packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 My 5h maps for the euro are terrible so I can't say if the southern vort was responsible. I can say the trough appeared to be a little sharper. That second piece of the southern vort does interact with it, can't tell if it dies out or completely phases in but at hour 42 the main 5h vort looks really good but than kind of dies out at 48 as the system scoots east. If that trended just a hair better, more neutral it would be all the difference in the world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Euro jumped from approx. 0.04 to 0.20 for Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 How is it looking for KRWI and KPGV. I do not have acess to Euro maps at work. Thanks! RWI about 0.6-0.7" of precip, KPGV is the big winner as usual 1"+ of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Euro jumped from approx. 0.04 to 0.20 for Charlotte Do you have access to other western cities? Greensboro, Winston-Salem, Hickory, etc...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 For those along the gulf coast of Ala/Fla Mobile county schools are closed tomorrow and Wednesday, Baldwin county in their meeting now to decide. Escambia and Santa Rosa in Florida to make their decisions later today as well concerning schools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 RDU officially 0.41" of precip, must just be a hair east of the 0.5" line, shows what 5 miles will down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Seriously, I go back to the Wright Weather days on these boards -- I remember the RaleighWx Gempack PBPs. I moved to a place with no winter weather to speak of, but have a shot. Can somebody give me a Gulf Coast QPF report from the Euro. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 between 36 and 42 hours it puts the hammer down from FAY to PGV, likely a foot. Edit: 10.2" 10.2" FAY? I'll friggin take it. This is from the Euro run, yes? Has the timing on this thing sped up a bit? I noticed TWC took off the AM Snow Showers for Wednesday and now has Wed as cloudy with 0% precip. Another question - are we looking at ratios higher than 10:1? Can someone please post an EC map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 My confidence of seeing 2 to 4 inches has increased dramatically with this run. It is a big relief to FINALLY see this shift. Hopefully it makes one more like that because if it does me and you would probably end up with 0.50 or better. Lookout, I am on my phone but is the euro showing a straight line cutoff like out 316? Or is it farther north or south. I'm using that because it runs horizontal rather than at an angle like 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 It is crazy to think that we in the mountains and foothills may be left dry while you guys near the coast and midlands cash in. I am still hoping for it continue its northwestern movement. Feels like forever since the last significant snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 12z OP Euro is about as good as you are going to get at 850mb for temps. Almost all snow right through the heart of the Midlands with them dropping throughout the precip falling to allow mostly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCStateMMY Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 RWI about 0.6-0.7" of precip, KPGV is the big winner as usual 1"+ of precip. Thanks sir! Guess the wife and I will be at home on Wednesday. Getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The gradient across Wake County is pretty massive. I moved to Youngsville to get more snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Seriously, I go back to the Wright Weather days on these boards -- I remember the RaleighWx Gempack PBPs. I moved to a place with no winter weather to speak of, but have a shot. Can somebody give me a Gulf Coast QPF report from the Euro. Thanks. You technically go back to that night in January 03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Thank you very much -- continues the trend of really cutting back the SW extent of the moisture (assuming that map is from hour 0). Had been consistently up over 1 inch (some runs, even 2 inches). That is because of lessening influence of southern energy, right? beanskip.JPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The gradient across Wake County is pretty massive. I moved to Youngsville to get more snow! Maybe me being in the SE part is a good thing this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 That's it. Looks like I'm in the game for 1-2" . I'll be happy with that considering at 12z yesterday I was praying for just a few flurries. LOL I hope we see another 25 to 30 mile shift north so that everyone in north ga would at least get an inch. Right now on the euro, only the extreme northwest corner gets less than 0.05. This run even has 0.10 amounts into the western nc mountains. A 25 to 30 mile shift 24 to 30 hours ahead of time is not unrealistic and certainly possible. Of course it could end up going back the other way but with this run, there is now a good consensus on where and how much precip will fall in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Good trend guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Do you have access to other western cities? Greensboro, Winston-Salem, Hickory, etc...? INT- 0.1" GSO 0.15" HKY 0.07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 eURO now shows a solid 4-6" across my DMA. I will say that its colder than the GFS and NAM, at least at 850 from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 10.2" FAY? I'll friggin take it. This is from the Euro run, yes? Has the timing on this thing sped up a bit? I noticed TWC took off the AM Snow Showers for Wednesday and now has Wed as cloudy with 0% precip. Another question - are we looking at ratios higher than 10:1? Can someone please post an EC map? FAY is around 8-9" this run, 10" amounts start around Clinton and run up through Elizabeth City, probably 30-40 mile wide swath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 RAH just tweeted... NWS Raleigh @NWSRaleigh2m Last set of am guidance is in & models continue to converge on a wetter (actually whiter) solution. Will increase amounts, esp west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 You are correct sir. We have seen that plus more in the past. I hope we see another 25 to 30 mile shift north so that everyone in north ga would at least get an inch. Right now on the euro, only the extreme northwest corner gets less than 0.05. This run even has 0.10 amounts into the western nc mountains. A 25 to 30 mile shift 24 to 30 hours ahead of time is not unrealistic and certainly possible. Of course it could end up going back the other way but with this run, there is now a good consensus on where and how much precip will fall in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The gradient across Wake County is pretty massive. I moved to Youngsville to get more snow! Euro looks like your map. It's going to be close, a 20 mile shift either way is going to be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 #heavysigh #neverforget #snownirvana You technically go back to that night in January 03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 Lookout, I am on my phone but is the euro showing a straight line cutoff like out 316? Or is it farther north or south. I'm using that because it runs horizontal rather than at an angle like 85. It looks very similar to the nam and gfs as far as that goes...so heavier/lesser amounts follow a southwest to northeast line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 NWS Raleigh @NWSRaleigh 3 mins Last set of am guidance is in & models continue to converge on a wetter (actually whiter) solution. Will increase amounts, esp west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 That's a insane shift west. Will the trend continue? 12z vs. 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 any thoughts for Charleston. Flying in tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 The question is why the shift west? That's a insane shift west. Will the trend continue? 12z vs. 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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