DDweatherman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Getting there for Baltimore even this run. Better than 12z. Here is the comparison... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 1-2 inches of snow is cool. I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Anybody doing pbp on the 6z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 both GFS and NAM 6z runs are better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Nice snow for leesburg I don't mind coming in the back door sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I'm smart enough to know that I don't know enough to make predictions but a hypothesis is a different story. IF that high is where and what the GFS says it will be, I expect it might end up even colder than currently modeled. The trend I like is the better precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 The 06Z NAM is an acid-reflux burp. All hail the 06Z GFS that dispensith the white stuff in droves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 And, despite being told not to do it this close in, the ens look like an even better solution. Also, remember in the future that this is the second system in a week that was supposed to send a low screaming north to the west of the apps. Hasn't happened either time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 repeat pattern here folks if you received some snow this past weekend, you'll see similar type snows again sans the superband Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 An inch or two for the spots that already received snow is a lock....it's Wednesday people and it's the euro. I think I still stand by this quote from yesterday morning. I know there are some out there that are only in it for the big dog...I happen to be one who simply loves snow...all snow events make me happy even if it turns to rain. I plan on being at 10" total for December come Sunday...thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Just catching up on the overnight models. My morning reading always starts here with a fresh cup of java in hand. So trends sound good to slightly better? CAD further south and holding longer? What if we some don't switch over to rain? That possible? Either way--happy that any snow is in the forecast again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Just catching up on the overnight models. My morning reading always starts here with a fresh cup of java in hand. So trends sound good to slightly better? CAD further south and holding longer? What if we some don't switch over to rain? That possible? Either way--happy that any snow is in the forecast again. Precip is the bigger question in my mind...how much or how little...temps are gonna be marginal but seem to be close enough...only recent runs have ramped up the qpf a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Colder, wetter? Hmm. Ok. This is getting interesting. Even with the back stuff as rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Our Futurecast is showing the system start as snow this weekend in DC. Snow starts at 1pm and changeover to rain is 7pm Saturday. We will see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Read the latest NWS forecast discussion from Sterling. They have high confidence in "measurable precipitation" using a blend of the GFS/Euro/SREFS. They are not so sure on the thermal profiles. Lets hope the trend for CAD holding on longer can continue with today's model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 .38 qpf while its snowing? I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 12, 2013 Author Share Posted December 12, 2013 Take that and run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Take that and run! Its just snow. If it happens, great, if not... oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Yeah... this isn't happening - at least for me in the beltway... daytime and nightime temps have busted high for me every day this week, I don't see how there's enough cold for this to be anything more than another 35-degree rainstorm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Yeah... this isn't happening - at least for me in the beltway... daytime and nightime temps have busted high for me every day this week, I don't see how there's enough cold for this to be anything more than another 35-degree rainstorm... Good to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Yeah... this isn't happening - at least for me in the beltway... daytime and nightime temps have busted high for me every day this week, I don't see how there's enough cold for this to be anything more than another 35-degree rainstorm... You're a terrible poster..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Yeah... this isn't happening - at least for me in the beltway... daytime and nightime temps have busted high for me every day this week, I don't see how there's enough cold for this to be anything more than another 35-degree rainstorm... I'm pulling for 35 and rain but only over your house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 You're a terrible poster..... Let's wait until Sunday morning to have this discussion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Let's wait until Sunday morning to have this discussion... I should add - I'd be happy to be proven wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Its just snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Dca is torching despite 850sAlways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Weekend rule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 In josh's defense, it's not a rainstorm but it's mostly a non-event for DC and closer burbs so far. Precip is light on the front end verbatim. Surface temps at or slightly above freezing, no heavy rates, and during day (weak sun angle is still sun angle) means by accum very suspect. Even a bit further out isn't all that exciting...yet. The extent and intensity of the initial band has been suspect run after run. Room to improve but expecting it doesn't have a lot of support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 In josh's defense, it's not a rainstorm but it's mostly a non-event for DC and closer burbs so far. Precip is light on the front end verbatim. Surface temps at or slightly above freezing, no heavy rates, and during day (weak sun angle is still sun angle) means by accum very suspect. Even a bit further out isn't all that exciting...yet. The extent and intensity of the initial band has been suspect run after run. Room to improve but expecting it doesn't have a lot of support. You act like you don't think this is going to happen. No need to play that conservative game with us Bob. It is looking pretty mundane for DC, but things have gotten better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 You guys in this forum should not be writing this off just yet regardless of what happened/didn't happen with the past 2 systems. Trends are decent. Lets see what 12z shows. ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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