May 2026 Obs/Discussion

[WxWatcher007]

17 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No idea, I only do hurricanes in the summer....and incremental winter outlooks prep.

Well see you next November for winter coverage because I’ve already canceled Atlantic Hurricane Season 2026  

5 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

8 years ago.  Wild day for SW CT.  Thankfully I outran it and missed driving through it coming home.  

Don’t think I moved back yet but I def don’t remember this day. 

[OceanStWx]

53 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Well see you next November for winter coverage because I’ve already canceled Atlantic Hurricane Season 2026  

Don’t think I moved back yet but I def don’t remember this day. 

@CT Rain wakes up in the middle of the night thinking about this day.

[CT Rain]

9 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

@CT Rain wakes up in the middle of the night thinking about this day.

Indeed

[1985 Polar Bear]

8 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

The word drought and New England should never be used in the same sentence. 

No one did. Parts of Maine and New Hampshire are in moderate to severe drought. Just saying what the NWS is saying. 
 

[dendrite]

True warm season finally arrives tomorrow. It was a long 7 months.

Made it to 59° today thanks to the bit of sun this afternoon. 

[Lava Rock]

True warm season finally arrives tomorrow. It was a long 7 months.
Made it to 59° today thanks to the bit of sun this afternoon. 

90F tues. Yessah!

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[Damage In Tolland]

25 minutes ago, dendrite said:

True warm season finally arrives tomorrow. It was a long 7 months.

Made it to 59° today thanks to the bit of sun this afternoon. 

So naked.. so free

[OrangeCTWX]

8 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

8 years ago.  Wild day for SW CT.  Thankfully I outran it and missed driving through it coming home.  

Yep a wild day. My mother and brother were at a wedding near Carmel NY. I told them to get the hell out as soon as it was done. They thankfully just got out ahead of it. A lot of damage back there.
 

 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Less than .2” outta this hot mess of a storm.

[Damage In Tolland]

Such an exciting time of year. On the precipice of moving into and locking in deep summer . We begin tomorrow . It is over !

[Torch Tiger]

So exciting!  

[Hoth]

10 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

8 years ago.  Wild day for SW CT.  Thankfully I outran it and missed driving through it coming home.  

That was a wild day. Best structure I’ve seen in southern NE. My uncle got hit by the tornado on his way home from Waterbury. He had the rather extraordinary distinction of being hit directly by three tornadoes while living in SCT. House got smoked by the July ‘89 F4, then 2018 and 2020 (or was it ‘21?)

[WinterWolf]

50 minutes ago, Hoth said:

That was a wild day. Best structure I’ve seen in southern NE. My uncle got hit by the tornado on his way home from Waterbury. He had the rather extraordinary distinction of being hit directly by three tornadoes while living in SCT. House got smoked by the July ‘89 F4, then 2018 and 2020 (or was it ‘21?)

Wow!  Escaped em all here in Southington. Twisters don’t like my town. And That’s fine by me.  

[Typhoon Tip]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

True warm season finally arrives tomorrow. It was a long 7 months.

Made it to 59° today thanks to the bit of sun this afternoon. 

Quite possibly the best symbolic metric for that is the fact that the nights won’t be nearly as cold. This will cause a healthy status of green up to go full on jungle by the end of the week.
 

Frankly, I’m amazed green ups as far as it is the way it’s been dipping into 37 every night for the past 7000 years

[dendrite]

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Such an exciting time of year. On the precipice of moving into and locking in deep summer . We begin tomorrow . It is over !

May start drinking Pepsi to see if I can taste the sweat in it

[rimetree]

1.91" last three days. Sun broke out early evening. Looking forward to a taste of summer.

[vortex95]

On 5/13/2026 at 8:26 PM, CoastalWx said:

My point is when you have various people from various parts of the industry, as well as what I have been noticing too… It tells you that something isn’t ready for primetime. They got three months to figure this out.

One other thing, and this is biggie.  The NAM has always been useless when it comes to TCs.  It sucks w/ track and intensity, doing all sorts of odd things.  It never was designed to handle TCs.

The HRRR seems to handle TCs well, and no reason to think the RRFS will not be the same.  I'll check further on this.

Everyone seems focus on the negative for the "new stuff," but leaves out the shortcomings of the present, like the NAM guidance, that has sig drawbacks.

One thing I will miss, the NAM MOS handles low-level cold air much better than the GFS MOS.  Which brings me to another point, is there MOS-type output for other models, CAM and global?  If so, what is a good site to view it?  W/ NAM MOS going away, more and more will likely just look at 2 m temps (some do already), and run w/ them -- not good in the longer ranges!

[vortex95]

On 5/14/2026 at 10:17 AM, OceanStWx said:

Permanent change. I haven't seen the updated best coverage of the lowest scan maps yet, but I think we're now looking at BOX being the better radar from near PSM to Sunapee. The biggest change is we gain like 2000 feet of viewing near EEN, and ENX is basically no longer necessary to look at. 

So WSR-88Ds can now go as low as 0.3 deg for BREF1?

[vortex95]

On 5/14/2026 at 3:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

Looks like we stein here. Rain will be fairly brief. The spring of stein. 

Given the sfc low tracked/developed right over SNE, are you surprised?  Scott needs to look up his 700 low track rule for dry slots!  

[vortex95]

14 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

The word drought and New England should never be used in the same sentence. 

How about "hot?"  Somehow temps in the low 80s now have become "hot" on local TV forecasts.  It all falls in pushing the "hot" narrative overall. 

85-90 or upper 80s historically has been hot for New England in forecasts.

[vortex95]

14 hours ago, tamarack said:

You're too young to have experienced the 1960s.  

Yes, the last real multi-year drought in New England was in the 1960s, and yet the media has turned the word "drought" into a fear-mongering term, acting like its very existence is somehow atypical.

Every time we get into a extended period (up to 6 months) dry here, it always seems to correct itself after this time.  But that's not good for the fear-mongers, they just invented "weather whiplash" to still be negative/gloom and doom.  What, do they expect gentle April showers all the time and no drought conditions ever?