stormtracker Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 im kinda dreading 0z. hopefully the gefs mean will be good. Nope. Yeah, 0z is gonna be nerve wrecking. I'll be out for the NAM, thank God. Should be back home before GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Nope. Yeah, 0z is gonna be nerve wrecking. I'll be out for the NAM, thank God. Should be back home before GFS looks pretty good to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Just the Hi-Res 18Z NAM simulated snow totals for some weenie snow porn here Daddy like. I hope this verifies for you guys' sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 So where is the rain/snow line now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 im kinda dreading 0z. hopefully the gefs mean will be good. Yea, if 12z gfs didn't bump temps 850 and below I wouldn't be too worried about the 18z run. But back to back is worrisome. Can't say just rely on the euro either because it's still catching up it seems even with an apparent cushion. Nam is a good tool at this stage but not enuf to hang your hat on with soundings. Getting off to a better start will help some. Well see what the soundings look like tomorrow and compare to obs. Maybe we shave a couple extra degrees early. Or maybe I'm a serious weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Just outside for only 10 mins. Dang, it's CHILLY out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think that gfs scenario is too ridiculous to seriously be concerned over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 This is what I get for finally giving in and see weenieing out - a GFS smack on the azz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Nope. Yeah, 0z is gonna be nerve wrecking. I'll be out for the NAM, thank God. Should be back home before GFS NAM/SREFs/EURO vs GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 looks pretty good to me.. The only place I can see them is Allan's site. I can't get anything but 12 hour precip/850, but it doesn't look awful. Is there a better place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think that gfs scenario is too ridiculous to seriously be concerned over. It would be incredibly ironic if, despite our being worried about suppression because the block was too strong, the thing said "'eff the block" and ran up the Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Rarely ask IMBY questions, but when can I expect the precip to be hitting central/western Montgomery County tommorrow? I have to transport an elderly family member somewhere and back tomorrow evening.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 this air mass sure doesn't feel like a rain air mass for us, but we'll find out soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The only place I can see them is Allan's site. I can't get anything but 12 hour precip/850, but it doesn't look awful. Is there a better place? i dunno.. i use a pay site. they seemed better than 12z but it's pretty late in the game for the gefs anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Channel 11 posted the RPM which gave 6 in the cities and 12 plus north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 I wanna go back to 05 when I joined eastern and only cared about the 850 line. Weenie ignorance was bliss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samdman95 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 the four and a half hours between 18z GFS and the 0z NAM are weenie torture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well, at least we can be happy that it's not DST. This setup is too fragile to handle an extra hour of sun. It would be 55 at onset if this was next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 18z NAM screwed us yesterday. I'm hoping today's 18z GFS similarly shat the bed and we'll see a correction at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I am outside at my kid's soccer practice. Its frickin cold. Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I am outside at my kid's soccer practice. Its frickin cold.Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk 2 Don't worry. It'll warm up just enough to rain hard on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Well, at least we can be happy that it's not DST. This setup is too fragile to handle an extra hour of sun. It would be 55 at onset if this was next week. Is DST already next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Is DST already next week? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Is DST already next week? Saturday night. That's why I stop tracking heartbreakers and think about fishing and stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Is DST already next week? Sunday, I think. Can we just trade this storm in for warmth through the GFS run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Rarely ask IMBY questions, but when can I expect the precip to be hitting central/western Montgomery County tommorrow? I have to transport an elderly family member somewhere and back tomorrow evening.... There could be light precip tomorrow evening, but the surface temps will still be warm so the roads should be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GGEM ensembles SOUTH!!!!! lolz http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/cmcensemble/12zggemensemblep72072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Saturday night. That's why I stop tracking heartbreakers and think about fishing and stuff. now at least i'll feel a bit better when this busts imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 GGEM ensembles SOUTH!!!!! lolz http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/cmcensemble/12zggemensemblep72072.gif Wow even more confusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Lets do a contest on high temp tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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