“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[78Blizzard]

I slept soundly during the blizzard of '78.  There was no internet to check, and thus no meso models to get updated.

[NeonPeon]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

That's how I was up in SLK during the SN+ the other day. I didn't dare mention it to my wife. 

 

Nice. I just got back from the Southern Adirondacks for some cross country at Lapland lake, I booked in a couple trips because the last couple winters didn't exist down here. This winter has delivered here, and delivered at least 8 inches of snow both times I went to the Adirondacks as well. It's really healing me.

[NeonPeon]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

I slept soundly during the blizzard of '78.  There was no internet to check, and thus no meso models to get updated.

I'm pretty sure the outside existed though, and windows, no?

[shawnmov]

7 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

I'm pretty sure the outside existed though, and windows, no?

First time I ever saw thunder snow. Was 9 years old.  Epic. 

[DavisStraight]

8 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

I'm pretty sure the outside existed though, and windows, no?

I stayed up til midnight watching news from a spot in the living room watching the snow under a streetlight, it came down sideways til I went to bed.

[UnitedWx]

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Simsbury area?

No question 

[78Blizzard]

7 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

I'm pretty sure the outside existed though, and windows, no?

Yeah, they did.  And after taking 3 hours to drive home and actually make it, which is normally a half hour ride, I needed the rest.  If I didn't take the back roads home instead of my usual ride on route 128, I would have been one of the thousands stranded there.  And i got stuck a couple of times and was lucky to make it home.  So yeah, I know the outside existed. 

[Damage In Tolland]

[cut]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Was just looking at radar and thinking a nice band for CT coast incoming.

[Roger Smith]

The 500 mb low has not quite captured the coastal yet and it is supposed to drop from 528 to 510 overnight while the surface low drops from maybe 990 at present to 970 or a bit lower. You would have to say that promises all-out mayhem on radar across Long Island and later SE Mass before morning. 

 

[VivaManchVegas]

17 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

I'm pretty sure the outside existed though, and windows, no?

It was a different time. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Roger Smith said:

The 500 mb low has not quite captured the coastal yet and it is supposed to drop from 528 to 510 overnight while the surface low drops from maybe 990 at present to 970 or a bit lower. You would have to say that promises all-out mayhem on radar across Long Island and later SE Mass before morning. 

 

Are you thinking 60-70 inches in spots?

[dan11295]

is it just me or is the latest HRRR runs really cutting back on QPF as least for areas N/W of Boston

[Roger Smith]

No, but some drifts may exceed 8 feet. I assume it's a fun question about those amounts, but I would say local max to 36 inches is possible, 30 almost certain. Think it's already pretty obvious where in NJ and central LI, and would say (like BOX is forecasting) inland SE Mass. 

Can you wring 12 inches out of this? Seems a rather compact if potent storm. I already said 23 inches for BOS yesterday, sticking to that.

[HoarfrostHubb]

16 minutes ago, shawnmov said:

First time I ever saw thunder snow. Was 9 years old.  Epic. 

Same.  First Thundersnow for me.   Insane wind roaring too.   I was also 9

[HoarfrostHubb]

7 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

is it just me or is the latest HRRR runs really cutting back on QPF as least for areas N/W of Boston

Yes.    

[Torch Tiger]

7 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

is it just me or is the latest HRRR runs really cutting back on QPF as least for areas N/W of Boston

run after run it has been cutting back the NW side.

[tiger_deF]

10 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

is it just me or is the latest HRRR runs really cutting back on QPF as least for areas N/W of Boston

Night ruined

[FXWX]

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I will take the opposite  side of the  argument for the recovery time from a redux of the 1938 hurricane...

Can't disagree... The infrastructure recovery might be a massive issue...

[Torch Tiger]

cut 'em back

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I will take the opposite  side of the  argument for the recovery time from a redux of the 1938 hurricane...

Just a bona fide C1 would be catastrophic IMO. 

[TheSnowman]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

cut 'em back

6 Days in a row, Including when I started the thread, Touch Tiger is the King of Anti-Snow for this system.  

 

And study for RI / SE Mass the later run is Better haha.  

[DomNH]

HRRR does throw a decent deform band back this way tomorrow AM for a bit, but otherwise not super impressive N an W of 495. 

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, TheSnowman said:

6 Days in a row, Including when I started the thread, Touch Tiger is the King of Anti-Snow for this system.  

 

And study for RI / SE Mass the later run is Better haha.  

nothing I said was untrue, and I'm more than happy for SE NE.  Hope you get 3'

[VivaManchVegas]

4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

6 Days in a row, Including when I started the thread, Touch Tiger is the King of Anti-Snow for this system.  

 

And study for RI / SE Mass the later run is Better haha.  

Team Torch....

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, DomNH said:

HRRR does throw a decent deform band back this way tomorrow AM for a bit, but otherwise not super impressive N an W of 495. 

No use torturing yourself with it now...just get some rest and watch unfold...plenty of times the bullseye has ended up where there was only like an inch of QPF. Does it mean that will happen now? No, but nothing I said is untrue either.

[Masswx]

Dad panicking over hrrr

[VivaManchVegas]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No use torturing yourself with it now...just get some rest and watch unfold...plenty to times the bullseye has ended up where there was only like an inch of QPF.

Everyone out of the sandbox... In all honesty... hope everyone has a great night..  

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr looks horrible lol. Hope it’s wrong. 

[MegaMike]

Now, wind gust parameterizations perform terribly (usually overestimated), but the (edit: 18z) HRRR has gusts approaching 70mph for Norton, MA around 9am tomorrow morning.