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73 / 51 clouds with the rain staying south. Should clear out by the 1pm. Nice stretch through Sunday near normal low - mid, perhaps upper 80s ion Sunday in the warm spots. Next shot at rain / storm Mon >0.5 - 1.00 or more widespread. Trough into the northeast 6/21 - 6/27. Also some rain chances next Thu/Fri but more scattered and less widespread. Them remain ridge pushes east to close the month and overall warmer to hot develops with ridging into the east and perhaps along the coast by the close and beyond into next month.
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super el nino banter thread
forkyfork replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
old person detected -
We’ll get another crack at it Monday with a chance for an active day and then after that, we ain’t getting crap for a while imo
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Buried x lock it in for December
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Finally got rain, 2.78 in less than 10 hours.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep. The CFS has started to increase again. With the ongoing surface and subsurface warming, another round of strong WWBs coming up late month, another anticipated -SOI plunge next week and very likely another DWKW forming, the July model forecasts will almost certainly bump up -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Beautiful weather next 10 days . -
Yeah the GFS is suppressing things. Euro looks like a sneaky small stream responder problem event there.
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Yup, we suck at rain. I give up, done trying to be positive. Everything sucks.
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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
gravitylover replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
It's not uncommon anymore for us to have 60° Christmas's so what's wrong with that in July? -
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Driest rain I have ever seen.
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Models with 1 to 1.5" Monday. Fingers crossed
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For airports yes. The public not until the late 90s? I'm just saying, with that track I'd expect to see a lot more 20"+ amounts especially in EMATT
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Unfortunately, another even more extreme heatwave less than a month later. Translated from French The average thermal anomaly for the next 7 days could reach +9.0°C, which is greater than during the exceptional episode of May 2026, whose return period was estimated at more than 1,000 years. We're just two weeks after breaking that supposed millennial record... The June 2026 heatwave could thus become the most anomalous episode ever observed in France over a one-week period, across all seasons and all durations combined. Furthermore, Monday could enter the Top 3 of the hottest days ever recorded in France, alongside the historical benchmarks of July 25, 2019 (national average temperature of 29.40°C) and August 4, 2003 (29.35°C). If the forecasts hold true, this day would join the most significant dates in French climate history.
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Finally hit 1.00," for the month.
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Some potential for non-trivial rain on Monday. Keeping fingers crossed.
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.21 here. Every batch that came close just disintegrated
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.25
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
GregLCweather replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Received about 1.5" of rain from yesterday here at my location.- 277 replies
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- severe
- mountain snow
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(and 1 more)
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Euro looks like a widespread soaker overall. Probably going to be a hellacious band near low center and along WF.
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To me, it was pretty obvious the timing of these storms. So for this area, it was completely ridiculous.
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I woke up and said it is about freaking time!
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Thankfully although there have been some winners and losers relatively speaking it was a .5"+ rainfall across the Piedmont. Pretty rare to get widespread rain like that in June
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
