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61 / 41 mostly cloudy as expected with the ULL where it was - those sunny / patly cloudy forecasts were in jeopardy, at least not much in the way of showers making it this way - yet.  Tomorrow looks like a repeat of Friday mid 70s to 80 in places.  With the next cut off / ULL moving through Mon  - Tue south of us now.  Moderation to normal by Wed / Thu and flow flattens and warmer overall by the 6 and beyond with next shot at any heat (transient) later next weekend and weekend.  No sustained heat or cool - near / above normal in the 6/6 - 6/11 period.  Also looking drier again since the Memeorial day rains and isolated Wed storms.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 98 (1987)
NYC: 97 (1987)
LGA: 96 (1987)
JFK: 92 (1987)

Lows:

EWR: 39 (1949) latest 30s low
NYC: 42 (1884)
LGA: 48 (2021)
JFK: 45 (1949)

Historical:

 

1879 - A major outbreak of severe weather occurred in Kansas and western Missouri. In Kansas, tornadoes killed eighteen persons at Delphos, and thirty persons at Irving. Two tornadoes struck the town of Irving within a few minutes time virtually wiping the small Kansas community off the map. The second tornado was perhaps two miles wide, and exhibited multiple vortices. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1880: A violent tornado near Delphos, KS that carried a cat ½ mile; every bone was broken and she was “crushed as flat as if passed through a cider press.” Two 1,220 lb. horses were blown ½ - ¾ mile. They lived.  (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)
 

 

1927: The Kentucky River peaks during a massive flood that killed 89 people and left thousands homeless. Torrential rains caused this unprecedented flood.

1948 - A railroad bed acting as a dam gave way during a flood along the Columbia River destroying the town of Vanport, OR. The nearly 19,000 residents escaped with little more than the clothes on their backs. (David Ludlum)

1948 - Twenty carloads of glass were needed in Denver, CO, to replace that destroyed by a severe hailstorm. (The Weather Channel)


1974: Severe thunderstorms produced winds of 57 mph or greater over parts of eastern Missouri. Hail measuring up to 2.75 inches in diameter was also reported in St. Charles County, Missouri and an F2 tornado caused $2.5 million dollars in damage in Adams County in Illinois. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1982: An amazing 17 inches of rain fell in a nine day period of time ending on this date at Avon, South Dakota. This led to major flood problems in the area. Krug's lake, located one mile south of Avon, is normally dry. Not only did the lake fill up, but it also drained into the south side of the town after a hastily constructed dike gave way. Many dwellings in the town ended up being completely surrounded by water.
(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1983: Unusually high temperatures throughout the western United States caused a rapid runoff from snow pack in the Rocky Mountains. This caused flooding which washed out bridges and caused mudslides in parts of Nevada.
(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the eastern U.S. Eighteen cities, from Virginia to Ohio and Michigan, reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Baltimore, MD, and Washington, DC, and 98 degrees at Newark, NJ, were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Memorial Day heralded heavy snow in some of the mountains and higher passes of Wyoming, closing roads in Yellowstone Park. McDonald Pass, MT, was blanketed with eight inches of snow, while the temperature at Miles City, MT, soared to 94 degrees. A "supercell" thunderstorm in west Texas produced baseball size hail in Bailey and Lamb counties, and up to five inches of rain in less than an hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988: Memorial Day heralded heavy snow in some of the mountains and higher passes of Wyoming, closing roads in Yellowstone Park. McDonald Pass, Montana was blanketed with eight inches of snow, while the temperature at Miles City, Montana soared to 94 degrees.

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the Upper Ohio Valley during the day. A powerful (F-4) tornado injured three persons and caused a million dollars damage at New Providence, IA. Baseball size hail was reported at Blue Earth, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front spawned fourteen tornadoes in northeastern Texas during the late afternoon and evening hours. The thunderstorms also produced baseball size hail near Marshall, wind gusts to 77 mph at Commerce, and up to five inches of rain. Thunderstorms over southwestern Kansas produced up to six inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1991: Record maximum temperature for Washington DC. for the date is 98 °F. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1991: Washington's hottest May ever - The mean temperature was 73.0 °F, and the months temperature departure was +7.0 °F. May had a record of eleven 90 °F days. Three thunderstorms produced 5.65 inches of rain in a 3-hour period across New Marlboro and Sheffield, MA resulting in severe flooding. Many roads and several bridges were washed out eventually isolating the two towns. About 89 miles of road were damaged. Typical washouts ranged up to 8 feet deep and roads that were 25 feet wide were reduced to only 10 feet. Power outages were widespread and a state of emergency was declared. The flooding was the worst since 1955 for the area and total damage was estimated near $10 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1988: Memorial Day heralded heavy snow in some of the mountains and higher passes of Wyoming, closing roads in Yellowstone Park. McDonald Pass, Montana was blanketed with eight inches of snow, while the temperature at Miles City, Montana soared to 94 degrees.

