usedtobe Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Its def north of 18z...should bring a lot more qpf into the region. lol, talk about yo-yoing. This is going to be a big qpf run for dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 At 66 the I-81 corridor is getting crushed. NOVA up thru C. MD is getting going too. Temps are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 too bad its the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The traditional NAM run that sucks us all in. Gives us a little reason to smile in this grotesque winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Best model run since Feb 10' for DC Metro... we get pummeled between 15 and 22Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 incredibly tight qpf gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 QPF much? Wow at 66. 1000 L SW NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This is a really good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 too bad its the NAM i know it seems the NAM always has this one run where it doubles the qpf and it never verifies...still better than the alternative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 lol, talk about yo-yoing. This is going to be a big qpf run for dc. Yeah looks like over an inch of qpf for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Mother of God...this is going to be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 This is a major hit for NOVA, WV, DC, and MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 That's a nice hit in the hills and mtns of nrn VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 That was very impressive, this is one rare example where being positive tilt actually helps quite a bit since advective processes are limited across the WCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 incredibly tight qpf gradient We are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 .75 QPF DCA hr 69. 0.25+ for all at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Yeah looks like over an inch of qpf for DCA. Yeah, I thought this run would get us back into precip but sure didn't expect this as I didn't expect the 500 to look this good. It will be interesting to see what the gfs does. This is a bout as good a run as you could get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 .75 QPF DCA hr 69. 0.25+ for all at 72 here's the reason been over 2 years since I've seen this on the models http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Paramℑ=..%2FGemPakTier%2FMagGemPakImages%2Fnam%2F20120217%2F00%2Fnam_namer_072_sim_radar.gif&fcast=072&imagesurls=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=sim_radar&cycle=02%2F17%2F2012+00UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0&prevArea=NAMER&prevImage=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 lol, talk about yo-yoing. This is going to be a big qpf run for dc. pretty standard nam. it really is a beautiful run tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Yeah looks like over an inch of qpf for DCA. Feb 2010 it had like 4+" in one of the runs leading up to the big storm. Cut "over an inch" in half and I'll take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 1" at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Just south of DCA to EZF 24 hr QPF is 1.25 at hr 75.. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 4-8 for alot of the area based in the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Wow. Went from zero to above 3/4 ths. Guitar string. I have zero confidence in any soluton from partly cloudy to snowstorm. You could really tell early that this was going to be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Not much Convection down south while the storms over us. H7 is closed off until it gets almost to DC when it gets shredded by the NRN stream. Good for banding in the SW suburbs at least. Also there's a second area of compressed 850 Temps right over DC more banding potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 17, 2012 Author Share Posted February 17, 2012 Dammit why cant this be tomorrow night and why can't this be the gfs. True to our mid atlantic nature we will now worry for the next 36 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 What about RIC - does the cold air come down enough for snow or does it stay rain b/c of the more northerly track? verbatim, RIC woud end as 1, maybe 2" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 Dammit why cant this be tomorrow night and why can't this be the gfs. True to our mid atlantic nature we will now worry for the next 36 hours For good reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 With changes like this, is any solution really off of the table at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2012 Share Posted February 17, 2012 The storm has been modeled way colder the last few runs. Remember when we were sweating surface temps in the mid-30s? It's in the 20s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.