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February Discobs 2026


George BM
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This is something I’ve never seen before. I have literally hundreds of snow balls in the yard. I’d say they vary from a small cantaloupe to a small watermelon in size. The upslope from the past few days is pure fluff. The snow falling now is much wetter. The wind pushed the snow into these perfectly round shapes. Almost like Mother Nature starting a snowman.
87cbbafc6de76650a573171dba4d8067.jpg

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1 minute ago, katabatic said:

This is something I’ve never seen before. I have literally hundreds of snow balls in the yard. I’d say they vary from a small cantaloupe to a small watermelon in size. The upslope from the past few days is pure fluff. The snow falling now is much wetter. The wind pushed the snow into these perfectly round shapes. Almost like Mother Nature starting a snowman.
87cbbafc6de76650a573171dba4d8067.jpg

Rollers! I experienced this phenomenon in Delaware! I actually caught it happening. Some rollers went for 10-15' and got as big as a grapefruit.

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1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

We did some reanalysis of the GFSv16 (Current model iteration) and GFSv17 (Newer GFS that will replace the current version) and found the current GFS actually did a phenomenal job at SLP placement for majority of its runs and absolutely smoked the CMC and ECMWF overall. However, it did have a 48 hr window where the SLP depiction was about 50-75 miles too far west and that caused a lot of QPF negative feedback on the western periphery of the main field. It handled a lot of other areas correctly and outperformed the EC and CMC still on QPF as those models were way too light on QPF. 
 

Overall, it was a great job by the GFS, but as is always the case, the result is usually a blend of models and not just one individual deterministic. The NBM QPF was skewed by some overly zealous members, mainly some CAMs that will actually not be there for the next version of the NBM (NBM5.0). We are working with MDL (Model Diagnostics Lab) to generate these analyses to improve upon what we have and go forward. Overall forecast ended up being amazing for the high impacted areas and average at best for those on the edges. With a storm like this, every mile can make a big difference in appreciable impacts. 

Bringing this over from another spot so it has more visibility. Wanted to shed a little light on something interesting about this last storm. 
 

As for obs, currently 40/25° 

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15 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Bringing this over from another spot so it has more visibility. Wanted to shed a little light on something interesting about this last storm. 
 

As for obs, currently 40/25° 

Great summary. I agree the forecast was spot on and a 75 mile difference is minimal given the window.  Thanks for sharing. 

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Alright Catoctin cloud factory, I'd like to see some prolonged sun today, please.  Places further south and east get more snow and less clouds.  I'm bitter.  Though it does look like some breaks in the clouds to the west incoming.

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6 hours ago, MillvilleWx said:

Bringing this over from another spot so it has more visibility. Wanted to shed a little light on something interesting about this last storm. 
 

As for obs, currently 40/25° 

We actually did decent precip-wise in Frederick on Sunday...the problem was it was mostly rain, whereas most of our true busts are expected to be snow, but just lack any significant precip.  Not having a strong high to the north really messed up the first part of that storm imo.

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46 here after a high of 50.

Snowpack dwindling but still about 80% coverage. When I look out my kitchen window I still see a snow covered landscape, from my wooded area to the farm field beyond.

I think there have been 26 days with snow otg this winter. Pretty impressive.

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