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buckeye

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About buckeye

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KCMH
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  • Location:
    Westerville, OH (northeast suburb of CMH)

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  1. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    I keep expecting to see the mjo chart suddenly change to show us going into the cod or back tracking to 7...and yet it only gets stronger into 8 and 1 with each update. Not only that, but the SOI is crashing. JB does sound defeated but a few days after his epic meltdown in January, everything switched to a colder look. I wonder if models will suddenly snap back like that. If not, than yea, the mjo is certainly not ruling the pattern now. As of now, the rest of Feb looks like a typical hum drum depressing, uneventful, gross Ohio Feb.
  2. buckeye

    February 2019 Discussion

    Feb looks to continue rocking....
  3. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    the extended is rapidly turning into a dumpster fire.... starting with the late weekend event that now looks like it's heading north and leaving us with light rain. After that signs that the se ridge starts winning the battle. I just hope it goes ape sh*t crazy if it's going to ruin snow chances....go big or go away.
  4. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    Lots of stuff going on in the 3 to 9 day range. Like 4 systems coming thru. Models are all over the place. First one looks to be weak and slide under us. Next one is stronger and takes a nice track with most models getting a low to WV. Gfs, gem, and icon all give us a moderate snow for that one. The euro has a great track but there's virtually no cold sector precip with it. Then more threats along the baroclinic boundary after that.
  5. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    Models now all over the place with the weekend system. GGEM is the only wound up cutter solution now. Euro is pretty much a whiff under us and GFS is kind of in between.
  6. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    Grass already covered here. Should be a nice little pre-deluge snow event.
  7. Thanks. I have a stormvista account. That's where I got it. What's with the condescending tone? Also, jb actually mentioned it it in his latest,update. As far as the accuracy of off run eps, I've followed,them over the last month and they do tend to sniff out changes in the 00z 12z runs....from what I've noticed at least.
  8. I mentioned the same thing in our sub, based on this.
  9. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    More from "glass-half-full" buckeye, The euro takes the mjo into 8 on Tuesday and now the gfs has it moving into 8 by end of week, (although looping it back out and back in again). Point is the gfs is correcting to a quicker move into 8 and euro is moving faster to it as well. All of that in combination with some hints that the endless cutter pattern the models were all showing over the last few days, is looking less "cutterish", has one of my eyebrows raised. (just one though).
  10. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    Fwiw, 06 eps significantly shifted the Friday threat south taking the low thru the TN Valley. Often the 6z and 18z eps do a good job of showing trends for the 12z and 00z. I guess we'll see. In the meantime....
  11. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    gfs has 4 cutters over the next 2 weeks. That brings us to Feb 24th. Yes, this may be the worst collective winter forecasting failure that I can recall. It's like JB became a virus and it went epidemic in the meterology world. The only thing he has going for him is that this time he's not alone in failure. Don S., DT, HM, and a plethra of knowlegable mets on this site all crashed and burned. Per usual JB refuses to call it what it is and tries to piece together some kind of claim that his forecast was on target. It's reminiscent of his infamous "I nailed the pattern at 500mb", excuse. It's like watching someone try to build a tower out of jello while they convince you to keep watching just a little bit longer because it's almost there. He had Jan 20th thru Feb 15th as the pinnacle of winter's brutality, of course that was after the first half of January failed. When it became apparent that the PV visit was only going to be a glancing blow and mostly to our friends from Chicago on north, he immediately claimed that a rebound to warm for a few days was perfectly normal and expected, (even though he never said that beforehand). Now he has Feb 15th thru March 15th as his new target period for epic winter. That is now crumbling apart and frankly at this point I find it humorous... So why do you read him Buckeye? Because he's a hypster which leads to one of two outcomes. Either he's right and we snow....or he's wrong and turns into the clown building a tower out of jello. Either way it's entertainment
  12. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    yea just horrible. Low pressure cuts for Michigan, than high pressure follows, than low pressure attacks the departing high and heads to Michigan again.... wash, rinse, repeat. Just bring me a torch....Feb, March 2012 sounds awesome right now.
  13. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    I didn't know we had a storm to track lol.
  14. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    I don't necessarily agree. I guess we'll have a good test coming up when the mjo starts taking the cold phases tour late next week. We'll see what real weather is doing.
  15. buckeye

    Let's Talk Winter!!

    Mods are all over the place days 4 -7. They can't even agree on what day has a storm much less what the track and strength is. I was surprised,to see the euro go warmer and more in the cutter direction since, it's the quickest to get the mjo into 8.
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