40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 7 hour storm total: 14" At least 1'\hr 24.8\23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Marshfield. They live on the nw side of town. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I feel like sometimes BOX conforms the snow total graphic to a climo "standard" distribution. Well climo here is certainly not 22.5 inches for these things..though this is a first here for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 No...the NAM had issues too. But as for overdoing QPF...it's a known bias. But definitely nailed the idea that all of CT was gonna get plastered...not just the eastern third. I hope I'm not seen as criticizing your call...you had your reasons and no one ever gets these things perfect. I never expected W CT to break 12" even though I had a little more faith in the NAM. I'm surprised only by western hills being so heavy. But I think 8-16 with the 10-20 outline was a safe bet. I waivered because of the stupid euro not the gfs. And for the record I did say I'd pin the max qpf right where the nam had it last night. I do have the right to change a thought...I don't stick to the wrong idea because I'm hoping it works. I thought last night when I talked with the tagger here about the gfs targeting ct it was kind of clear that's where the max would be. I will admit I thought more towards ginx and keV though. Like you said the nam had issues too and the minute people make the same assumptions I did about it based on how well you think it did this time - that can cloud judgement next time. I think it was pretty awful on temp profiles down here in the end, so to say it nailed it is very imby. If there was one model that seemed to do the best it was the nmm, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Heaviest snow of the storm by far!! DON'T MOVE THIS BAND!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Flakes just got a lot better and the snow has picked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 NAM nailed that stalled band out in the Berks. It had that for about 36 hrs. That's the band with a probably trowal feature too, that I mentioned yesterday..coming from nne. Scott, I can attest to the fact that you pointed this out several times in several ways. Last measurement was 17.5" but likely over 18" now. That band is now directly over me and it's cranking. Just to the West 20+" and Box has just upped totals to 19-24" here. We'll get there easily it would seem. I must commend you on your keen eyes picking up on this feature. I really think NAM did an excellent job out here, Messenger's comments notwithstanding. Awesome light powder here, now I'm really of to the mountain. Ba bye>!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Wife driving to work, called to say she had made it about 10 miles in an hour's time and could only see about one electric pole distance ahead. Had to stop three times to clean off the wipers as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Wow im shocked they raised the WSW to 19-24"...I still need 6" more to get the low end of that range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Plenty of coffee and nothing but time to watch this beautiful snowstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Why is everyone saying Tip nailed this? He did a fantastic job with it from 3-4 days in...but he initially said this was OTS and a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Some big fluffy dendrites... really starting to go to town after a disappointing 530-830 here in Southington. Ryan great job on the West band, congrats, do you remember me telling you back in Dec you would exceed your annual forecast by the first week of Jan? sorry I busted by 5 days LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 PVD had a w/e of 0.94" as of 7AM and reported 6.4"? 7:1 ratio, that's absolutely awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Max amounts in this event will be comparable. Agreed they will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Why is everyone saying Tip nailed this? He did a fantastic job with it from 3-4 days in...but he initially said this was OTS and a miss Because of what you just said? LOL around the trough talk time he warned the NAM may be right and it/he was. As far as I know no one else said such a thing with the huge totals nearly that far back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Ryan great job on the West band, congrats, do you remember me telling you back in Dec you would exceed your annual forecast by the first week of Jan? sorry I busted by 5 days LOL seasonal forecast... epic fail. For the most part I'm happy with how this forecast worked out. I always thought NW CT was in the game and they are piling up like crazy now. My mom says about 20"or so in Guilford. Will be their biggest storm since 1996 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Winds picking up more often. Periodic white out conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Why is everyone saying Tip nailed this? He did a fantastic job with it from 3-4 days in...but he initially said this was OTS and a miss Repeatedly said ride the NAM. Look at the band just sittin' banked up against the east side of the Crest. It's rippin' baby... oh yeah!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 radar just looks awesome right now Waiting for the wrap around CCB here. Been doing much of nothing, except for the winds. Kev, go check out your FB page. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Ryan great job on the West band, congrats, do you remember me telling you back in Dec you would exceed your annual forecast by the first week of Jan? sorry I busted by 5 days LOL I am more than glad to throw my winter forecast out the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 BTW, I don't think I've ever seen a storm track this close drop 8-14" (thus far) anywhere close to the I-95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Snow intensity ramping up quickly again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Why is everyone saying Tip nailed this? He did a fantastic job with it from 3-4 days in...but he initially said this was OTS and a miss agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
millpondwx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Looks like the low travels over Buzzards bay tower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 seasonal forecast... epic fail. For the most part I'm happy with how this forecast worked out. I always thought NW CT was in the game and they are piling up like crazy now. My mom says about 20"or so in Guilford. Will be their biggest storm since 1996 But Ryan's December snowfall as a portent of what's to come was a win! Though at the time we thought it was screaming we're screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well climo here is certainly not 22.5 inches for these things..though this is a first here for me No I meant like a uniform stripe of heavy snowfall. It's probably already busting low in western MA And congrats by the way! Good call on the magnitude of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Well climo here is certainly not 22.5 inches for these things..though this is a first here for me Throw climo out the window; this event is beding it over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 CF about to tickle Jerry's fanny. Collapsing se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Had some nice Thunder Snow at 5:28am and again at 6:05am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 seasonal forecast... epic fail. For the most part I'm happy with how this forecast worked out. I always thought NW CT was in the game and they are piling up like crazy now. My mom says about 20"or so in Guilford. Will be their biggest storm since 1996 yes it is our largest one since 96 here and about time!!! closing in on 18 in Branford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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