stormtracker Posted March 9 Author Share Posted March 9 That's right people. Wake up. I'm going to get us snow through sheer will. Don't be a quitter people. I can't believe some of you let the seductive charms of a few mild days get you. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: 18z GFS on the board for one of my comeback specials. No bandwagoners when this happens. We know who you are!! Present but wondering why I’m still in class after the ap exams type feeling. Something could still happen but would take a miracle. 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS between the 17th and the 24th delivers the goods below. I guess the run shows at least there is potential during this period. I guess everyone is not buying it because it is very quiet in here.... been a long time since the GFS produced this kind of epic run. Unironically a January Storm redux but somehow even more impactful. I’d be seated for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That's right people. Wake up. I'm going to get us snow through sheer will. Don't be a quitter people. I can't believe some of you let the seductive charms of a few mild days get you. Damn right, we got this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 it's actually not a bad time to be bullish on March, analogs of the DJF pattern shows it repeats for March 60% of the time, which is pretty high. The SW, US heat ridge is looking like a constant. That drops a trough into the Northeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 10 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: it's actually not a bad time to be bullish on March, analogs of the DJF pattern shows it repeats for March 60% of the time, which is pretty high. The SW, US heat ridge is looking like a constant. That drops a trough into the Northeast. CHUCK IS ON BOARD!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 I keep trying to focus on life and warm weather but I’m constantly getting sucked back in. When does it end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 WB 18Z AI EURO does not have a flake for us. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I keep trying to focus on life and warm weather but I’m constantly getting sucked back in. When does it end? It already is, lets go spring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: CHUCK IS ON BOARD!!!!!! Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, CAPE said: 10 day snow maps galore! In mid March lol. Could happen, but op run snow maps aren't going to provide much insight. We're not here for insight, we're here for entertainment....and the 18z is just that! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 7 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter. Chuck is starting to cave yall, big news for the unemployed weenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 WB 18Z GEFS 7 day period . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 Anyone other than me notice the Gfs Kuchera is more than the 10:1 map? That's impressive for mid-March. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 There continues to be a signal for something on the mean for around St Patty's day. We shall see. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter. Teleconnections look completely unfavorable for a sustained below average temp regime during the second half of March though. I just think the models are completely off base here in regards to what happens after St. Patrick's Day for the Midwest especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 2 minutes ago, cmillzz said: Teleconnections look completely unfavorable for a sustained below average temp regime during the second half of March though. I just think the models are completely off base here in regards to what happens after St. Patrick's Day for the Midwest especially. Strong +NAO being the biggest counter factor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 2 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Strong +NAO being the biggest counter factor could be from +TNH bc of the SSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 4 minutes ago, bncho said: could be from +TNH bc of the SSW? SSW should be giving us -NAO by the end of the month.. doesn't always work though, and the last few March's SSWs haven't had much of a -nao correlation. Should be interesting to see if models have it wrong though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 10 hours ago, yoda said: The 70 degree temperatures have captured me Cover your ears, don't get pulled into that siren song that is 70s in March. Get yourself together, your melting like the Bruins with a 3-0 lead! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 16 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS between the 17th and the 24th delivers the goods below. I guess the run shows at least there is potential during this period. I guess everyone is not buying it because it is very quiet in here.... been a long time since the GFS produced this kind of epic run. Yeah I don't get it.. I mean if fantasy day 16 storms don't pan out in late March when will it? Clearly it has under done the freezing rain threat for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain. Lucy is warming up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 49 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain. Oh yeah - bring it. Enough with chasing highs of 43 and being mad when something anomolous invariably fails… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9 Author Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said: Oh yeah - bring it. Enough with chasing highs of 43 and being mad when something anomolous invariably fails… Get in the bus, we’re going winning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 JB referencing March 1993! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 JB referencing March 1993!It’s also Monday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 What happened to all the glorious snow maps that were being posted the last couple days? Gone poof? Does that mean its over? No silly snow maps, so no chance of a storm? Fucking dead in here. Looking at you @Weather Will The answer ofc is no. The h5 pattern largely looks the same, so potential remains. Devil is in the details- meaning, as usual, wave timing, interplay, and spacing. Sure its not a high probability given climo, but its silly to geek out over day 8-10 day snow maps then disappear when they go poof. Have some sticktoitiveness ffs. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9 Author Share Posted March 9 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: What happened to all the glorious snow maps that were being posted the last couple days? Gone poof? Does that mean its over? No silly snow maps, so no chance of a storm? Fucking dead in here. Looking at you @Weather Will The answer ofc is no. The h5 pattern largely looks the same, so potential remains. Devil is in the details- meaning, as usual, wave timing, interplay, and spacing. Sure its not a high probability given climo, but its silly to geek out over day 8-10 snow maps then disappear when they go poof. Have some sticktoitiveness ffs. My man. Glad to have you on the bus. I’m ashamed of my own forum right now. Been crying myself to sleep over this forum. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 9 Author Share Posted March 9 46 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: JB referencing March 1993! Broken clock. This time, I swear, it’s gonna work out. We get Storms of the Century like 19 times per century. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 5 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain. shocker - that El Niño can't get fired up soon enough. I've got plants that look starved at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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