ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: Blizzard watches are still a thing? no just winter storm watches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: When are you getting back Jerry? Just past midnight tonight. Had to go through ATL with a 2 hour layover. NAM is amazing and 3k even better! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Just past midnight tonight. Had to go through ATL with a 2 hour layover. NAM is amazing and 3k even better! that's so awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 33 minutes ago, vortex95 said: And how about this? Look at the DY2 SPC tstm outlook. How often do you see such a large area of general tstms outlooked on the COLD side coastal storm, never mind a full-fledged blizzard???? I can't recall such a large general tstm area for a KU! But if anyone knows something similar, please post! I don’t know if this qualifies but the Carolinas had a tornado outbreak when we had a huge nor’easter back in March 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Got home about 2 pm. LFG!! Looks like we’re on the verge of something memorable at the least. I am about 3 miles north of the blizzard warning lol…I’ll expect blizzard conditions. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Not quite sure why GYX has put a watch up—maybe just to make me feel better 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 55 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: One thing I have noticed about our big dogs is that they tend to sneak up on us in the 48-72 hours window (likely because the energy is finally sampled) and QPF tends to continuously increase up until go time. Completely agreed here. I mentioned this either last night or the night before, when the ensemble means were down to 522 dm at 84 to 90 hours lead! Historic events are typically not seen in the mid range. More often than not - though yes there are rare exceptions - your plotting a major with very impressive parametrics, and then it goes out of control almost during now cast and bests even the outlooks. 1993 and 'Sandy' are examples of notable exceptions. This one has been suggesting history for since about 48 hours ago, when it was just one or two outliers going bonkers. Now it seems there are less conservative model visions than going the other way. So I dunno. going to be an interesting event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 BWC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: BWC? Fan of it? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS pretty steadfast at 18z...excellent to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 36 minutes ago, vortex95 said: And how about this? Look at the DY2 SPC tstm outlook. How often do you see such a large area of general tstms outlooked on the COLD side coastal storm, never mind a full-fledged blizzard???? I can't recall such a large general tstm area for a KU! But if anyone knows something similar, please post! So impressive! The 18z HRRR has a 3-5% chance of lightning (throughout the entire atmosphere) for Providence from 12am-3am on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: BBC? Go for it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: LFG!!!! Strong to Damaging Winds: a very strong low level NE jet up to 80 kt will traverse RI and eastern MA. Model soundings from both the NAM and GFS support gusts up to 45-55 mph, but as high as 70 mph possible across Cape Cod and the Islands! These wind speeds combined with the heavy snowfall rates will create white out conditions at times, hence a blizzard warning has been issued for RI and eastern MA. If the low trends farther west, blizzard warnings may need to be expanded into the Worcester Hills It's like they don't even think of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sled Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: BWC? We cripple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaun Curry Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, MegaMike said: So impressive! The 18z HRRR has a 3-5% chance of lightning (throughout the entire atmosphere) for Providence from 12am-3am on Monday. Does this mean that RI gets Jim Cantore on the thundersnow beat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: GFS pretty steadfast at 18z...excellent to see. QPF meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 GFS looks a little south/east at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 LOL, just saw a storm update on FoxNews and their map depicted an area of 24-36" just south of Boston toward the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Yeah a little SE for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 AIFS a tick SE too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Fan of it? Maybe 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 0.15” QPF for me that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah a little SE for sure. shuffle has begun, early? Or just some noise, guess ensembles will be a bit more telling.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: QPF meh 2.14” meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah a little SE for sure. Flies in the face of NAM and the Mesos which have been moving nnw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: QPF meh Yeah it is a bit further south and east...I was just thinking it was noise but next few frame was definitely more than just noise. I think from here on out its really going to be about focusing on the CCB and how it evolves and does it pivot and where so...thats where we're going to probably see 2"+ QPF. Even though the valley shows less for QPF (especially just north in MA I don't think you can totally rule out the valley getting clobbered or even a scenario where the heaviest banding actually pivots across the valley 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Flies in the face of NAM and the Mesos which have been moving nnw. Nah there has been a LBSW trend today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now