katabatic Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Steady snow this morning - temperature rose to 40 overnight on SW winds but once precip started, fell back to its current 30. About 1.5" otg from this latest round. I'll probably pick up another 2" before temps climb late morning/early afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This is something I’ve never seen before. I have literally hundreds of snow balls in the yard. I’d say they vary from a small cantaloupe to a small watermelon in size. The upslope from the past few days is pure fluff. The snow falling now is much wetter. The wind pushed the snow into these perfectly round shapes. Almost like Mother Nature starting a snowman. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, katabatic said: This is something I’ve never seen before. I have literally hundreds of snow balls in the yard. I’d say they vary from a small cantaloupe to a small watermelon in size. The upslope from the past few days is pure fluff. The snow falling now is much wetter. The wind pushed the snow into these perfectly round shapes. Almost like Mother Nature starting a snowman. Rollers! I experienced this phenomenon in Delaware! I actually caught it happening. Some rollers went for 10-15' and got as big as a grapefruit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: We did some reanalysis of the GFSv16 (Current model iteration) and GFSv17 (Newer GFS that will replace the current version) and found the current GFS actually did a phenomenal job at SLP placement for majority of its runs and absolutely smoked the CMC and ECMWF overall. However, it did have a 48 hr window where the SLP depiction was about 50-75 miles too far west and that caused a lot of QPF negative feedback on the western periphery of the main field. It handled a lot of other areas correctly and outperformed the EC and CMC still on QPF as those models were way too light on QPF. Overall, it was a great job by the GFS, but as is always the case, the result is usually a blend of models and not just one individual deterministic. The NBM QPF was skewed by some overly zealous members, mainly some CAMs that will actually not be there for the next version of the NBM (NBM5.0). We are working with MDL (Model Diagnostics Lab) to generate these analyses to improve upon what we have and go forward. Overall forecast ended up being amazing for the high impacted areas and average at best for those on the edges. With a storm like this, every mile can make a big difference in appreciable impacts. Bringing this over from another spot so it has more visibility. Wanted to shed a little light on something interesting about this last storm. As for obs, currently 40/25° 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Bringing this over from another spot so it has more visibility. Wanted to shed a little light on something interesting about this last storm. As for obs, currently 40/25° Great summary. I agree the forecast was spot on and a 75 mile difference is minimal given the window. Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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