supermeh Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lets lock it in now......lol RGEM tends to be a very good short range model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lets lock it in now......lol You might be sitting pretty. I miss Maine. Such a nice state Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 At least it show like it will be a bit more organized than earlier I hate disorganized messes. 1" of snow with a crusty glaze is blah. Wish the coast did not have to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 i will probably get to see rain in wakefield while in burlington it's snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 At least it show like it will be a bit more organized than earlier I hate disorganized messes. 1" of snow with a crusty glaze is blah. Wish the coast did not have to worry. I think it still will be overall. It just comes down to how the bands pivot up and perhaps redevelop behind it. For instance I could see a good 1-3 hr period of decent snowfall, followed by lighter or showery stuff. The GFS still has a funky depiction, but it models the initial band a little better. We'll see how the euro looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Wow, Canadian is a big hit for the interior. It has -4C 850 temps to Danbury and ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Wow, Canadian is a big hit for the interior. It has -4C 850 temps to Danbury and ORH. Chris M to Mitch to Dave jackpot? Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 UKIE brushes you guys...36-48 hr time period... I have no idea if its cold enough though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Wow, Canadian is a big hit for the interior. It has -4C 850 temps to Danbury and ORH. Nice dude. We like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 UK can get lost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You might be sitting pretty. I miss Maine. Such a nice state You can come back and visit Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 This is a complete PITA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 This is a complete PITA. it's a weird set-up. feel like there's pieces missing in every model solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lol, the Ukie soundings are freezing. They keep BOS all snow through the whole event. Crazy uncle is always good for some weenie solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 it's a weird set-up. feel like there's pieces missing in every model solution. NYC is a mess. Clueless. They could be a 4SM -SN or flash to 1/2SM briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lol, the Ukie soundings are freezing. They keep BOS all snow through the whole event. Crazy uncle is always good for some weenie solutions. Forgive me, but that last sentence makes it sound like you had a really uncomfortable childhood. Anyhow, I don't think BOS has a snowball's chance in Hell of staying all snow, but I am a touch optimistic that at some point tomorrow night I might see first flakes; especially with the Euro keeping it in play last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 This is a complete PITA. it's a weird set-up. feel like there's pieces missing in every model solution. When in doubt, go big or go home. I'm riding the Ukie. 12z GFS Ensm Mean looked pretty close to the Op, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Hell, even areas around Brockton, verbatim on the GFS, look like snow. Warmest level is ~975mb. Just another storm with warm advection on northeast winds lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 When in doubt, go big or go home. I'm riding the Ukie. 12z GFS Ensm Mean looked pretty close to the Op, correct? Very close and has a decent precip shield. I still think a wild card may be the coastal front enhancing precip a bit just away from the coastline. This may slowly sag SE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 EURO time eek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Nevermind the snow aspect, the placement of the high is a classic spot to lock in colder air too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Nevermind the snow aspect, the placement of the high is a classic spot to lock in colder air too. GEFS trended colder again with the low level cold too (really noticeable at 925 mb). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 As the saying goes with these early season systems, too bad this was not a month from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Deeper and somewhat west of 0z so far says Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 i will probably get to see rain in wakefield while in burlington it's snowing With any luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Euro is out to 12. Low is a bit more consolidated early but precip is a bit east of 0z. Not sure that means anything at this pt. Euro at 18 has ~1000mb low off NC.. precip brushing coast. About 4mb deeper than 0z. 24 has ~996 due east of SE VA/due south of central LI. Precip is a bit further west. Definitely NW of 0z by hr 30 (18z tomorrow). Still mostly light precip onshore though. Some accum near PHL. 0z Thur (hr 36) ~988 due south of LI due east of DE, kinda stationary.Light precip back to BR, .1"+ DC east... .25" about bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 With any luck. Right on the line (again) Hopefully I'm on the right side of the coastal front, while just NW of me gets the shaft. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Euro looks pretty chilly. gets a decent slug of precip in here, but virtually all snow in the interior, unless there is a sneaky warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Local mets here in Connecticut see this storm as being no big deal for Northern Connectticut with 1-2" of sloppy snow along with some wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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