2002: About 40,000 people obtain permits each year to climb dangerous Mount Hood, OR. On this date, a group of four climbers roped together was about 800 feet from the summit at a ledge called the "Pearly Gates," when a misstep by two climbers at the rear of the group pulled them all down and they slid into five other climbers. One by one, the climbers fell into a deep horizontal gash in the ice that forms each spring, many of them falling as much as 250 feet. Three climbers died. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

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I'm the guest bartender at the St James Brewery this afternoon/evening (fundraiser at the tasting room for my SAR team) and was hoping for nice weather.  Instead we got a typical November day.  53° cloudy and windy at 1pm.  At least it wasn't last Saturday.  PS Stop in and say hello.

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56 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

I'm the guest bartender at the St James Brewery this afternoon/evening (fundraiser at the tasting room for my SAR team) and was hoping for nice weather.  Instead we got a typical November day.  53° cloudy and windy at 1pm.  At least it wasn't last Saturday.  PS Stop in and say hello.

Great place wish I lived closer.

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It will turn warmer tomorrow after a chilly start where New York City will start with lows in the lower 50s and many outlying areas will start in the 40s. Temperatures will return to the middle 70s. The first week of June will likely see temperatures average somewhat below normal to near normal. However very warm weather could arrive on Friday and then continue into the first weekend of June.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.83°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -26.33 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.174 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.3° (0.1° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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41.6°F this morning here. One of the coldest for this late in the season

Westhampton dropped to 30°F this morning. This is the latest freeze on record for KFOK. Old record was May 22nd with 32°F set in 2002. More recently, in 2020 the low was 33°F on June 1st

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First time since 1988 here around HVN that the strongest May wind gusts occurred so late in the month. So an unusually strong late May storm system. Very impressive omega block for this time of year.
 

IMG_6508.thumb.png.7bc59b0cd25a4c386ab86a3fcff3b92d.png

 

IMG_6510.thumb.png.86b2abd1f53d7672d7a61781fdee6d55.png
 

 

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Down to 40 here now 63 / 42.  A gorgeous day ahead mid 70s to low 80s as the ULL out to see and overall yesterday wasnt half bad.  Near normal / dry week balanced by a cooler Mon/Tue and warm to potentially sneaky heat Thu - Fri.  Overall normal to above once to the 4th and beyond.  Core of the highest departures remain to the north and west with flow flattening a bit - more ridging / sustained warmth second week of June.

 

GOES19-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

 

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 98 (2022)
NYC: 96 (1939)
LGA: 96 (1987)
JFK: 94 (2022)


Lows:

EWR: 44 (1938)
NYC: 46 (1938)
LGA: 50 (2021)
JFK: 48 (2023/2021)


Historical:

 

1830: Shelbyville, Tennessee was turned into "a heap of ruins" as a tornado moved east through the center of the town. This tornado destroyed 15 homes and 38 businesses along with churches and other public buildings. Losses were estimated to be as high as $100,000. A book was said to be carried seven miles away.

 

1858: A tornado moved across Warren County and devastated the town of Ellison, IL about 14 miles southwest of Monmouth. Only 3 cabins were left standing. 19 people were killed, and 60 injured, along the tornado's 5 mile long track. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1889 - The Johnstown disaster occurred, the worst flood tragedy in U.S. history. Heavy rains collapsed the South Fork Dam sending a thirty foot wall of water rushing down the already flooded Conemaugh Valley. The wall of water, traveling as fast as twenty-two feet per second, swept away all structures, objects and people. 2100 persons perished in the flood. (David Ludlum)

 

