Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.

[SouthCoastMA]

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

DGEX jackpot up here every time.  Miss that model, lol.

The CRAS was another one

[NoCORH4L]

25 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

DGEX jackpot up here every time.  Miss that model, lol.

Why doesn't anyone use the NAVGEM anymore? It's good enough for the Navy!

[78Blizzard]

43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Fuck it just wait a week.  Tip doesn't get this one I want it

NIce timing for the 48 year anniversary.

[tomcatct]

25 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

The CRAS was another one

Ant used to pull all of these models out back  in the nyc metro days

[DavisStraight]

I think this baby's going to hit us, I have that 2015 feeling that storms will hit us, it wants to snow. I remember watching models in 2015 and a lot of the storms were too far east on the models and eventually by go time they came back for a hit. This one reminds me of 2015 model watching.

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

I think this baby's going to hit us, I have that 2015 feeling that storms will hit us, it wants to snow. I remember watching models in 2015 and a lot of the storms were too far east on the models and eventually by go time they came back for a hit. This one reminds me of 2015 model watching.

Tonight I think it’s full OTS on operationals but ensembles only get marginally worse. Tomorrow night, thinfs will start to tick back

[mahk_webstah]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

12z Euro scrapes the Cape/DE Maine.

That’s why I still have some optimism. It wants to come north, and it wouldn’t be so surprising to see a trend West and into the Gulf of Maine.

[mahk_webstah]

The WPC updated 3 to 7 day discussion and QPF and winter weather maps should keep some level of optimism in here particularly for eastern areas. What they are saying is that a strong storm is going to four and it’s going to come up the coast it’s just a matter of how close. Certainly it could say more out to see, but it is not at all uncommon for those things especially when they’re strong to just move a little closer and have expansive precipitation fields. A few inches to refresh would be very nice if it’s like if that’s all it is.

[Prismshine Productions]

Why doesn't anyone use the NAVGEM anymore? It's good enough for the Navy!

It is wide right too

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[Spanks45]

Just wants to snow....moderate snow currently, everything coated up again...18⁰

Maybe a good sign for this weekend...

[SouthCoastMA]

To keep it simple, the the takeaway for me is the 12z EPS/Euro were a slight improvement over 6z. If it trends in opposite direction again for 18z/0z - then I'll start to be concerned about a true whiff. I'm also on the Cape, so theres that. 

[Typhoon Tip]

This may be at least partial as an effective management tool for some ...

WPC Extended Forecast Discussion

The ongoing settling of cold surface high pressure and additional
surges in the wake of the historic winter storm will maintain
dangerously cold temperatures for the central and eastern U.S. well
into next week as per the Climate Prediction Center. The airmass
may be more prolonged in areas with widespread snow/ice coverage
and enhanced radiational cooling. Amplified mean troughing aloft
will meanwhile bring rounds of weak to moderate clipper system
snows from the north-central U.S. to the Great Lakes.

In this anomalously cold pattern, there is potential for wintry
precipitation into the Gulf Coast states late week as upper trough
translation leads into northern Gulf frontal wave genesis. Wave
progression downstream and trough/closed low development aloft is
now increasingly likely to set the environment to produce a
significant Eastern Seaboard Coastal Winter storm expected to
rapidly deepen while lifting over the western Atlantic off the
Southeast Saturday and Mid-Atlantic/New England Sunday. Uncertainty
has improved but remains with the exact track of the low which
impacts the onshore wintry precipitation focus and footprint.
However,
the growing consensus at this time is for heavy snow potential
from the eastern Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic through coastal southern
New England. The forecast strength of the deep low suggests high
winds/waves and coastal flooding would also be expected.

[Damage In Tolland]

[FXWX]

1 hour ago, NoCORH4L said:

Why doesn't anyone use the NAVGEM anymore? It's good enough for the Navy!

Even the Navy doesn't really use it!  Like most organizations, it's mainly Euro and Gufus...

[Damage In Tolland]

Getting some light snow 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Fisher mentions March of 2014... Cape storm with a lot of wind

Gross 

[SouthCoastMA]

4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gross 

That was a massive blue ball. IIRC it was a sub 960mb behemoth east of benchmark, which got the outer cape/ACK into warning criteria 

[FXWX]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Getting some light snow 

All coated up here with trucks back out.

[Ginx snewx]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gross 

Fisher lol

[MegaMike]

The 13z NBM has a 12-18" mean contour for SE MA (looks similar to the map DIT posted). 

According to dat' link (https://vlab.noaa.gov/documents/6609493/32850490/CONUS_SNOICEACCUM.pdf), snowfall values at 84hr+ are calculated from 30 GEFS members, 50 ECMWF members, and the GFS. 

Needless to say, some individual members still support this event.

12z GEFS fcst hr 138:

12z EPS fcst hr 138 (last available hour at the moment):

 

[EastonSN+]

ICON even worse. Basically no snow even for the SE.

[Ocean Effect]

4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

ICON even worse. Basically no snow even for the SE.

ICON-EPS had a lot more where we want them to be

[The 4 Seasons]

37 minutes ago, FXWX said:

Even the Navy doesn't really use it!  Like most organizations, it's mainly Euro and Gufus...

The last time it ran on TT was Nov 25th. I was hoping that model dropped dead, not sure if it's even still running. 

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, Ocean Effect said:

ICON-EPS had a lot more where we want them to be

Yeah, it improved greatly actually. Lot of spread and members to the NW. Can't believe im looking at the Icon EPS. 

[Damage In Tolland]

28 minutes ago, FXWX said:

All coated up here with trucks back out.

They didn’t plow today until early afternoon after yesterday/ last night snows.. so roads still mainly snow . Steady light snow with a dusting 

[EastonSN+]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Yeah, it improved greatly actually. Lot of spread and members to the NW. Can't believe im looking at the Icon EPS. 

Lol yeah when I saw the response I went to the MA forum to check and thats a good cluster off of the DelMarva.

[CoastalWx]

Igone

[HoarfrostHubb]

9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Yeah, it improved greatly actually. Lot of spread and members to the NW. Can't believe im looking at the Icon EPS. 

Too many models

[Wxbear25]

16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

The last time it ran on TT was Nov 25th. I was hoping that model dropped dead, not sure if it's even still running. 

Ok Franklin Delano Romanowski

[ineedsnow]

I give up