AppsRunner Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 At least the GFS tried to do something with it... that's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I wouldn't pay attention to the run verbatim. Actually, it's too early to do that for any of these models. But it's fair to say the GFS has made some substantial trends today. Agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Not even close. The GFS is what it is right now. When you look at hour 216 looks a lot like the same track as previous storms this winter. Thats all im saying Dont respond that its early and its the GFS...because I know its early. Im just analyzing "this" particular run and im bored. I know not to get to excited about a storm or take it to seriously until its at least 120 hrs away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 When you look at hour 216 looks a lot like the same track as previous storms this winter. Thats all im saying Dont respond that its early and its the GFS...because I know its early. Im just analyzing "this" particular run and im bored. I know not to get to excited about a storm or take it to seriously until its at least 120 hrs away I disagree. I don't remember that many lows coming out of the southwest and taking that kind of track this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 0z GFS tries to get a storm going, but it's still not even near what the ECMWF/GGEM are doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I was half serious, as someone who could care less about snowpack, I'd take a 996 over Chicago and rain over -6 with snow in Mexico. Yeah I kinda feel the same way. I love having snowpack as much as anyone, but would be willing to sacrifice all of it to get out of this pattern. These clippers can be somewhat entertaining, but I'd love to see a big storm somewhere in the Midwest/OV, even if it isn't a hit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 0z GFS tries to get a storm going, but it's still not even near what the ECMWF/GGEM are doing. It does the usual and waits until it's OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If anyone believes the GFS from the clipper to the first piece of energy and its handling of the high dropping in, well I have a bridge I can sell you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 If anyone believes the GFS from the clipper to the first piece of energy and its handling of the high dropping in, well I have a bridge I can sell you. GFS may try to recover beyond 180hr, but it won't look as good as the 18z run guaranteed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS may try to recover beyond 180hr, but it won't look as good as the 18z run guaranteed. Beyond 180 is a crapshoot, personally the more this pushes the back the less likely it will happen, although the GFS isn't even on the same planet with respect to this time frame, so I'm not taking it for much merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 960mb megabomb at hr. 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 960mb megabomb at hr. 240 466DM thickness? Yeah I will pass with temperatures below 0 here for highs. Also coinciding with that 466DM thickness, is -36C air at 850mb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 We really have nothing to lose given the past two months WTR this storm and it being so far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Pretty significant differences between the GFS and GGEM by day 10. GFS unloads the arctic tundra while the GGEM has left a significant wave behind in Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 so what's the Euro word on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00z ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00z ECMWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 so what's the Euro word on this? Most of the action is just to your east on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Most of the action is just to your east on this run. Icy or snowy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Icy or snowy? Some rain, ice and snow. Maybe a majority snow. Decent hit for a lot of folks but it really nails parts of IN/OH. SSC will also like this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Some rain, ice and snow. Maybe a majority snow. Ah, I was going to say, if it was ice, you all could have it. It's something to follow though. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Some rain, ice and snow. Maybe a majority snow. Decent hit for a lot of folks but it really nails parts of IN/OH. SSC will also like this run. I'd like it more if it wasn't D7-9. Looks like a drawn out overrunning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Developed that second wave so nicely.... right from from TN to PA... really strengthened it too. Nice to see... especially when it's on a model other then the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00z EURO looks really really good for the Ohio Valley. This type of set-up definitely favors some icing, possibly significant, for somewhere across the Lower OV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00Z Euro 0.5-0.75 QPF over lower MI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00Z Euro 0.5-0.75 QPF over lower MI... That is nice! It is too bad this thing is still 7 days out. Nothing seems to be holding this season with the models. Here in the CMH area, still no WSWs this winter! BTW, what does Euro show qpf wise for CMH for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 That is nice! It is too bad this thing is still 7 days out. Nothing seems to be holding this season with the models. Here in the CMH area, still no WSWs this winter! BTW, what does Euro show qpf wise for CMH for this storm? 1.25-1.5...expect everything but the kitchen sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 1.25-1.5...expect everything but the kitchen sink. slop for us ey? Would be par for the course this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00Z Euro 0.5-0.75 QPF over lower MI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 00z EURO looks really really good for the Ohio Valley. This type of set-up definitely favors some icing, possibly significant, for somewhere across the Lower OV. let's get it inside 72 hrs.... this will be the third major hit the euro has shown for us this season in the LR.... 0 for 2 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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