1927: Springtime of 1927 saw 18.64 inches of rain fall in the Peoria, IL area. This established their wettest Meteorological Spring (March, April, May period) on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1934: Early season heat gripped central Illinois. Springfield reported its earliest triple-digit high temperature on record, with a temperature of 101°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1941 - Thunderstorms deluged Burlington KS with 12.59 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel)

 

1954: Sioux Falls, SD recorded their latest snowfall on this date when a half inch was reported. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1961 : Boston, MA suburbs experience a late freeze. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

 

1983: Albany, NY experienced its wettest spring season in 109 years of records with 19.54 inches while Philadelphia, PA also had their wettest spring with 21.85 inches of precipitation. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1985 - Severe thuunderstorms spawned forty-one tornadoes across the Lower Great Lakes Region and southeastern Ontario which killed 74 persons. (Storm Data)

1987 - Thunderstorms in New England produced wind gusts up to 90 mph at Worcester, MA, and Northboro, MA, and hail an inch and a half in diameter at Williston, VT. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The afternoon high of 94 degrees at Portland, ME, was a record for the month of May. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Hot and humid weather prevailed in the eastern U.S. Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Cape Hatteras, NC, reported their first ninety degree day in May in 115 years of records. "Dust buster" thunderstorms in northwest Texas drenched Amarillo with more than three inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather and torrential rains in northern Indiana, northern Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Saint John IND was drenched with four inches of rain in two hours, and Woodland MI was deluged with two inches in twenty minutes. Pittsburgh PA reported a record 6.55 inches of rain for the month of May, with measurable rain reported on twenty-five days during the month. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from northwest Texas to southeastern Louisiana. The thunderstorms spawned sixteen tornadoes, including thirteen in northwest Texas. One tornado hit the town of Spearman, TX, causing more than a million dollars damage, and seven other tornadoes were reported within twenty-five miles of Spearman. Thunderstorms over northwest Texas also produced baseball size hail at Monahans, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Paducah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1991: May record seven consecutive 90°+ days-- DC May's record high temperature 99°, low 78° are both all time highs for May.
Norfolk, VA hit 100° setting a new all-time record high for the month of May and Philadelphia, PA hit 97° tying their May record high set the previous day. This was the warmest May on record in Washington, D.C. The city also observed a record 11 days of 90-degree heat. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1992: This May was the driest on record for Chicago, IL and Rockford, IL. Only 0.30 inches of rain fell at Chicago and Rockford had a paltry 0.48 inches. The total rainfall at El Paso, TX of this past month was 4.22 inches, making this the wettest May ever for the city. The normal rainfall for May is only 0.24 inches, which means that this month's rainfall total was 1,758% of normal. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1995: The U.S. set a new monthly tornado record in May, 1995 with 408 twisters reported. The record would be surpassed in the busy month of May 2003, when over 500 twisters were reported. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1997: Mount Washington, NH recorded 95.8 inches of snow for the month which exceeded the previous May snowfall record by 43.6 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

 

1997: Mount Washington, NH recorded 95.8 inches of snow for the month which exceeded the previous May snowfall record by 43.6 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2001: Death Valley National Park, CA recorded a high temperature of 118°, setting a daily record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: The average maximum temperature for May had a -7.32°F departure and was the coldest May on my 23-years of records. Baltimore BWI said May 2003 was the third coldest in the last 130 years! Annandale Weather Center listed May as the cloudiest May on record and the second cloudiest month in the last 23-years. Only November 1986 was cloudier and not by much. May also had 23 days with measurable precipitation the most ever recorded for any month. The old record was only 19 day in June of 1998. (Ref. Annandale Hills Weather Center)
 

2011: The Richmond area had its warmest spring and the eighth-warmest May on record. Figures released by the National Weather Service in Wakefield on Friday show the average temperature from March through May was 62.4 degrees. That breaks the mark of 61.5 degrees set for the three months in 2010. (Ref. Ref. NBC 12 News, Weather & NWS) (Ref. NWS & West Henrico Co. - Glen Allen Center)

 

2013: The 2nd of the top 10 weather events for 2013 was EL Reno, Oklahoma tornado of May 31, 2013. Part of the multi-day storm outbreak caused $2 billion in damage. The EF3 that traveled through the western suburbs of Oklahoma City was the largest tornado ever observed with a width of 2.6 miles. It took eight lives including four tornado chasers.

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