EasternLI Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 54" on the season after today. I agree with the 60+ number being the bar for an epic winter. That does seem to be the bar set from previous epic winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Maybe interesting, maybe not interesting, but I love visualizing data. And I'm dabbling in some GIS too. Been monitoring a section of beach that's seen erosion for years now, yet there's been no effort to restore anything. No more Christmas tree drop offs or even simple snow fence to catch any sand. I've even offered to bring my own posts and fencing. Anyway here's a 2 month elevation change. Note the scarping on the dune front, and the added elevation in front. The red blotches on the far right are noise from light reflecting off the water. In total (and excluding the outliers) 1400 cu. yds of sand lost in a 4 acre plot of beach 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Much more snow left on the ground out in Suffolk than by JFK, where grass was showing in spots. Just shoveled my car out. Pain in the butt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJSnowman Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 23 minutes ago, TJW014 said: Maybe interesting, maybe not interesting, but I love visualizing data. And I'm dabbling in some GIS too. Been monitoring a section of beach that's seen erosion for years now, yet there's been no effort to restore anything. No more Christmas tree drop offs or even simple snow fence to catch any sand. I've even offered to bring my own posts and fencing. Anyway here's a 2 month elevation change. Note the scarping on the dune front, and the added elevation in front. The red blotches on the far right are noise from light reflecting off the water. In total (and excluding the outliers) 1400 cu. yds of sand lost in a 4 acre plot of beach That’s pretty interesting. There may be some seasonality or other cyclical factors so you may only get a clear picture of the ongoing rate of erosion over a period of multiple years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 12 minutes ago, CentralNJSnowman said: That’s pretty interesting. There may be some seasonality or other cyclical factors so you may only get a clear picture of the ongoing rate of erosion over a period of multiple years Erosion from most of the shore is pretty cyclical. Some erosion during the cold months, then the beach rebuilds in the summer when the waters are calmer. Aside from the October Nor'easters and obviously our blizzard on Sunday/Monday (which I didn't notice any further erosion from, and come to another theory of mine) the waters have been relatively quiet What I have observed is a near constant stream of small, long period (12-14s) swell almost due south all winter. That longshore current combined with the the heavy offshore winds this season make me think a lot of this sand is going north and/or is being stored in the offshore sandbars. I really want to get some bathymetry data adjacent from this site specifically, since the sandbar at least from a standing perspective seems much farther offshore. I'm going to build a sonar rig to mount on either a paddle board or kayak using a Garmin unit that will data log bathymetry. Just a matter of me finding a day that's pretty flat and being willing to throw the wetsuit on and paddling I like building and using my own equipment, that way I'm not tied to anybody and it gets done the way I intended it. But yes, to answer you, I plan on monitoring this for a few years on a monthly basis. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Tomorrow and Friday will see highs in the upper 30s to near 40° in New York City. A system passing to the south of the region could bring a little snow to the region late tomorrow or tomorrow night. It will turn briefly milder on Saturday to start the weekend. The temperature could approach or reach 50°. Winter 2025-2026 will is on track to join Winters 1960-1961 and 1977-1978 as the only winters with two or more 10" snowstorms, a seasonal mean temperature of 32° or below and seasonal snowfall of 40.0" or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +5.33 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.296 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.3° (4.6° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.0° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.9°. If a 32.0° or below seasonal mean temperature occurs, that would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 8 hours ago, Dark Star said: A link to the complete blizzard graphically from Jeff Beradelli: https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1BSFjfS38x/ Thanks. What a great visualization of how the cold air gets dramatically pulled southward once the storm really gets going Sunday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 hours ago, nycwinter said: snowfall in colorado has trended downhill the last 10-15 years.. Play on words? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: @WestBabylonWeather 2017-2018 I believe half of that fell in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Tomorrow and Friday will see highs in the upper 30s to near 40° in New York City. A system passing to the south of the region could bring a little snow to the region late tomorrow or tomorrow night. It will turn briefly milder on Saturday to start the weekend. The temperature could approach or reach 50°. Winter 2025-2026 will is on track to join Winters 1960-1961 and 1977-1978 as the only winters with two or more 10" snowstorms, a seasonal mean temperature of 32° or below and seasonal snowfall of 40.0" or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +5.33 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.296 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.3° (4.6° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.0° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.9°. If a 32.0° or below seasonal mean temperature occurs, that would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below. Don, when was the last time we had a below normal January AND February during a dying La Nina? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 hours ago, TriPol said: Don, when was the last time we had a below normal January AND February during a dying La Nina? 1995-1996. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Was able to get a photo of the setting sun on the snowpack with the side lighting creating a texture that reminded me of looking down on the clouds during a flight from above. 18 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: 1995-1996. That year had a snowy March and early April. Of course that entire winter was snowier. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: That year had a snowy March and early April. Of course that entire winter was snowier. Never ending winter...by April everyone was up in arms after that last snowfall. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 you can almost see the snow depth decreasing in real time 3 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 48 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Never ending winter...by April everyone was up in arms after that last snowfall. 