Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago WB 0Z EURO for the 16-17 period. EPS does have an eastern trough. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO for the 16-17 period. EPS does does have an eastern trough. Does this mean it Does Not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago So we are all feeling sick next Tuesday and Wednesday? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 10 minutes ago, snowfan said: So we are all feeling sick next Tuesday and Wednesday? I'm sure it will cloudy and 44 lol. March is the pits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 8 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year How reliable is this forecast this far out? Looks like it wants a super Nino but this is only early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Fozz said: How reliable is this forecast this far out? Looks like it wants a super Nino but this is only early March. The Euro ENSO forecasts have a warm bias per looking at 20+ years of forecasts even as late as forecasts issued in early summer. Also, this chart is predicting ONI. RONI has now replaced ONI for official NWS monitoring: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/ RONI is currently ~0.5C cooler than ONI meaning that this chart is implicitly predicting only ~+1.6 in Sept rather than +2.1. If one then does a bias correction, they’d come up with only a low +1s RONI for Sept (moderate as of then) although it’s still rising then on the chart implying higher later. @Stormchaserchuck1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Clearly a window in the period the OP is advertising. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago White St Paddy’s day. Sure I’m in. You can add white to any holiday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Mid March slop storm for DC and points north on the Euro AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Concerning any potential last snow event around mid-month/St. Pat's Day... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 16 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year During the past 50 years those values have resulted in heavy snowfall winters............................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 hours ago, bncho said: Mid March slop storm for DC and points north on the Euro AI RI and SE MA jacks again. Atmospheric memory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 28 minutes ago, stormy said: During the past 50 years those values have resulted in heavy snowfall winters............................ 23-24, 15-16, 97-98, 91-92, 82-83, 72-73, 65-66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 17 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year guess you can write off next winter for the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago WB 18Z GFS does have fantasy storm during mid March period. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18z Euro AI delivers the Happy hour goods just in time for St. Patty’s Day! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Eh, not exactly the ideal look at h5 for a MA snowstorm. Surface isn't bad but if that HP ends up a bit further east it wouldn't end well. It's March though, and some weird shit can happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago A successful outcome for that window continues to look dependent on a -WPO, +PNA, and a southward displaced TPV. A pretty favorable combo, but the AO/NAO is not good, so timing would be critical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Grade this winter please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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