Huffwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 My thoughts were (and you certainly don't have to do this) was: Snow and total liquid for RIC, DCA, IAD and BWI. Jackpot snowfall in LWX area (total number, not location prediction). Maybe CHO. Maybe something with winds. Can I suggest adding and ROA or LYH-- our CWA is in this board as well and will test the DC crowd who Don't want this area to get hit. Plus, more P type issues in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I wish you all the best with your hopes that banter stays here and doesn't clutter up the storm thread. Its already 100% an improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 thank you bob. storm thread is much more readable this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Its already 100% an improvement. Its only 2 pages in, and its 8 in the morning. Give it time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Poor Wes...no WSW for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Its only 2 pages in, and its 8 in the morning. Give it time. There have been over 50 at various times reading in the disco thread since about 6:00 am. At least the initial chatter has been diverted, I am fairly certain it is better than it would have been already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Man sitting here inside the beltway it's really going to come down to a nowcast on temps and rates to figure out how much we are going to get. West of the city is looking a lot more certain to get big if not historic numbers, but I could see DCA turning in 2-3 inches of slopt while IAD turns in 15-16 inches. Keeping fingers crossed that temps coorperate inside the beltway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wegman's Fairfax was only moderately crowded early yesterday...now that WSW watches have been hoisted, expect deteriorating conditions throughout the day at all major grocery outlets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Can I suggest adding and ROA or LYH-- our CWA is in this board as well and will test the DC crowd who Don't want this area to get hit. Plus, more P type issues in this area. I think that's totally fine. If I'm doing 5 cities, I don't want to mix snow totals with liquid. Too complicated to set up. My template is 5 columns right now and I don't feel like adding calcs and testing it. This is what I'm thinking: Snow departures for DCA-BWI-IAD-RIC-LYH Tiebreaker will be jackpot total and jackpot total will also graded separately as a mini contest. Close the contest @ 8pm tonight before we get nam'd @ 0z. Any recommendations from anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think that's totally fine. If I'm doing 5 cities, I don't want to mix snow totals with liquid. Too complicated to set up. My template is 5 columns right now and I don't feel like adding calcs and testing it. This is what I'm thinking: Snow departures for DCA-BWI-IAD-RIC-LYH Tiebreaker will be jackpot total and jackpot total will also graded separately as a mini contest. Close the contest @ 8pm tonight before we get nam'd @ 0z. Any recommendations from anybody? I liked the liquid total too, but understand. I mean, DCA maybe be 4.5 from 1.25 liquid, that's all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I think that's totally fine. If I'm doing 5 cities, I don't want to mix snow totals with liquid. Too complicated to set up. My template is 5 columns right now and I don't feel like adding calcs and testing it. This is what I'm thinking: Snow departures for DCA-BWI-IAD-RIC-LYH Tiebreaker will be jackpot total and jackpot total will also graded separately as a mini contest. Close the contest @ 8pm tonight before we get nam'd @ 0z. Any recommendations from anybody? Is the tiebreaker jackpot snow or qpf? An interesting component to this is going to be qpf to snow accumulations. Maybe too complicated and not worthwhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Is the tiebreaker jackpot snow or qpf? An interesting component to this is going to be qpf to snow accumulations. Maybe too complicated and not worthwhile. I could mix those 2 together for a 2 part tiebreaker / mini departure contest. That would be easy enough. I'll set the boundaries @ MD-DE-WV-VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Poor Wes...no WSW for him lol, I'll probably still beat DCA as I live in the trees in a rural area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 There have been over 50 at various times reading in the disco thread since about 6:00 am. At least the initial chatter has been diverted, I am fairly certain it is better than it would have been already. We can reevaluate come model run time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 12z NAM underway... here is to hoping it follows the 06z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 lol, I'll probably still beat DCA as I live in the trees in a rural area. I'm not sure why they didn't do the entire area. To exclude only 2-3 counties out of the entire CWA seems a little odd to me when they can always downgrade to a WWA. As far as beating DCA, I think that's a lock for just about everyone. I could see DCA squeezing 3.7" of snow out of 1.4" of liquid and never report an ob with RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 At least yoda was smart enough to put NAM talk here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The NAM seeming to be slowing more than the actual storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Wegman's Fairfax was only moderately crowded early yesterday...now that WSW watches have been hoisted, expect deteriorating conditions throughout the day at all major grocery outlets. Even though its DC, really no need for anyone to be rushing off to do pre-storm shopping. Regardless of what falls, almost certain roads will be clear the next day. Only reason I could envision people would start a rush to the store is if there were suggestions in the media that mass power outages were possibe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I just want 6" of snow, anything more is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Going to pick up some things we are out of, eggs, milk, OJ. But that is about it. The girls were already making sledding plans when I told them of the watch this morning. Talked to the husband last night and as it will be a wet snow we are going to keep on top of it with shoveling and take turns. Will be glad for a garage this time, 09-10 storms we had to dig out two cars from parking spaces at out old townhome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Please don't do model PBP or analysis in this thread, even if it's a "subpar" model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Good luck, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Please, oh please, can the NAM verify! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Classic epic NAM'ing. Save these storm-total QPF maps for posterity and giggles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Please, oh please, can the NAM verify! Seriously. What is usually the closing threshold for classes at UMD? I have a Wednesday class I would rather not go to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 PURPLES!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 I'm sitting on the border of 2.0/2.5" with 10:1 ratios. 30" of imaginary snow! lolz, I love the NAM's imagination. It wants to paint 24-30 inches of snow over your way and to the east about 50 miles. Would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 PURPLES!!!!!!!!! Darker purples down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Darker purples down here And your area feels like it could jackpot. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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