5 straight months (Dec - Apr) with 10"+ where I was living in Port Jeff, plus some snow in Nov. We may beat the season's snow total someday, but not sure we'll ever see 6 months with snow on LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 45 / 19 40s today / Friday, 50s on Saturday. Down the roller coaster starting Sunday and through next Friday before moderation to perhaps a stronger warm up similar to the Jan 6 - Jan 14. Tracking risks Mon - Wed or perhaps even Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boxingdayblizzard Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: you can almost see the snow depth decreasing in real time It’s amazing how quickly it’s going this time of year. I think that because it’s melting quicker and everyone forgets the high totals that fell people are thinking this past storm doesn’t compare to events like ‘96 or Boxing Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deathstar9 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, boxingdayblizzard said: It’s amazing how quickly it’s going this time of year. I think that because it’s melting quicker and everyone forgets the high totals that fell people are thinking this past storm doesn’t compare to events like ‘96 or Boxing Day Not melting that fast north of the city, looks pretty similar to where it was Tuesday outside the most sun exposed surfaces. Even still some ice/snow on road and drive way. Of course once temps get into the mid/upper 40’s next two days that will change. Past storms like Jan 2016/Feb 2006 melted out much faster. Biggest factor is temps not sun angle. Even for Boxing Day a pretty good chunk was taken out quickly as temps got into the upper 40’s+ a few days after the storm. Then the hammer really started dropping in the form of more storms and very cold temps in early Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, boxingdayblizzard said: It’s amazing how quickly it’s going this time of year. I think that because it’s melting quicker and everyone forgets the high totals that fell people are thinking this past storm doesn’t compare to events like ‘96 or Boxing Day also the snow fell at temps close to freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Tomorrow will be somewhat cooler with highs in the upper 30s to around 40°. It will turn briefly milder on Saturday to start the weekend. The temperature could approach or reach 50°. Colder air will return for Sunday through Tuesday. Winter 2025-2026 will is on track to join Winters 1960-1961 and 1977-1978 as the only winters with two or more 10" snowstorms, a seasonal mean temperature of 32° or below and seasonal snowfall of 40.0" or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around February 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.37°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have now developed. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +6.68 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.160 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.4° (4.5° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.9° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. February 2026 will likely be the coldest La Niña February since February 1934. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.9°. If a 32.0° or below seasonal mean temperature occurs, that would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 12 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: February 2026 will likely be the coldest La Niña February since February 1934. Wow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26 Author Share Posted February 26 Got out to western NJ and very little snow and almost none once into PA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Records: Highs: EWR: 68 (2002) NYC: 65 (1890) LGA: 62 (1876) JFK: 60 (1996) Lows: EWR: 8 (1990) NYC: 7 (1990) LGA: 9 (1990) JFK: 9 (1990) Historical: 1910 - Parts of Washington State were in the midst of a storm which produced 129 inches of snow at Laconia between the 24th and the 26th, a single storm record for the state. A series of storms, which began on the 23rd, led to a deadly avalanche on the first of March. By late on the 28th, the snow had changed to rain, setting the stage for disaster. (The Weather Channel) 1966: A big snowstorm buried parts of the East Coast with up to 32 inches across western Maine. 19 inches fell at Glen Falls, PA. Boston, MA received 11 inches and Hartford, CT received a foot. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1969: The "100 hour snowstorm" was in full swing across the Boston area and the rest of New England as well. By the time snow ended on the 28th, Boston recorded 26.3 inches of new snow. Pinkham Notch, NH was buried under and incredible 77 inches and Long Falls Dam, Maine checked in with 56 inches. Both Portsmouth, NH and Portland, ME set new single storm snowfall records with 33.8 inches and 26.9 inches, respectively. Rockport, MA measured an impressive 39 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1970: The minimum temperature for the date is 12 °F in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1972 - The Buffalo Creek disaster occurred in the Buffalo Creek Hollow of Logan County in West Virginia. A coal slag dam on the Middle Fork of Buffalo Creek burst sending a fifty foot wall of water down a narrow valley killing 125 persons and causing 51 million dollars damage. Three days of rain atop a six inches snow cover prompted the dam break. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A slow moving storm in the southwestern U.S. spread heavy snow from the southern and central Rockies into the Central High Plains Region. Totals in Colorado ranged up to 62 inches at Purgatory. Colorado Springs CO reported a February record of 14.8 inches of snow in 24 hours. Lander WY received four inches in one hour, 13 inches in seven hours, and a record storm total of 26 inches. High winds created near blizzard conditions at Colorado Springs. Fairplay CO reported 43 inches of snow, with drifts ten feet high. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Eight cities in the central and western U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date, including Lamoni IA with a reading of 67 degrees. Temperatures in North Dakota were as warm as those in Florida. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - An upper level weather disturbance brought snow to parts of the central U.S. which just one day earlier were enjoying temperatures in the 60s. Snowfall totals in Missouri ranged up to nine inches at Rolla. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Unseasonably cold weather followed in the wake of the winter storm in the northeastern U.S. Ten cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Syracuse NY with a reading of 10 degrees below zero. Freezing temperatures in southeastern Virginia caused considerable damage to plants and fruit trees. The barometric pressure reading of 30.88 inches at Wilmington NC was February record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2004 - A major snowstorm dumps up to 20 inches of snow in the Charlotte metropolitan area. Charlotte's third largest snowstorm on record accumulates 11.6 inches at the airport. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 @SACRUSwhat was today's split? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 It’s crazy how fast the snow is being obliterated vs a few weeks ago. Yesterday morning’s snow was basically gone by that afternoon + some of the blizzard snow that was underneath it. Today the “snowpack” looks about 50-60% of what it was on Monday, outside of the ginormous piles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: Lows: EWR: 8 (1990) NYC: 7 (1990) LGA: 9 (1990) JFK: 9 (1990) Very surprised at these record lows coming at the tail end of two absolutely torcherrific months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 48 today. Drip drip drip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 It has been a snowy winter in the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England areas. Already, Islip, JFK Airport, and Providence have clinched top 10 seasonal snowfall figures. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Today's split EWR: 48 /32 (+2) NYC: 49/ 38 (+7) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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