Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago WB 0Z EURO for the 16-17 period. EPS does have an eastern trough. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EURO for the 16-17 period. EPS does does have an eastern trough. Does this mean it Does Not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago So we are all feeling sick next Tuesday and Wednesday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 10 minutes ago, snowfan said: So we are all feeling sick next Tuesday and Wednesday? I'm sure it will cloudy and 44 lol. March is the pits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 8 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year How reliable is this forecast this far out? Looks like it wants a super Nino but this is only early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Fozz said: How reliable is this forecast this far out? Looks like it wants a super Nino but this is only early March. The Euro ENSO forecasts have a warm bias per looking at 20+ years of forecasts even as late as forecasts issued in early summer. Also, this chart is predicting ONI. RONI has now replaced ONI for official NWS monitoring: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/ RONI is currently ~0.5C cooler than ONI meaning that this chart is implicitly predicting only ~+1.6 in Sept rather than +2.1. If one then does a bias correction, they’d come up with only a low +1s RONI for Sept (moderate as of then) although it’s still rising then on the chart implying higher later. @Stormchaserchuck1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Clearly a window in the period the OP is advertising. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago White St Paddy’s day. Sure I’m in. You can add white to any holiday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Mid March slop storm for DC and points north on the Euro AI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Concerning any potential last snow event around mid-month/St. Pat's Day... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted just now Share Posted just now 16 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Euro seasonal going crazy for Strong El Nino later this year During the past 50 years those values have resulted in heavy snowfall winters............................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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