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June 2026


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16 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Got lucky here overnight as well.  Drenched!  Event total 2.71".  My area was one of the places that received some of the heaviest amounts.  The heaviest amounts were very localized.

Click map to enlarge.

Screenshot 2026-06-23 at 10.40.15 AM.jpg

Screenshot 2026-06-23 at 10.45.45 AM.jpg

Forgot to submit my total this morning to the cocorahs site, this just reminded me.  doh!

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39 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

more liquid steaming towards the area from PA - but how much of it will survive the trip ? Seems the conveyor belt of moisture is drying up somewhat as it moves into central NJ....

models don't have much city and north....maybe another .25 south?

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the reason for this stream of moisture is a stationary front sitting from northeast of Scranton down through northern Maryland and precip now is staying mainly west of the NJ Turnpike and is encountering drier air as it is moving northeast and becoming lighter in northern NJ - so it is doubtful that heavier precip in Mayland makes it this far north

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Any showers will depart this evening. It will turn somewhat warmer for tomorrow through Friday will likely see highs in the lower 80s. Some showers are possible as a warm front moves across the region on Friday or Saturday.

A warming trend could commence during or after the next weekend. Some of the guidance suggests that hot weather could return to conclude June.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.7°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.22°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -19.68 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.369 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.7 (1.7° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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