Brian5671 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 28 minutes ago, JLPhill said: I'm a longtime follower and infrequent poster who grew up on the South Shore but now lives in Huntington Station. I'm a little confused by the complaints about this spring. Maybe it's because I'm used to the relentless sea breezes on the South Shore, but this spring has been well above average in terms of temperature and overall weather. My ambient station, which is well-sited and typically runs highs somewhere between LGA and FRG, is showing an average high temperature of 57.3 from March 1 through today: 52.6 in March and 63.4 in April. That feels closer to a Central Jersey spring than a Long Island one. Even the data that @bluewave shared shows JFK/ISP at 55.5/54.3 average spring-to-date, versus normals of 52.7 and 51.9 with precip below normal. Definitely been warm since 3/1 or so. With regard to April have to consider the 5 days of +20 to +30 skewing things abit. But I'm in your camp-so far we've done ok this spring. Some years it seems like we get days and days of stratus and 45 degrees 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Definitely been warm since 3/1 or so. With regard to April have to consider the 5 days of +20 to +30 skewing things abit. But I'm in your camp-so far we've done ok this spring. Some years it seems like we get days and days of stratus and 45 degrees Spring is just typically a lousy season here. The best weather months here are Sept-Oct when you still have the warmed up ocean waters but the heat waves are over. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JLPhill Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 53 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Spring is just typically a lousy season here. The best weather months here are Sept-Oct when you still have the warmed up ocean waters but the heat waves are over. I don't disagree with that. I think my expectations are appropriately low given the climate. We could also live in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Today ended up being a perfect spring day. Mid 60s when I went for a run earlier. As soon as the wind switched to SE the temp dropped but it’s still nice in the sun. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 19 minutes ago, JLPhill said: I don't disagree with that. I think my expectations are appropriately low given the climate. We could also live in Boston. Boston also regularly gets 40"+ per winter. That's their cost for the good winters. GFS looks generally putrid for the remainder of the month into May with blocky wet nastiness. Hope people are enjoying today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago A cool and wet weekend lies ahead. Highs will reach only the lower 50s tomorrow and the middle and upper 50s on Sunday. Periods of rain are likely on tomorrow into Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 0.50"-1.50" with a few locally higher amounts are likely across the region. Beyond the weekend, temperatures will likely remain generally below normal for the remainder of April. May could also open with cooler than normal conditions. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was -10.82 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.231 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 93% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.3° (1.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: A cool and wet weekend lies ahead. Highs will reach only the lower 50s tomorrow and the middle and upper 50s on Sunday. Periods of rain are likely on tomorrow into Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 0.50"-1.50" with a few locally higher amounts are likely across the region. Beyond the weekend, temperatures will likely remain generally below normal for the remainder of April. May could also open with cooler than normal conditions. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around April 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.43°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.15°C. El Niño conditions will likely develop during late spring or early summer. The SOI was -10.82 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.231 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 93% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 55.3° (1.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. I notice the April likely mean temp departures are going down lately. Tomorrow and Sunday will knock 'em down another notch. Today was gorgeous though, got in a hike on Jayne's Hill and West Hills. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 66 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 7 hours ago, JLPhill said: I'm a longtime follower and infrequent poster who grew up on the South Shore but now lives in Huntington Station. I'm a little confused by the complaints about this spring. Maybe it's because I'm used to the relentless sea breezes on the South Shore, but this spring has been well above average in terms of temperature and overall weather. My ambient station, which is well-sited and typically runs highs somewhere between LGA and FRG, is showing an average high temperature of 57.3 from March 1 through today: 52.6 in March and 63.4 in April. That feels closer to a Central Jersey spring than a Long Island one. Even the data that @bluewave shared shows JFK/ISP at 55.5/54.3 average spring-to-date, versus normals of 52.7 and 51.9 with precip below normal. I was comparing our weather(I am in Melville)to New Jersey, not the immediate coast. You make good point about a normal spring here. I’ve grown accustomed to warmer springs. And last week was such a tease weather wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 53 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I notice the April likely mean temp departures are going down lately. Tomorrow and Sunday will knock 'em down another notch. Today was gorgeous though, got in a hike on Jayne's Hill and West Hills. April temps will take a hit. Jayne’s Hill is an enjoyable hike. My dogs love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Today isnt gonna be as bad as hyped. At least not the first half 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 40 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Today isnt gonna be as bad as hyped. At least not the first half It sure as heck isn’t great for outdoor activities. Currently at an intramural baseball game. Feels like early March in late April. Hopefully the travel doubleheader is canceled for later due to rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 48 / 41 clouds east flow. Rain - brunt if it between 2PM and 2AM with more to the north and an overall 0.50 - 1.50 for the area. Cool overall through the next 10 - 14 days with trough into the east. Moderation in the May 5-9 timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago wore the winter gear this morning tomorrow will probably be the last time i will be able to do it until this fall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago gee i wonder how psv will feel about today and tomorrow weather 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago rain hitting a brick wall here for now-sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 19 minutes ago Share Posted 19 minutes ago Obligatory "if only this was winter". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 11 minutes ago Share Posted 11 minutes ago 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: gee i wonder how psv will feel about today and tomorrow weather Horrific. My son’s baseball game suspended at noon. Kids frozen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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