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If any of you weirdos claim this weather is nice or whatever, I was at my older kids soccer game and it was outright miserable out, about as cold and wet as I’ve felt at one of her games in years, I will find out where you live and choke you with my bare hands. 
 

Funny thing, I played at 8:30 this morning and it was fine. 

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Additional rain and showers are likely tonight and tomorrow. A storm total 0.50"-1.50" rainfall with some locally higher amounts remains on track. It will also remain unseasonably cool with temperatures topping out in the middle 50s to end the weekend.

Monday and Tuesday will be somewhat warmer with highs reaching the lower and middle 60s.

However, another shot of rain and cooler temperatures will arrive during the middle of the week. May could also open with cooler than normal conditions.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer.

The SOI was -28.48 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.884 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 96% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.2° (1.5° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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