NEG NAO Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 26 minutes ago, [email protected] said: This winter, so far, has been a lot colder than 20-21. In fact, there's even a possibility that DJF could end up being the coldest on since 93-94. Maybe even, 76-77! If you want to rate a winter - maybe start with the number of days that the temperature stayed 32 degrees or below - and also 20 degrees and below - I would assume Don has those stats available - I guess you can add days that did not reach 40 also...... using NYC records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 A cold winter does nothing for me. Snow and snow pack does it. My backyard is a glacier and has been for weeks. I’d rather it be 30 everyday than 10. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
[email protected] Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: If you want to rate a winter - maybe start with the number of days that the temperature stayed 32 degrees or below - and also 20 degrees and below - I would assume Don has those stats available - I guess you can add days that did not reach 40 also...... using NYC records We are having a phenomenal winter in both of these departments! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
[email protected] Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, [email protected] said: We are having a phenomenal winter in both of these departments! So far I would give this winter an A for cold and a B for snow. If it goes to 0 or below in Central Park this grade goes up to A+! I would consider 1993-94 the only A or A+ cold winter in my lifetime! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 30 to 1 ratio! Light to occasionally moderate snow remains across the Twin Forks of Long Island as a vort max continues to rotate through the region as a negatively tilted upper trough moves slowly eastward. This upper trough along with a low level trough from offshore low pressure has combined to produce heavier snowfall earlier in the day. And with the cold airmass in place snow ratios have been running up to near 30 to 1, also contributing to the high snowfall totals. Between 18Z and 19Z radar reflectivities have been weakening. A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 500 PM. CAMS and HRRR have been showing light snow lingering into early this evening. With the strong gusty winds and in areas with the higher snow totals, blowing snow will be possible, quickly reducing visibilities. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 29 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: If you want to rate a winter - maybe start with the number of days that the temperature stayed 32 degrees or below - and also 20 degrees and below - I would assume Don has those stats available - I guess you can add days that did not reach 40 also...... using NYC records Here's how things stand: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 11.3with light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 23 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: 30 to 1 ratio! Light to occasionally moderate snow remains across the Twin Forks of Long Island as a vort max continues to rotate through the region as a negatively tilted upper trough moves slowly eastward. This upper trough along with a low level trough from offshore low pressure has combined to produce heavier snowfall earlier in the day. And with the cold airmass in place snow ratios have been running up to near 30 to 1, also contributing to the high snowfall totals. Between 18Z and 19Z radar reflectivities have been weakening. A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 500 PM. CAMS and HRRR have been showing light snow lingering into early this evening. With the strong gusty winds and in areas with the higher snow totals, blowing snow will be possible, quickly reducing visibilities. That webcam at the traffic circle in Montauk still looks like it did 8 hours ago. Unreal! And to look at the radar (barely green on the radar view Upton uses) you wouldn't think they were getting much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just now, coastalplainsnowman said: That webcam at the traffic circle in Montauk still looks like it did 8 hours ago. Unreal! And to look at the radar (barely green on the radar view Upton uses) you wouldn't think they were getting much at all. Report of 7.3” in Montauk. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 37 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said: I would say A for cold definitely. For snow, meh. 2014, 2015, 2018, 2021 all had more. If we don't snow anymore rest of season, we're still below average. I doubt that would be the case but for me it's all about snowfall. If it's not going to snow, I'll take deep cold so at least it feels like winter. But ideally, 2021 was a great season. No crazy cold, but consistently snowy. That's the perfect winter Yes, but the snow is sticking around. Obvously we would like MORE... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Definitely had more snow since the ~1" this morning. In fact it's still snowing now lol. No idea on the grand total for this, way too much wind blowing it everywhere. 11F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 hour ago, [email protected] said: This winter, so far, has been a lot colder than 20-21. In fact, there's even a possibility that DJF could end up being the coldest on since 93-94. Maybe even, 76-77! too cold...probably cost us that last storm. need it to be, as one met said, around 28-32. that's the bulk of our storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1” here in west babylon but looks like they are having fun Hamptons east. Totals out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 a brief partial dusting at around 4 am. nothing since. was gone by my 7 am walk. was outside without gloves collecting the trash cans which had blown away, fingers started stinging in 5 mins.....dangerous weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: too cold...probably cost us that last storm. need it to be, as one met said, around 28-32. that's the bulk of our storms. We lost the last storm because it was a disorganized strung out mess that dug too far south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 15 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Yes, but the snow is sticking around. Obvously we would like MORE... coming around to the idea this might be it...still not bad, but i keep reading negative stuff here. am looking at beginning the process of retiring some of the winter gear. big snow blower finally thawed out and is working again, but one wheel is shaky. needs service but if i do it this year it won't be back til march. will wait til next year, got the two stage one should anything happen. don't think i'll need the pack boots again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Too bad we had the early morning high otherwise could've registered a sub 15 max. Seriously staying at 12-13F with sunny skies all afternoon is impressive. Forecast low is 2F but maybe a 0 is in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 38 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Report of 7.3” in Montauk. That visibility there is 1/4 to 3/8 mile so this is moderate to heavy snow that has been falling there for most of the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Rain to snow to snow (can’t tell without precip maps) on AIGFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 What’s your snowpack up there this morning?Just measured 13.5” as of 5 pm. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 23 minutes ago, Tatamy said: That visibility there is 1/4 to 3/8 mile so this is moderate to heavy snow that has been falling there for most of the afternoon. And it’s still coming down over the forks. They might end up with 10”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 You know it's cold when every breath u take thru your nose makes any moisture, snots etc instantly freeze. Then melt with exhale. Then freeze again with next breath. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Bitterly cold air now covers the New York City region. As of 5 pm, the temperature in Central Park was just 10°. Tomorrow will likely be the coldest day this winter. The high temperature in New York City will be in the teens following a low in the middle to upper single digits. Monday will start very cold, but the afternoon will be less harsh as readings climb into the lower and middle 20s. The temperature will approach or reach freezing on Tuesday. The persistent and often severely cold pattern is poised to break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February, even as milder readings return. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was -2.16 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.431 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 90% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal February (1991-2020 normal). February will likely finish with a mean temperature near 31.0° (4.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 4.3° below the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Overall, Winter 2025-2026 is on track for a seasonal mean temperature of 31.7°. That would be the lowest winter mean temperature since Winter 2014-2015 when the mean temperature was also 31.7°. Winter 2025-2026 would only become the fourth winter of the 21st century with a mean temperature of 32.0° or below. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 22 hours ago, jm1220 said: It's a nowcast situation but it's the kind of system where pretty consistently you want to be in eastern New England/Boston area. If banding consolidates there it probably means lots of subsidence garbage here. HRRR was pretty good, at least for most of NJ, sadly. Just 0.2" of snow here vs. 1/2-1" forecast, which is still a pretty minor bust, since the 1" assumed 15-20:1 ratios meaning only about 0.05" QPF and to be off by only that much shouldn't come as a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 9 degrees here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Currently 1.5 here with winds still gusting 25-35 mph. Just too bad that s/w didn't rotate off the coast about 100 or so miles further south and start to go negative. That surface low would have delivered the goods to this entire sub forum. Another near miss of something really good! So close. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Had a gust to 50mph at ISP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 18z GFS is a parade of rain storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 The temperature in Central Park has fallen to 9°. That makes today the third day with a low below 10°. That's the most such days since Winter 2022-2023 when there were also three such days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Down to 7 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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