Jt17 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago The Canadian Ensemble mean also has 12”+ potential back to NYC. Show that to the guy who wanted one non-US model to show an amped solution. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, boxingdayblizzard said: Does the ai euro run at 18z? Yes it does 10 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, boxingdayblizzard said: Does the ai euro run at 18z? Yes comes out around 6:15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, Jt17 said: Show that to the guy who wanted one non-US model to show an amped solution. . What about the JMA? That was one of the first to have the storm also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago KU IF Correct -- I would take 1/2 of this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, NsWx516 said: What about the JMA? That was one of the first to have the storm also The JMA got February 2006 right two weeks before it actually occurred. Those were great times. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: KU IF Correct -- I would take 1/2 of this Why take half when you can have full? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: KU IF Correct -- I would take 1/2 of this just saw a pennsy weather discussion online where they said welp, we went from a minor event to potentially historic here...... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Mail Man said: Yes it does 10 minutes Love all the replies! Let’s see what euros do in the next 30 minutes then. Been fun to track this storm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago HECS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Nibor said: Why take half when you can have full? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Would love for the euro to hop into a major storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, Nibor said: Why take half when you can have full? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NsWx516 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, Mail Man said: Would love for the euro to hop into a major storm. Honestly in this point and time I dont see how it cannot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, NsWx516 said: Honestly in this point and time I dont see how it cannot well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Jt17 said: Show that to the guy who wanted one non-US model to show an amped solution. . That’s what everyone want’s to see starting at 0z. Since the NAM is still outside its best under 48 hr range and it hasn’t had an update since 2017. Plus the OP GFS is still more amped and further west than the other operational guidance. But I can see a meet in the middle scenario where we come in under than the OP GFS snowfall totals but higher than some of the other operational runs. We should have a good idea after the 0z to 12z guidance. Sometimes the max banding potential can sneak a little more west than the average of the guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 18 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Mt Holly 1/10 chance maps. Haven't seen something like this in a LONG time A few weeks ago 18-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, Santa Claus said: well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong The EURO caved to the GFS. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Santa Claus said: well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong I mean basically every recent model suite is showing a minimum of 10” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 47 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: gotta spread awareness you don't want people scheduling stuff during a blizzard, it's going to be dangerous to be out and about! thing that is worrisome is its going to be a heavy wet snow with high winds that causes problems . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Yeah right from the start euro is phasing better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low. Euro trying to play catch up to the GFS - SAD !! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: Already positive changes. Steeper ridge out west. More phased/slightly sharper trough. A little more spacing with the eventual 50/50 low. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey_Snowhole Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, NEG NAO said: Euro trying to play catch up to the GFS - SAD !! What has this world become? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Santa Claus said: well here’s another possibility that the GFS is wrong Nah, that never happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mail Man Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Hearing euro ai is west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, Mail Man said: Hearing euro ai is west Yes 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, gravitylover said: Nah, that never happens even if it is half wrong its still a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 2 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I would also add to that the days with snow cover in NYC this season. If this storm does verify, the number of days this winter may approach or exceed 50. I don't really know how many winters have had over 50 days of snow cover in NYC. The last one off the top of my head was 2010/11. There may have been 1 or 2 after that but I'm not sure. We still have 2-3" of heavy snow/sleet on our entire property (over 1" since 1/17), although it's no longer topped off with a hard frozen sleetcrete layer anymore as that has softened up from the rain/warmth. Should still be >1" on Sunday and then boom! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now