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  2. jm1220
    South Jersey Alley.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s always been the bullseye for this event and historically. .
  4. JTA66
    I don’t remember the year, but recall the event you’re referring to. Despite being socked in much of that day, it really didn’t matter. Just passed 0.50” in the bucket for the day.
  5. winterwx21
    Now the worst of this next round missing me slightly to the south. Central Middlesex County will get a lot of rain. Would've been a pretty good flooding threat here if this next batch was slightly more to the north.
  6. SI Mailman
    Absolute deluge
  7. Brian5671
    Thunder showers here-nothing crazy but nice drink for the lawn
  8. NEG NAO
    Have a feeling the Philly area and points east and south which received practically nothing from the first round will get the most out of the second round later - opinions ?
  9. dmillz25
    Thunder again
  10. Mount Joy Snowman
    Hang in there. For many cycles now the HRRR has been advertising a very quick pullout of the smoke this afternoon. Already getting much better down this way.
  11. yoda
    Yes, agree. The watch that just came out from them goes into E PA which was a bit surprising to me considering the new watch box for our area would seem to go overtop that... I guess your idea would work. The watch to our north in PA covers like half our MCD lol
  12. The Iceman
    Yes, that was also a very messy convective day in the morning but it didn’t matter because the deep layer shear was in place. Very similar set up.
  13. Hoth
    Fine by me. Took a week to finish cutting up the trees that fell during the 7/4 storm.
  14. high risk
    It does, although as their discussion mentions, the wind profiles are much more supportive of tornadoes to our northeast. Personally, I would put a tornado box over NJ, DE, southeast PA, and a severe box over MD and VA, but I can see where those shapes don't really fit around the initial box over PA.
  15. mahantango#1
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC001-003-005-007-009-013-019-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039- 041-043-047-049-051-053-055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075- 081-083-085-087-093-097-099-105-107-109-111-113-117-119-121-123- 125-129-133-190100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0492.260718T1700Z-260719T0100Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER BEDFORD BLAIR BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD CLINTON COLUMBIA CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN ELK ERIE FAYETTE FOREST FRANKLIN FULTON GREENE HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON JUNIATA LANCASTER LAWRENCE LEBANON LYCOMING MCKEAN MERCER MIFFLIN MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY POTTER SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET SULLIVAN TIOGA UNION VENANGO WARREN WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND YORK $$ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 492 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS WVC009-029-049-051-061-069-077-103-190100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0492.260718T1700Z-260719T0100Z/ WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROOKE HANCOCK MARION MARSHALL MONONGALIA OHIO PRESTON WETZEL $$
  16. snowman19
  17. Maureen
    I especially like the guy sweeping the water away…
  18. The Iceman
    Sounds like a tornado watch is incoming… pretty strong wordage in the Mesoscale discussion: DISCUSSION...Strong boundary-layer heating of a very moist air mass is ongoing across the discussion area as of 1645z, contributing to moderate/pockets of strong surface-based instability. Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage across the higher terrain, and along a north-south confluence zone across southern PA south into northern VA, during the next few hours. As coverage continues to increase and low-level lapse rates steepen, the potential for damaging gusts will increase across the discussion area this afternoon and early evening. Additionally, low-level shear will remain locally enhanced in the vicinity of a warm front across southeast PA/southern NJ. Deep-layer shear will be supportive of supercell structures, and the risk for tornadoes, potentially strong, will be maximized in this area.
  19. Windspeed
    The lightning in these overnight cells gets intense, and if you happen to find yourself under one, look out. I had a tree struck around 2AM here. Virtually no wind. Just periods of frequent CGs.
  20. weatheruser
    Bouts of very heavy rain in CNJ
  21. WestBabylonWeather
    Intense rain and lightning
  22. winterwx21
    I've always noticed that warm front storms have the most lightning.
  23. cbmclean
    Visiting Stone Mountain State Park NW of Winston-Salem. Not to hot but quite humid. Late morning thunder booming as we hit the summit was neat.
  24. ChescoWx
    Below is the first time I have used AI (Claude) to help analyze the Chester County Data set with data from 1893 to Present. Below is the average number of 90+ days by station and month. Including the years of record and the overall annual average. It did this correctly! see below.
  25. hooralph
    Subway and street flooding videos already coming in from the first round. https://www.instagram.com/p/Da8Q8RokS4r/?img_index=1&igsh=d250NzN4YjdiMzhu
  26. psv88
    Up to 1.00” already
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