snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 the clipper looks to be dropping further south on the euro vs 00z lets keep that trending That looks like a beast on the EURO. Closed 516dam contour over WI. 850s on the east side of the track are reasonable (-6 or so) so it looks like a pretty decent snow producer for a "clipper". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 btw is this the clipper thread or is this for a thread further out in the future? Time frame in the title seems to suggest the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 btw is this the clipper thread or is this for a thread further out in the future? Time frame in the title seems to suggest the latter. Yeah this thread is for the southern Plains (as it looks like right now lol) system late this month. There's no thread for the strong clipper yet. The Euro looks interesting to be sure. Could be a high wind threat for a large area southwest of the surface low track too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 We going to use this a double storm thread both the clipper and then the thing after? Be my guest. Less chance of failure that way. Well the southern plains stuff looks like another i95 special on this euro run but the clipper is looking alot more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 If there's going to be a return to big time -AO/-NAO blocking, it isn't going to occur until mid February (Feb 8 or later) or so. So we still have a window of opportunity for a bigger storm to develop while the teleconnections remain favorable. That being said, without a more robust STJ getting involved, it's going to be tough. So how does Toronto look to do in this late storm potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Yeah this thread is for the southern Plains (as it looks like right now lol) system late this month. There's no thread for the strong clipper yet. The Euro looks interesting to be sure. Could be a high wind threat for a large area southwest of the surface low track too. well i hope "cmichweather or baro" will start a thread on the clipper today...i'm liking the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 well i hope "cmichweather or baro" will start a thread on the clipper today...i'm liking the euro too late...I already did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 too late...I already did. ok, great ...didn't see it before i posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 Is this the thread about the great mexican blizzard on the 12z GFS? That was the intent. GFS looks like it's in its usual suppression mode at this timeframe. My early thoughts are close to LC's fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Could be a big Southern Storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Well the southern plains stuff looks like another i95 special on this euro run but the clipper is looking alot more interesting. I wonder what the chances are of it going due north from there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 So how does Toronto look to do in this late storm potential? You're allocated 5 posts per day. Don't waste them on lame troll attempts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 12z GFS ensembles sending mixed signals. I'd take P010 in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 Had that this past June and July. Really cant complain about this out this way other then a lack of decent hailers. Hopefully you guys out that way ( north of i94 ) can get in on it this year as well. Now hopefully we can get back some of that Hoosier luck we use to have before the big fail with the infamous Hoosier storm bust a couple of winters back. The euro potential looks great with this. Ridge is backed further and IN the Pacific and the wave train flowing down the westcoast/sw and Texas. And hints of some se ridging too. Have not looked at the other models yet. Last time I started a thread over a week out you had an April snow event of almost 6". Focus on the positive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 12z GFS ensembles sending mixed signals. I'd take P010 in a heartbeat. ? leavin me hanging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 ? leavin me hanging It dumps at least 1" qpf on LAF. Several members have a storm but that member is the farthest north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Just to be clear, is this thread for the clipper around day 5 or the potential storm in the first week of February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Just to be clear, is this thread for the clipper around day 5 or the potential storm in the first week of February? Clipper talk here: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/10212-end-of-january-clipper-threat/ This thread is for a more ethereal threat in the med range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Last time I started a thread over a week out you had an April snow event of almost 6". Focus on the positive! Forgot about that one. The positive is i did not start the thread. Oh and the euro ensembles has one that would track as far west as over your head. Have a couple of others into Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Clipper talk here: http://www.americanw...clipper-threat/ This thread is for a more ethereal threat in the med range. Oh great. In that case, I'm loving 180hr of the GGEM. You can easily tell that's going to be a nice storm for us. What can go wrong? That crud in the SW gets in the way (alas GFS). But I haven't felt this good about a storm all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Oh great. In that case, I'm loving 180hr of the GGEM. You can easily tell that's going to be a nice storm for us. What can go wrong? That crud in the SW gets in the way (alas GFS). But I haven't felt this good about a storm all season. where are you located Powerball? And what number are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I wonder what the chances are of it going due north from there? about the same chances as tuesdays event coming due north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 One of these things is not like the others: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 One of these things is not like the others: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 One of these things is not like the others: P002, also known as the best of the individual ensemble members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 00z GFS 00z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 I'm all for the Texas Panhandle Low in the last hours of the 00z GGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 One of these things is not like the others: P002 please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 24, 2011 Share Posted January 24, 2011 00z GFS 00z GGEM GFS squashing everything not like we haven't seen this episode before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 24, 2011 Author Share Posted January 24, 2011 GFS squashing everything not like we haven't seen this episode before. Yeah, although it's hard to completely disregard seasonal trends, this pattern is a bit different than what we've seen mostly and this is the type of regime where the GFS does this. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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