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June 2026


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51 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Most won't see rain till Sunday

Yeah the severe threat for today and tomorrow really went down the drain. We have a slim chance of seeing something tonight -- we'll have to see if the PA showers/storms survive into our area. If we see anything it probably won't be until 10 or 11 tonight. Way after daytime heating, so bad timing. And the models aren't showing much activity for tomorrow. 

We've officially moved into a severe drought now. With very little rain in sight, this is looking like a very bad situation as we move into early summer. It's so frustrating when we don't get enough rain this time of year. 

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17 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah the severe threat for today and tomorrow really went down the drain. We have a slim chance of seeing something tonight -- we'll have to see if the PA showers/storms survive into our area. If we see anything it probably won't be until 10 or 11 tonight. Way after daytime heating, so bad timing. And the models aren't showing much activity for tomorrow. 

We've officially moved into a severe drought now. With very little rain in sight, this is looking like a very bad situation as we move into early summer. It's so frustrating when we don't get enough rain this time of year. 

My grass is already getting cooked even with sprinkle system running a few days a week. There’s nothing like some

natural irrigation 

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Really thin line of storms just approaching Harrisburg PA looks like 20 miles wide or less moving fast going to be interesting how they hold together after sunset as they approach the coast - just like the last few lines of storms in the previous weeks looks like the main threat is the winds in front of the storms passage

 

 

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2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Really thin line of storms just approaching Harrisburg PA looks like 20 miles wide or less moving fast going to be interesting how they hold together after sunset as they approach the coast

 

Iffy.  It could end up morphing into something more disorganized, and be more spotty.  Either way, doesn't look like a lot of rain, unless it manages to intensiify.

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27 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Storm tops already collapsing on that squall line south of Route 80. 

not many warnings being issued - only 2 so far one from State College earlier and one from Mt. Holly - these storms are moving northeast in eastern PA and the ones south of Harrisburg are falling apart so it looks like any storms here will be mainly north of RT. 78 at the current time

Severe Weather Warnings Page

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The temperature soared to 91° in Central Park. As a result, 2026 became New York City's first year on record with a high of 80° or above in March and then 90° or above in April, May, and June.

Aside from a potentially strong to severe thunderstorm tonight, tomorrow will be another hot day. The temperature will likely top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Very warm conditions will likely continue through Sunday. Parts of the region could experience a heatwave. 

Humidity levels could make the heat particularly uncomfortable. In addition, strong to severe thunderstorms could develop tomorrow. 

Cooler weather will return for at least the first half of next week. Some rain is also likely early next week, but rainfall amounts could be fairly light.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -5.69 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.779 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.7 (2.7° above normal). That would tie June 2026 the fifth warmest June on record with 1899 and 2010.

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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