wxdude64 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 26 minutes ago, Weather Will said: FWIW, WB 12Z ICON takes both of the upcoming weekend waves to the south. So back to the early/mid December look. Model atmospheric memory at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I don't know what to say about the WB 12Z GFS except with the wild swings it is a work in progress; wait for the GEFS. Below is next Sunday 1pm compared to 6Z. You really can not use the operational GFS in a long range thread. Maybe it is experiencing a fall out in verification scores, but using it at long lead times without ensemble support and worse factoring the Op without other model input at long leads is futile. Best used as a low percentage input in a mix of other models such as the ECM ensembles, CMC, EPS, etc. and AI models. That is why even when it shows a snowstorm for many runs in a row it is still likely incorrect or vica versa as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, bncho said: 12z CMC thumpy thumpy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBweather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Ji said: You are posting a senseless picture in a long range thread I understand. Just bear with me. I was trying to upload a long range GIF but this is my first time and I just tried with a simple image first. Just cut me a little slack. Thanks! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, msachsmas9n said: Was going to upload a cool GIF long range, but as this is my first go at it, I was just trying with a pic first. Thanks for bearing with me. I figured it out. Dude. Post less, read more. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said: I understand. Just bear with me. I was trying to upload a long range GIF but this is my first time and I just tried with a simple image first. Just cut me a little slack. Thanks! Lots of professional on here, learn from them. Over time you will find out who they are. Read, Read, Read. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago WB 12Z GDPS 10am Sunday compared to 0Z also came way north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBweather Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: Dude. Post less, read more. Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT. I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said: Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT. I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on? It’s all good. Just ignore the people making a big deal out of a minor mistake. We all make mistakes. I read more than post, but I’ll also post images from time to time. I read from those who understand the models better than I do LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 20 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said: Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT. I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on? Don't worry about it. Welcome to the forum! Our best poster is Rev War Reenactor. He has lots of expertise and makes well north of 150K! 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Don't worry about it. Welcome to the forum! Our best poster is Rev War Reenactor. He has lots of expertise and makes well north of 150K! You are aging like a fine wine. Don’t let it go to your head. Might get a seat on that bus yet. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I swear I'm seeing January 6, 1996 ready to be replayed on, none other than, the 384hr panel of the Gfs. Lol 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 32 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said: Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT. I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on? This forum does a good job at welcoming new members. We're very open and inclusive lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago EURO AI looks real nice. It may end up being wrong buts it's certainly been consistent 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Chris78 said: EURO AI looks real nice. It may end up being wrong buts it's certainly been consistent It's a slop storm, but boy does it drop a lot of slop 6 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago If the EURO AI ends up being even close to correct, it truly is the new King. Think we discussed this before, but it never had last year's February failure. Let's see what its EPS says shortly. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago OP Euro tried very hard with the CAPE potential 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago OP Euro tried very hard with the CAPE potentialSo we are just gonna skip over the 14th storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. I kind of like where we stand lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Ji said: So we are just gonna skip over the 14th storm? I didn't want to make you angry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Ji said: I kind of like where we stand lol We’ve been in worse positions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. Goalposts baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, VBweather said: Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT. I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on? Welcome to the board!! Don't lose any sleep over others trying to put you down!. You will learn a lot by reading a lot but you also have the right to post and occasionally make a mistake. Nobody is always perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Ji said: I kind of like where we stand lol You know what I agree. Still like southern solutions even if we are spooked by them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. HECS for Atlanta. I think that would challenge their largest snowstorm ever, and maybe their single greatest season also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, bncho said: OP Euro tried very hard with the CAPE potential What's the panel before this look like? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 46 minutes ago, bncho said: It's a slop storm, but boy does it drop a lot of slop This would rule gimme all the late season slop available. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Goalposts baby! Depends which models are putting up the goal posts. Imagine if the cutter was depicted by the AI Euro instead of the gfs. Cliff jumping galore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, WVclimo said: HECS for Atlanta. I think that would challenge their largest snowstorm ever, and maybe their single greatest season also. It even looks like a Valentines heart fallen to it's side, like it fell in the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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