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Some decent velocities showing up in the Stephen’s city line segment

Damn. Not looking that impressive. Just a wall of severe thunderstorm warnings for average looking scattered storms.

I arrive there on Tuesday, hope you took on all the rain today haha. Enjoy yourself.

6.72" here in the past seven days and 8.64" for the month. It looks like there may be multiple windows open nights this week.

Oh for sure lol we’ll get some rain but the storms should get annihilated

I wouldn't get your hopes up.

A little over half an inch earlier and now some sun through breaks in the clouds.

Don’t take this the wrong way…..but you often think we are done with precip a little prematurely.

Beautiful day to sail. Constant gusts to 20 made for a fun day.

Spc has day 2 slight risk and marginal risk out for Cumberland plateau parts of middle east tn for 5-15% damaging wind https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html .

Love seeing positive winter outlooks, but this August has been total sh*t, lol. Bastardi put out his winter forecast, not great for us more average, so it'll probably be huge for us, lol.

They’re going to hit an extreme stabilized environment prior to the mountains.

Yeah we need moisture very badly. This is no good for lawns, gardens and those of us with flaky skin. I’m rooting for any tropical systems to move in this direction in the coming weeks!

Poured on me in Aruba today. Cant escape the damn rain.

See y’all again Christmas Eve!

This storm popped up in Purcellville is dumping rain!! Man! Lots of water being rung out.

New Hampshire is on fire . Stein taking over again

Looking at that line die a little in the middle gives me Stephens City vibes

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 522 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026 DCZ001-MDZ013-016-504-VAZ053>057-506-526-527-170530- /O.EXB.KLWX.FA.A.0015.260816T2300Z-260817T0700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Charles-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- Spotsylvania-King George-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 522 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, portions of Maryland, including the following areas, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles and Prince Georges, and Virginia, including the following areas, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, King George, Northwest Prince William, Spotsylvania and Stafford. * WHEN...Until 3 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to move through the Watch area this evening through the first half of the night. A widespread 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected, with localized totals of 2 to 4 inches where training or backbuilding occurs. Some instances of flooding are expected to occur, especially in urban areas that receive multiple rounds of storms. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Man did my area get cut down. Forecast went from 0.5 to 0.75 for today and tonight to just 0.25 to 0.5 for tonight after nothing today. Oh well I guess the all day thick overcast killed it

No rain in 15 days here

Mts seem to be beating the line up a bit.

That sharp CAPE gradient (attached) the modeled show ydy has verified well. Notice IAD has 74 Td and HEF 76 Td but DCA 69. 925 mb Td gradient evident as well (also attached). No PWAT gradient though, bull's-eye 2.2+ centered right over DC metro! The cells forming ahead of the line, have to watch those when they cross this gradient as storm boundary interaction is often key for svr/tor. Also, if the gust front fans out well ahead of the line, how will that affect the Td and CAPE gradient? Bodily push it E? Bow echo often ride parallel to boundaries, but slamming into it perpendicularly? I don't know.

Stayed in the upper 60's all day w/ some drizzle and fog from time to time. Seasonal weather this week with the possibility of a sneaky cool night Wednesday. Point is already 45.

That question has been tossed around for weeks over in the main El Niño thread. I think we in the MA have started to see it with increased precip over the last month, but there's no evidence of it yet on a larger scale. Rest assured, it's coming...for better or worse.