June 2026

[winterwarlock]

92/67/100

 

10th 90 plus of year but not a heatwave as yesterday only got to 89. Have only 1 3 day heatwave thus far

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Looking like some pretty crazy dynamics later according to latest HRRR

I can remember some night squall lines just like that back in the 90s.


.

[TJW014]

Anything that will have the potential to be severe needs to pop off between now and sunset. "Squall" line comes in too late. 

Sea breeze storm euthanasia is well inland here. 

[qg_omega]

1 hour ago, Mr. T. said:

Looking like some pretty crazy dynamics later according to latest HRRR

Falls apart next frame 

[qg_omega]

Hrrrrrrrrrrr

 

3k NAM

 

nothing looks impressive atm, timing is really bad

[WestBabylonWeather]

Hopefully it makes it to LI

[donsutherland1]

Showers and thundershowers are likely thie evening and tonight as a cold front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms could be strong or severe, bringing strong winds, small hail, and heavy downpours.

Cooler weather will return for at least the first half of the week. Temperatures will likely top out in the middle to upper 70s tomorrow through Wednesday. It will then become somewhat warmer to conclude the week.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -24.88 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.712 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.3 (2.3° above normal). That would tie June 2026 the eighth warmest June on record with 1925, 1957, and 2021.

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[donsutherland1]

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

that's more than the entirety of some of our cooler summers

Yes. That's true. With the warming climate, this year's mark will probably fall in the not too distant future.

[steve392]

Residents along the great lakes 8n upstate NY just getting hammered by all that training rain. 

[NEG NAO]

17 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Residents along the great lakes 8n upstate NY just getting hammered by all that training rain. 

That line of shower/storms is still 8 hours from here - are we going to have a rude awakening at 2 AM ?

[Snowlover11]

PA getting hammered 

[Stormlover74]

28 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

That line of shower/storms is still 8 hours from here - are we going to have a rude awakening at 2 AM ?

Between 10 and 11 according to the hrrr