WEIGHT OF SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWS SOUTH OF THE MA/VT-NH BORDER WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF MEETING WARNING-LEVEL SNOWS SOUTH OF THE MASS-PIKE. Interestingly my click forecast yesterday had 70% pops for monday but today it only shows 50% pops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 As Tip stated, but Scott is skeptical of, BOX is hoping for better data to be sampled... BUT AGAIN...EXERCISING CAUTION. AGREE WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECASTER THAT UNTIL ENERGY BECOMES BETTER SAMPLED NO ONE PARTICULAR SOLUTION IS FAVORED. HIGHLY ENCOURAGE THE RECOMMENDATIONS COMMUNICATED BY WPC IN GIVING PREFERENCE TO ENSEMBLE MEANS AND EVALUATING CIPS ANALOGS DERIVED FROM GFS OUTPUT WHICH CONTINUE TO GIVE THE GREATEST WEIGHT OF SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWS SOUTH OF THE MA/VT-NH BORDER WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF MEETING WARNING-LEVEL SNOWS SOUTH OF THE MASS-PIKE. I wonder if they've noted my pet-rants about the failure to reference they have a CWA border with VT. It's nice to see me included. Let's get this north a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I wonder if they've noted my pet-rants about the failure to reference they have a CWA border with VT. It's nice to see me included. Let's get this north a little more. Your're fine for warning level snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 We're ahead of last year. To date BOS has 56.4. Last year at the same point was 42.8. If we get a decent hit Monday top 10 status is well within reach and arguably probable. as I mentioned the year isn't over, but it also isn't on the ground yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The 6z NAM barely has qpf north of C PA LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The 6z NAM barely has qpf north of C PA LOL Luckily for us that's the equivalent of hour 384 on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Watch the PV orientation to our north...the suppressed solutions sort of were rotating a stronger lobe down around the same time the southern shortwave was trying to amplify...last night's runs backed off that idea bit which is one reason we saw it come north....another reason is that the shortwave itself trended stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 6Z GFS bufkit is impressive with ORH at 13.2 inches and Boston at 10.4. MHT has 5.9, SGZ is great . and to talk Ray and Jay off the ledge BED is 9.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Ride the Rev folks. I'll take you places lol. Something disturbing about that imagery. Starting at 6-10 and adding more to your forecast as the hours get closer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 6Z GFS bufkit is impressive with ORH at 13.2 inches and Boston at 10.4. MHT has 5.9, SGZ is great . and to talk Ray and Jay off the ledge BED is 9.1 I was never on any ledges...first of all, I'm fine with whatever happens. Secondly, I think s of the pike jacks...never bought the whiff BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 What the hell is the euro doing right after this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 What the hell is the euro doing right after this storm?On the phone. Deets? Even if it's OT from this topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The other thing to note us the front is def stalling farther north than models had yesterday. They were drilling it farther south yesterday which also didn't make a lot of sense. Notice how they backed off the strength of the PV . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I was never on any ledges...first of all, I'm fine with whatever happens. Secondly, I think s of the pike jacks...never bought the whiff BS. interesting setup as the areas with less precip have higher ratios and more snow, fluff bomb in the deep cold so ORH maximizes SG .on the 6 Z GFS North of the Pike does best for snow groth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On the phone. Deets? Even if it's OT from this topic. It looks like a classic faux event where it develops another low offshore and clips ern/se areas with snow. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Snow growth may not be that "epic" since there is a warmer layer from -8C to -10C in the snow growth zone..or area where we have lift. Might be ocean enhancement with those winds off the water though over pym county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Sandstorm snow again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 There also is some timing differences. I mentioned yesterday it seemed like the GEFS wanted to latch onto a better front ender on Sunday night and Monday and the EC ensembles sort of have that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Still looks like some light snow around on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I wonder if they've noted my pet-rants about the failure to reference they have a CWA border with VT. It's nice to see me included. Let's get this north a little more. Okay. On three, everyone HEAVE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 What the hell is the euro doing right after this storm? Dropping more snow imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Still looks like some light snow around on Sunday Flurries, you are obsessed with this notion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Dropping more snow imby.You have been in a good spot for this from day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 interesting setup as the areas with less precip have higher ratios and more snow, fluff bomb in the deep cold so ORH maximizes SG .on the 6 Z GFS North of the Pike does best for snow groth Its interesting how much this season's pace has parallelled 2009 imby.. cold and all. If you remember, March 1 saw that final event of the season that was another instance of OCMs trying forecast well in excess of a foot, in the face of mid level centers flying to the west. I got about 9-10" in that event, bringing me near what would end up as my sesaonal total of 82.5". I'm at 72.5" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Snow growth may not be that "epic" since there is a warmer layer from -8C to -10C in the snow growth zone..or area where we have lift. Might be ocean enhancement with those winds off the water though over pym county. This one screams oes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Flurries, you are obsessed with this notion. Captain Cray-hab never gives up on the white whale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 This one screams oes. It might depend on the exact track, but that's some cold air coming down. That seems like it would peg further south towards pym county. The GFS actually has an awesome ribbon of VVs from near where you are down to the south coast at 700mb despite QPF being a little less to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Captain Cray-hab never gives up on the white whale. I could see snow sneaking into his area near dusk..but anything on Sunday for now seems minimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 6Z GFS bufkit is impressive with ORH at 13.2 inches and Boston at 10.4. MHT has 5.9, SGZ is great . and to talk Ray and Jay off the ledge BED is 9.1I was never really on the ledge. I just said if the storm came in like the GFS it might as well go all the way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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