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Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs


Torch Tiger
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12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

“Tropical” wasn’t even a thing.

Yeah, I mean anecdotal and not trying to bait some warming discussion… but I genuinely remember being a lifeguard in high school at some local municipal pools and we’d sit in the office with the one computer hooked up to the Internet and look at Steve LaPoint’s WRGB forecasts for Albany (one of the first Mets with online forecasts in the area)… he’d post those charts and if it went above 60F dews we’d know the pool would be busy.  Feels like it used to live in that 55-65F range for vast potions of the summer. 

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah, I mean anecdotal and not trying to bait some warming discussion… but I genuinely remember being a lifeguard in high school at some local municipal pools and we’d sit in the office with the one computer hooked up to the Internet and look at Steve LaPoint’s WRGB forecasts for Albany (one of the first Mets with online forecasts in the area)… he’d post those charts and if it went above 60F dews we’d know the pool would be busy.  Feels like it used to live in that 55-65F range for vast potions of the summer. 

Yore!

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not to be a douche but I warned ya. 

It said this couple whatever days ago that it's very precarious given both our climatology, but the season's persistence/behavior, to sustain a stationary boundary with +PP running E of Ontario without it collapsing S. 

It may even go back N... ?  sure.  I just would be duly impressed if we actually got  5 or 6 days in a row of 70+ weather. Not given our climatology of mid April alone, but then including the way persistence has also been over the last 7 month,  heh.   That'd be pretty fantastic 

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Sides, that doesn't look "ruined" to me "as is".    It's probably a waste of time to discuss the snap shot, particularly at this range, but for shits and giggles.. we are still 558+ hydrostats when that front episodically slips S.  It's not like that's we 540- bisecting Maine.     

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14 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

We did…but that set the stage for the next two winters(92-93, and 93-94)  which started the big run. And then we had a shit year, and then 95-96 broke 93-94!  Before all that started everybody thought the big winters were a thing of the past.  That’s why I laugh at the pessimists now…I lived through the horror, and we came back stronger than ever. And we will AGAIN! 

What helped was a major volcano (Pinatubo). This caused global temperatures to drop temporarily, making it favorable for cold and snowy winters in 92-93, 93-94, and even 95-96. If not for that, then global temperatures would have broken records in 1992, following a 3rd robust el nino in a decade (after 1982-83 and 1986-88). But the cooling period was over by the 1997-98 super el nino, the fourth robust el nino in just over 15 years.

Unless there is another Pinatubo this summer, I expect global temperatures to shatter another record (following a 2nd robust el nino in 4 years), making it unlikely we have another cold and snowy period like 92-93, 93-94, and 95-96.

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11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It comes through around sunrise for ENE with falling temps. There’s no moral victories on Thursday. Euro took a turn in this direction at 12z as well. Saturday may be salvageable.

image.png

It's really super shallow, too. 

The 850 mb temp and wind layout really doesn't even speed up over that. It's all from 925 and lower 

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1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

What helped was a major volcano (Pinatubo). This caused global temperatures to drop temporarily, making it favorable for cold and snowy winters in 92-93, 93-94, and even 95-96. If not for that, then global temperatures would have broken records in 1992, following a 3rd robust el nino in a decade (after 1982-83 and 1986-88). But the cooling period was over by the 1997-98 super el nino, the fourth robust el nino in just over 15 years.

Unless there is another Pinatubo this summer, I expect global temperatures to shatter another record (following a 2nd robust el nino in 4 years), making it unlikely we have another cold and snowy period like 92-93, 93-94, and 95-96.

Whatever?  No eruptions and yet good winters through the 2000’s and 2000 teens.  I can’t figure out where you’re going with this, and really don’t care. But it’s all good. 

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