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It’s interesting that both the Arctic and the Antarctic have been cold the last 2 months.

We definitely need some rain. Lets hope their prediction is right.

That storm had some intense ground strikes. It woke me up for sure. I did not pop up the drone as it was already pouring too much.

yeah during the week is fine-just don't need the rain here-everyone still cleaning up the damage from last week.

Good. I’ll take Tuesday rain and a clear weekend all of the time, better than a bad weekend

Rather impressive thunderstorm last evening around 12:30 a.m. moving north to south along the western edges of northern Delaware. Received about 75 in of rain.

Just what we need here!

I doubt you’d find a resident there that said 102° is not hot. The record for yesterday is 104° in 1931 and 1933. They’re also now +7.0F for the month where the std devs are at their lowest. Looks like that 80.8F mean will place this July at the 4th warmest all time with 8 of the top 9 warmest Julys occurring since 2000. I won’t pretend to claim I know the history of the MLS ASOS siting though. Maybe pre-ASOS was a “cooler” siting.

I still would generally favor south of DC for tomorrow. But the NAM nest and HRRR do get activity (some seemingly severe?) into all areas tomorrow. After shrinking the 15% contour to the south of us yesterday, CSU guidance has it back north of the M/D line. So that's good. We'll see (as always!)

Average highs start dropping now at ORD. The slow March towards fall has begun

some will flood

Meso models very wet for the tri-state-the area of bullseye varies but a wet signal for sure

It looks like our chance of storms all week evolved into a chance of a couple rounds of storms tomorrow and that's about it. Boring continues to be the rule imo. I'd like to see the tropics wake up.

Whitewater rafting on the Connecticut?

Nasty.

I think that tells you all you need to know in terms of seasonal temp anomaly, which really only has about a 1/10 chance of being cold in this modern era, anyway...so it really doesn't tell you much.

.76” from last night.

That's the $64 question for this year. Will we see the same type of "gobsmaking" global warming we saw in 2023 or will this year behave more like a typical strong/super el nino. So far I'd put this year in the typical camp, with global air temperatures lagging the rise in ENSO and global SST. One aspect that has held back global temperatures in the past 2 months has been very cold temperatures in Antarctica associated with a strong AAO+ regime. In 2023 AAO was strongly positive in January (see AAO table below), reversing by March, and staying negative through September. So the AAO boosted global temperatures in the first half of 2023 but are holding them back this year. One of the many factors that contributes to a different outcome in 2026 vs 2023. If the AAO reverses in August there will be an added boost in global temperatures on top of ENSO. We will see. 2023 2.304 0.554 -0.258 -0.921 1.452 -0.438 -0.818 -0.038 -1.050 0.535 0.097 1.510 2024 0.922 1.043 -0.058 1.005 -0.073 0.210 -0.597 -2.150 0.098 -0.567 1.020 -0.826 2025 -0.080 -0.271 0.733 1.138 0.509 0.209 0.753 0.357 -0.709 -1.236 -1.324 -1.136 2026 0.848 0.489 0.492 -0.125 0.544 2.506

Showers in OC.

Seriously. I had the same thought. Feels like I’m wearing the air. Pretty dense fog here next to the lake too

0.3" last night, a lot of thunder and lightning

82/81 at MSP this morning. Here’s a tidbit from KMPX At 2 AM, the dew point at MSP climbed to 81. This has only happened on a few days in recorded history. Per the Minnesota State Climatology Office, an 81 degree dew point was measured on July 17, 2011; July 18, 2011; July 19, 2011; and July 30, 1999. The all-time record is 82 set back on July 19, 2011.

