Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Well congrats to Forky. He called it yesterday. A screaming sou Easter high wind event for all of us east of the storm and flooding rains off to our west with maybe an inch for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Well congrats to Forky. He called it yesterday. A screaming sou Easter high wind event for all of us east of the storm and flooding rains off to our west with maybe an inch for us BOX also suggests the high terrain in western areas might reach in and catch some high winds. Unfortunately for me, I'm only at a 1000'. No fun here I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 No follow up wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Mpm is bullseyed for qpf on the euro. The rest of us tho have around 2 inches which "ain't hay". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Well congrats to Forky. He called it yesterday. A screaming sou Easter high wind event for all of us east of the storm and flooding rains off to our west with maybe an inch for us I'm sorry I must have you confused with somewhere else. Can you please show me again where Tolland is on the map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 No follow up wave. Yet somehow still changes to snows at end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Freak Euro is far less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Yet somehow still changes to snows at end For PF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Mpm is bullseyed for qpf on the euro. The rest of us tho have around 2 inches which "ain't hay". Love when that happens in a warm system. Yet somehow still changes to snows at end Sorry, Kevin. -I'm not sure if (maybe) seeing a few flakes/flurries with the advent of post-storm CAA that don't amount to anything constiitutes a 'change to snow". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 As a coda to the prior temp thread--pretty big bust on the overnight lows last night. Looks like most came in a fair amount warmer than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Freak Euro is far lessStill looks like well more than an inch. SREFS are all like 2-4" over a huge area, impressive for a mean.You're probably the western edge of a wind threat but I don't know enough about SNE wind climo in southerly flows, so won't rain on your parade there. I'm sure Coastal or Ryan do that but 1000ft would help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Still looks like well more than an inch. SREFS are all like 2-4" over a huge area, impressive for a mean. You're probably the western edge of a wind threat but I don't know enough about SNE wind climo in southerly flows, so won't rain on your parade there. I'm sure Coastal or Ryan do that but 1000ft would help. With it cutting over philly and up the Hudson River all of SNe is in a good spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 As a coda to the prior temp thread--pretty big bust on the overnight lows last night. Looks like most came in a fair amount warmer than forecast. Yeah, 12F for a low in my hollow, was hoping for single digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Wow on the interest in this event based on the number of posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Yeah, 12F for a low in my hollow, was hoping for single digits. Same here--got to 11.9 but already up to 14.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Thanksgiving skiing FTL. Just get it over with at this point. Currently enjoying my 18F, and scraping fun shapes into the frost on my windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Winter Storm Watch Pickles. It's all about the backside now. It's going to rain, a lot. But this has good upslope response written all over it on NW winds, CAA, plenty (and I mean plenty) of low-level moisture (that'll happen after 1.5" of rain), and now the duration is the tricky part. Storm will be slowing down as it moves north, and if the mid-levels develop nicely...deep cyclonic WNW flow is going to do some snowy things on Thanksgiving. This looks like a well mixed atmosphere with the CAA at all levels, so Froude numbers would probably be 1<...you could get upslope in Randolph with that fast flow. Upslope in randolph, naaaa. When im there i usually see it in the hills/peaks to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Wow on the interest in this event based on the number of posts. The MET pig pile yesterday drove off all the snow weenies and wish-casters. I guess a storm can and will run up our fannies. Who knew? This is going to be a wild system. Lots a rain and pretty substantial winds. There is a strong inversion to overcome, Surfaces winds are modeled about 1/2 what the 950mb winds are so we'll need to watch out for some mixing down of that with the heavier bands of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 This seems like one of those 50-60 mph SSE wind gusts kind of deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 The mets really nailed this one down starting last week. Good job explaining the ins and outs, laying out the favored scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 This seems like one of those 50-60 mph SSE wind gusts kind of deal That would be the upper end of gusts I would forecast, probably closer to the 50mph end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I am taking one for the team in NNE as I will be on LI on Wednesday (Bulk of the snow on the back end Wed. night). I am none to thrilled, but I am sure there will be chances to come down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 That would be the upper end of gusts I would forecast, probably closer to the 50mph end. This is one of those deals where the inversions is fairly easily overcome..Esp. when you have a slight easterly component to the wind Noyes has gusts over 60..again he'll be accused of hype by the usual suspects on here..but it seems very possible based on outlined reasons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 This is one of those deals where the inversions is fairly easily overcome..Esp. when you have a slight easterly component to the wind Noyes has gusts over 60..again he'll be accused of hype by the usual suspects on here..but it seems very possible based on outlined reasons An easterly component to the wind will make it harder to overcome an inversion...that would try and promote CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 An easterly component to the wind will make it harder to overcome an inversion...that would try and promote CAD. I read on here before that a se component to the wind helps mix out the inversion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 color me surprised ..WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGHWEDNESDAY EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGHWEDNESDAY EVENING.* LOCATIONS...THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE.* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...MAINLYWEDNESDAY NIGHT.* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO FALL LATE TUESDAYNIGHT...CHANGING OVER TO A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...RAIN ANDFREEZING RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONAS COLDER AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGEBACK TO ALL SNOW WITH THE BEST CHANCES OF ACCUMULATING SNOWWEDNESDAY NIGHT.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPHWITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.* VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO A HALF A MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIERSNOWFALL.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...ORGO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THISWEATHER SITUATION.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 color me surprised ..WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE... ALONG WITH A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO FALL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...CHANGING OVER TO A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS COLDER AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW WITH THE BEST CHANCES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO A HALF A MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. && upslope snowfall galore...after a drenching rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 The MET pig pile yesterday drove off all the snow weenies and wish-casters. I guess a storm can and will run up our fannies. Who knew? This is going to be a wild system. Lots a rain and pretty substantial winds. There is a strong inversion to overcome, Surfaces winds are modeled about 1/2 what the 950mb winds are so we'll need to watch out for some mixing down of that with the heavier bands of rain. Even a broken clock is right twice a day! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 This is one of those deals where the inversions is fairly easily overcome..Esp. when you have a slight easterly component to the wind Noyes has gusts over 60..again he'll be accused of hype by the usual suspects on here..but it seems very possible based on outlined reasons Ryan said yesterday gusts near 60 in Eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I read on here before that a se component to the wind helps mix out the inversion I prefer strong S/SSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.