All Activity

Yep. The CFS has started to increase again. With the ongoing surface and subsurface warming, another round of strong WWBs coming up late month, another anticipated-SOI plunge next week and very likely another DWKW forming, the July model forecasts will almost certainly bump up

Beautiful weather next 10 days .

Yeah the GFS is suppressing things. Euro looks like a sneaky small stream responder problem event there.

Yup, we suck at rain. I give up, done trying to be positive. Everything sucks.

It's not uncommon anymore for us to have 60° Christmas's so what's wrong with that in July?

WB last 21 CFS Control runs Dec-Feb.

Driest rain I have ever seen.

Models with 1 to 1.5" Monday. Fingers crossed

For airports yes. The public not until the late 90s? I'm just saying, with that track I'd expect to see a lot more 20"+ amounts especially in EMATT

Unfortunately, another even more extreme event less than a month later. Translated from French The average thermal anomaly for the next 7 days could reach +9.0°C, which is greater than during the exceptional episode of May 2026, whose return period was estimated at more than 1,000 years. We're just two weeks after breaking that supposed millennial record... The June 2026 heatwave could thus become the most anomalous episode ever observed in France over a one-week period, across all seasons and all durations combined. Furthermore, Monday could enter the Top 3 of the hottest days ever recorded in France, alongside the historical benchmarks of July 25, 2019 (national average temperature of 29.40°C) and August 4, 2003 (29.35°C). If the forecasts hold true, this day would join the most significant dates in French climate history.

Finally hit 1.00," for the month.

Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday. Keeping fingers crossed.

.21 here. Every batch that came close just disintegrated

.25

Received about 1.5" of rain from yesterday here at my location.

Euro looks like a widespread soaker overall. Probably going to be a hellacious band near low center and along WF.

To me, it was pretty obvious the timing of these storms. So for this area, it was completely ridiculous.

I woke up and said it is about freaking time!

Thankfully although there have been some winners and losers relatively speaking it was a .5"+ rainfall across the Piedmont. Pretty rare to get widespread rain like that in June

We're in a new construction home which means trying to start a lawn. I gave up and will try again this fall. As for garden, I just have a few containers and pots I can water. I think we'll see a wet and mild winter which would help getting a lawn going. Cloudy 71/68

Pretty sure it was the same measuring standards back to the 1950s. Airports were doing 6 hourlies.

Northwest flow is great in Ohio right now. Taking my older kid to cedar point today (he's in the roller coaster phase of early teen years). Sunny, crisp, low humidity, 10/10

Thinking about ONI and RONI. Surface winds like trades are driven by surface temperature difference, so RONI probably more relevent. Precipitation and heat release to atmosphere from condensation are driven by moisture content. Warmer air holds more moisture so ONI is probably more relevent. Jet stream should have some ONI influence due to extra warming of tropical deep atmosphere from condensation. Will be interesting to see how the two factors play out.

I hope the euro is right Monday…would love a deep soaker. I’d sacrifice a Monday for that. Euro is 2-3” up here while the GFS is mid 70s Mon-Tue. GEFS tickled south too.