Idk about storms but not sure ive ever experienced this kind of early am heat and humidity, feels like a sauna

down in the 50s again, what a run heading to the river to enjoy some morning coffee

NYC can have a similar temperature as Newark on days with S to NE cooler onshore flow. Newark gets a cooling breeze off the bay and Central Park doesn’t since it’s not right on the water like the airport at Newark is. A few days ago with more offshore flow Newark was warmer again since they didn’t have a cooling breeze. The days when the trees have a more significant cooling influence relative to the airports are more offshore flow days with SW to NW flow at Newark. Also cloudy days since this removes the cooling influence of the trees when it’s not sunny. Onshore flow similar temperatures CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 234 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026 ................................... ...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 26 2026... CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2026 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 85 310 PM 99 1940 87 -2 85 1989 2005 MINIMUM 65 526 AM 57 1953 70 -5 76 AVERAGE 75 78 -3 81 PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 0.00 2.72 1985 0.15 -0.15 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 4.31 3.84 0.47 3.21 SINCE JUN 1 6.83 8.18 -1.35 5.50 SINCE JAN 1 20.65 26.55 -5.90 20.56 SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 T 2009 0.0 0.0 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUN 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0 DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE JUN 1 0 14 -14 10 SINCE JUL 1 0 0 0 0 COOLING YESTERDAY 10 13 -3 16 MONTH TO DATE 359 343 16 437 SINCE JUN 1 674 588 86 767 SINCE JAN 1 829 672 157 849 ................................................................... WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 10 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (190) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 15 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (150) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 4.5 822 CDUS41 KOKX 270634 CLINYC CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 234 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026 ................................... ...THE CENTRAL PARK NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 26 2026... CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1869 TO 2026 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 85 211 PM 98 1940 85 0 85 MINIMUM 64 536 AM 55 1920 70 -6 74 AVERAGE 75 78 -3 80 PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 0.00 3.24 2000 0.15 -0.15 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 3.69 3.78 -0.09 3.43 SINCE JUN 1 7.08 8.32 -1.24 5.89 SINCE JAN 1 21.51 27.49 -5.98 24.45 SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 2001 0.0 0.0 0.0 2002 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUN 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0 DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE JUN 1 4 15 -11 16 SINCE JUL 1 0 0 0 0 COOLING YESTERDAY 10 13 -3 15 MONTH TO DATE 314 327 -13 368 SINCE JUN 1 576 553 23 640 SINCE JAN 1 714 634 80 697 ................................................................... WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 9 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NE (40) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 16 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NE (50) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 1.6 Offshore flow Newark 5 degrees warmer with no cooling seabreeze CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 219 AM EDT THU JUL 23 2026 ................................... ...THE NEWARK NJ CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 22 2026... CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1931 TO 2026 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 90 348 PM 108 2011 87 3 80 MINIMUM 72 1159 PM 56 1944 70 2 67 AVERAGE 81 78 3 74 PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 0.00 1.78 2019 0.16 -0.16 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 4.31 3.21 1.10 2.70 SINCE JUN 1 6.83 7.55 -0.72 4.99 SINCE JAN 1 20.65 25.92 -5.27 20.05 SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 2001 0.0 0.0 0.0 2002 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUN 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0 DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE JUN 1 0 14 -14 10 SINCE JUL 1 0 0 0 0 COOLING YESTERDAY 16 14 2 9 MONTH TO DATE 326 291 35 372 SINCE JUN 1 641 536 105 702 SINCE JAN 1 796 620 176 784 ................................................................... WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 22 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (350) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 32 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION W (270) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 14.2 CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 432 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2026 ................................... ...THE CENTRAL PARK NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 22 2026... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME. CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1869 TO 2026 WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 85 249 PM 104 2011 85 0 81 MINIMUM 72 1202 AM 58 1871 71 1 67 1890 AVERAGE 79 78 1 74 PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 1.86 1880 0.15 -0.15 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 3.69 3.17 0.52 3.42 SINCE JUN 1 7.08 7.71 -0.63 5.88 SINCE JAN 1 21.51 26.88 -5.37 24.44 SNOWFALL (IN) TODAY 0.0 0.0 2001 0.0 0.0 0.0 2002 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUN 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0 DEGREE DAYS HEATING TODAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE JUN 1 4 15 -11 16 SINCE JUL 1 0 0 0 0 COOLING TODAY 14 13 1 9 MONTH TO DATE 281 275 6 308 SINCE JUN 1 543 501 42 580 SINCE JAN 1 681 582 99 637 ................................................................... WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 14 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION W (270) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 24 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION W (260) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 7.2