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Vernon.

Just now getting a chance to look. It looks like the 6z WeatherNext was a little better for our area.

Correct, had the general idea 5 days before.

I’m skeptical we get any more accumulation here

100% agree, for the city more worried of a tucked solution vs a miss. We shall see! Exciting times .

Belly to belly snow here as well. Colder models won out.

Just shy of 20”. Last six were really dense

There's something funny about a flight to a weather conference being canceled, assuming due to weather lol. Assuming it's weather unless we lost all the Air Traffic dicks and I hadn't read about it.

I'm in the same boat. Idk if I belong here, the mid Atlantic or the Richmond thread lol. I see you and a few other posters from Roanoke/Lynchburg area post in here so I'm sticking around here.

I totally agree, verbatim we're looking at HECS outputs from the Euro. I'm not biting yet though, will wait until Thursday 0z for full confidence, and even then there will be shifts in directions that screw New England, or screw the Mid-Atlantic, or screw somebody. I do think a super tucked solution will favor Central PA more where they get a CCB and SE PA might dry slot. But then again, it depends on the exact passage of the 700 and 850mb lows. Nitpicking details though at this stage, we'll worry about dry slots once we reel this in synoptically with confidence

Imagine getting buried, not wasting a second of accum with the cold ground and getting to build a snow shelter with fresh bread and honey butter. The vibes would be immaculate @wncsnow

Really coming down in town here now. Looks like some small bands are forming over the area.

Excuse any of my ignorance but how is this pattern not an "east coast pattern"? Seems like we're stuck in a NW flow in the middle of the country now and only the East Coast can get lucky when the Sub tropical jet wants to cooperate? So clippers for us and occasional favorable flow for LE (soon to end with lakes freezing though?) Not a good look out West with so much ridging and lack of meaningful mountain snows. Could equate to drought concerns there into Summer without runoff?

Who's ready for below zero?!

I mean NYC metro got a nice hit. Nearly a foot in Central Park. Next weekends’ potential storm could be a hold-my-beer type step up from this last one. It’s a glorious east coast pattern. .

Just lost power for a few minutes. The wind is gusting to 30. 8 currently with moderate snow and sun peeking out to the south currently. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

1-2" should do it for later. Spot 3"?

Snow arrived at 4:30 yesterday afternoon and by my 9 PM obs time we had 2.0" from 0.17" LE, with small but sparkling flakes. Cleared another 9.5" off the board at 7 this morning, with 0.41" LE, about doubling the ratio. About 3" of feathers since, no core yet, making this our 2nd biggest January snowfall here - the 20" in 2015 seems safe. Temp stayed zero-2° until about 8 AM, 2nd coldest significant snowfall (behind the -1 of 2/2/15) since moving from Fort Kent. Stake level has gone from 13" to 27". Not much wind, but even a 10-15 mph gust produces a white-out as the trees shed.

Yeah there's been some solutions spitting out storms at different dates between the 28th and the 3rd ... Really, the whole period is/was susceptible. However, the recent runs are honing the 1st *(see the dates on the charts being provided). It all would have been the same, really. Uuuusally, though, it's the front side, between the rising inflection and max of the +PNA is when things happen. Then if you are lucky ... it pulses with periodicity such that you get mainenance storms after the fact - but let's not get greedy just yet. haha. The 1st is better situated relative to that and the timing et al.

The 14.8" west of Elizabeth Nj appears to be an aberration?

Just looking at the 500 progression on the Euro. The nice thing is with that setup cutting west of us is off the table. Its either we get blitzed or it misses east.

This is the method I used a few years ago. I like these little videos from a series made for CoCoRaHS observers (they go in order for what you need to know and do) -

Oh I thought he was in Coventry

I doubt it. Is cold is coming. Temp should start falling throughout the day.