HoarfrostHubb Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 From SPC Day 2 re: Irene ...HURRICANE IRENE... HURRICANE IRENE IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NNEWD ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST AND LIKELY COME ASHORE OVER WRN LONG ISLAND EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE EJECTING ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. GIVEN ITS EXPECTED TRACK...MUCH OF SRN NEW ENGLAND...TO THE RIGHT OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...WILL EXPERIENCE STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND AN INCREASE IN THETA-E AND BUOYANCY. FORECAST THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT UNSTABLE...BUT LIKELY ENOUGH TO WARRANT LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE OPTED TO INCLUDE LOW PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WHERE STRONGEST SURGE OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR ROBUST UPDRAFTS. What was that giant "Boing" noise I heard from the direction of West Hartford? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Hurricane Warnings, Tropical Storm warnings, flood warnings likely tomorrow and perhaps a tornado watch...SICK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This is going to go over a lot of mainland NC it seems. We'll see if it has much affect. That part of NC is like a giant swamp barely above sea level with a ton of inlets, so I don't think that is going to have a huge effect. A bigger concern is getting it to jog E so it doesn't go over the length of NJ inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Va Beach is getting absolutely rocked! Major inland flooding in NC and reports of levees breaking, missed the location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That part of NC is like a giant swamp barely above sea level with a ton of inlets, so I don't think that is going to have a huge effect. A bigger concern is getting it to jog E so it doesn't go over the length of NJ inland. If anything the enhanced friction helped the ageostrophic flow and tightened the core lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That part of NC is like a giant swamp barely above sea level with a ton of inlets, so I don't think that is going to have a huge effect. A bigger concern is getting it to jog E so it doesn't go over the length of NJ inland. Didn't know that, Will...thanks. Hopefully Ryan is right in thinking this turns NE soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Levee breached in swan quarter nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This is going to go over a lot of mainland NC it seems. We'll see if it has much affect. That's a swamp area..it's actually warm swamp azz water.... we just need it to scrape NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That part of NC is like a giant swamp barely above sea level with a ton of inlets, so I don't think that is going to have a huge effect. A bigger concern is getting it to jog E so it doesn't go over the length of NJ inland. Do you think Irene will tend to want to go east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yeah...the 12z NAM text soundings were just as impressive. 70 kts at 950mb. mid 50's to low 60's at TAN at 950. Not bad at all. http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Ktan.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 That's a swamp area..it's actually warm swamp azz water.... we just need it to scrape NJ so much for peeps saying the back side was crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Just finished mowing. Trying to minimize the friction.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 This is going to go over a lot of mainland NC it seems. We'll see if it has much affect. And taking it's time doing it. No hurricane strength sustained in the hourlies from official stations over NC http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=nc&prodtype=hourly Impressive how it did gather a little onshore at least in the radar presentation. Not moving at all, slight hint the remnant eyewall just wobbled west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think our only hope inland is for some how the Jet is under modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Hvy hvy rain ..just a downpour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think our only hope inland is for some how the Jet is under modeled. Calm the fook down already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 btw there has been 1-2" of rain in some areas near and northeast of DXR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 GFS is a bit more west at 24hr. 972 over BLM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Calm the fook down already. Its kinda hard to when we know we aren't getting the heavy rain and probably not the heavy wind either now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 If anything, it looks like the center is heading due north on satellite. We need a wobble east soon (within a couple hours.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Its kinda hard to when we know we aren't getting the heavy rain and probably not the heavy wind either now. Then go to the b**ch thread. A few of you should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 btw there has been 1-2" of rain in some areas near and northeast of DXR. Albany issued an SPS on those "showers" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Then go to the b**ch thread. A few of you should. Yes. If you want to tip the chair, do it in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Yes. If you want to tip the chair, do it in there. I'm going to just start deleting whining posts in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 I'm going to just start deleting whining posts in this thread. Can you ban them for a few days instead..and the negative ones who try to mask their whining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 I set up an obs thread too. Post your obs there as far as the rains go today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Its kinda hard to when we know we aren't getting the heavy rain and probably not the heavy wind either now. dude will you shut up? I was up at 6 am and that **** was all you were saying then too. is that good enough? even up there in la la land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Radar doesnt show it moving much at all http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=mhx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 dude will you shut up? I was up at 6 am and that **** was all you were saying then too. is that good enough? 60-70mph gusts? Awful...just awful. Might as well play golf. I wanted 110. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 I think your only of me not posting here is if a tree falls on me from Irene. It would appear that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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