February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post

[wxdude64]

26 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

FWIW, WB 12Z ICON takes both of the upcoming weekend waves to the south.

 

So back to the early/mid December look. Model atmospheric memory at work. 

[frd]

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I don't know what to say about the WB 12Z GFS except with the wild swings it is a work in progress; wait for the GEFS.  Below is next Sunday 1pm compared to 6Z.

You really can not use the operational GFS in a long range thread. Maybe it is experiencing a fall out in verification scores, but using it at long lead times without ensemble support and worse factoring the Op without other model input at long leads is futile. Best used as a low percentage input in a mix of other models such as the ECM ensembles, CMC, EPS, etc.  and AI models. That is why even when it shows  a snowstorm for many runs in a row it is still likely incorrect or vica versa as well. 

[bncho]

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

12z CMC thumpy thumpy

[VBweather]

16 minutes ago, Ji said:

You are posting a senseless picture in a long range thread

I understand. Just bear with me. I was trying to upload a long range GIF but this is my first time and I just tried with a simple image first. Just cut me a little slack. Thanks!

[TowsonWeather]

Just now, msachsmas9n said:

Was going to upload a cool GIF long range, but as this is my first go at it, I was just trying with a pic first. Thanks for bearing with me. I figured it out.

Dude. Post less, read more. 

[Solution Man]

4 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said:

I understand. Just bear with me. I was trying to upload a long range GIF but this is my first time and I just tried with a simple image first. Just cut me a little slack. Thanks!

Lots of professional on here, learn from them. Over time you will find out who they are. Read, Read, Read.

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GDPS 10am Sunday compared to 0Z also came way north.

[VBweather]

2 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

Dude. Post less, read more. 

Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT.  I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on?

[Climate175]

7 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said:

Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT.  I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on?

It’s all good. Just ignore the people making a big deal out of a minor mistake. We all make mistakes. I read more than post, but I’ll also post images from time to time. I read from those who understand the models better than I do LOL. 

[bncho]

20 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said:

Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT.  I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on?

Don't worry about it. Welcome to the forum! Our best poster is Rev War Reenactor. He has lots of expertise and makes well north of 150K!

[Solution Man]

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

Don't worry about it. Welcome to the forum! Our best poster is Rev War Reenactor. He has lots of expertise and makes well north of 150K!

You are aging like a fine wine. Don’t let it go to your head. Might get a seat on that bus yet.

[mitchnick]

I swear I'm seeing January 6, 1996 ready to be replayed on, none other than, the 384hr panel of the Gfs. Lol

[IronTy]

32 minutes ago, msachsmas9n said:

Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT.  I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on?

This forum does a good job at welcoming new members.  We're very open and inclusive lol. 

[Chris78]

EURO AI looks real nice. 

It may end up being wrong buts it's certainly been consistent 

[bncho]

7 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

EURO AI looks real nice. 

It may end up being wrong buts it's certainly been consistent 

It's a slop storm, but boy does it drop a lot of slop

[Weather Will]

If the EURO AI ends up being even close to correct, it truly is the new King.  Think we discussed this before, but it never had last year's February failure.  Let's see what its EPS says shortly.

[bncho]

OP Euro tried very hard with the CAPE potential

[WxUSAF]

So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. 

[Ji]

OP Euro tried very hard with the CAPE potential

So we are just gonna skip over the 14th storm?

[Ji]

So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. 

I kind of like where we stand lol

[bncho]

Just now, Ji said:

So we are just gonna skip over the 14th storm?

I didn't want to make you angry

[WxUSAF]

Just now, Ji said:

I kind of like where we stand lol

We’ve been in worse positions 

[LeesburgWx]

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. 

Goalposts baby!

[stormy]

1 hour ago, VBweather said:

Dude. Spent the last two hours reading all the forums, searching for answers, Grok, ChatGPT.  I'm not an idiot. I think this forum is awesome. Gotta try and post a pic/gif sometime. I figured it out now, but just bear with a newbie. If I screwed up, I deleted the post instantly. Can we just move on?

Welcome to the board!!

Don't lose any sleep over others trying to put you down!.

You will learn a lot by reading a lot but you also have the right to post and occasionally make a mistake.  Nobody is always perfect.

 

[BristowWx]

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

I kind of like where we stand lol

You know what I agree.  Still like southern solutions even if we are spooked by them 

[WVclimo]

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

So GFS is a cutter, Euro AI is almost perfect, and Op Euro is a MECS for Atlanta. 

HECS for Atlanta.  I think that would challenge their largest snowstorm ever, and maybe their single greatest season also.

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, bncho said:

OP Euro tried very hard with the CAPE potential

What's the panel before this look like? Thanks 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

46 minutes ago, bncho said:

It's a slop storm, but boy does it drop a lot of slop

This would rule gimme all the late season slop available. 

[Terpeast]

5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Goalposts baby!

Depends which models are putting up the goal posts. Imagine if the cutter was depicted by the AI Euro instead of the gfs. Cliff jumping galore

[RedSky]

3 minutes ago, WVclimo said:

HECS for Atlanta.  I think that would challenge their largest snowstorm ever, and maybe their single greatest season also.

It even looks like a Valentines heart fallen to it's side, like it fell in the snow