stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 so guys 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS still with a weak 850 low like this morning. This shouldn't end up like the ICON or even the Euro. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS starts snow in DC at 7pm Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Northern stream is running out a good bit further ahead than 12z, which I assume is a good thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Gfs is further east with the northern stream. Hopefully it stays that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 It's better than 12z for us *precip wise...it APPEARS to be cold enough for snow through 93? Can't see using Atari 2600 over here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, stormtracker said: so guys We spent days not wanting the GFS solution, now it is our best hope 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: So what would your “we’re in the clear” point be when it comes to model runs not showing that? I’ll feel better about everything if we clear 0z tomorrow night without major changes. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, MN Transplant said: GFS still with a weak 850 low like this morning. This shouldn't end up like the ICON or even the Euro. Just doesn’t have that second NS lobe like the other models do. Gives me some hope that even if they meet in the middle we won’t see a super amped solution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I wanna say that the thermals as good as 12z, but the precip is north, making it a win win, but not sure yet.a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 One thing not like the other 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 There's gotta be some warm layer in there, because with these Blue's Clues ass graphics, it looks like all snow and I know that aint right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: We spent days not wanting the GFS solution, now it is our best hope Ok this is not me being a weenie, yes it sucks BUT as we get closer it does eventually have to find the right solution and now it looks like the AIFS which is the best model lol. And the icon sucks even more. Ok pep talk over 2 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I’ll feel better about everything if we clear 0z tomorrow night without major changes. Yeah, my gut was telling me to wait until tomorrow before boarding the hype train in earnest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GFS should talk some people off the ledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I wonder if the cmc and icon are underdoing the amount of dry air involved. Regardless, we’re in the euro and gfs’ world rn aka the important models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I want ask- Has the Baja vital factor formed and begun moving? What is estimated start time around DC Beltway and when will it be moderate to heavy? what is estimated ending time? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Night and day difference between GFS and Euro. The H5 map really shows all you need to see to why the GFS is an area wide all snow event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, stormtracker said: There's gotta be some warm layer in there, because with these Blue's Clues ass graphics, it looks like all snow and I know that aint right Wxbell is snow through 96 at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 WB 18Z GFS 7am, 10 am Sunday 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Wait...was I right? It's all snow? The next panel too shows....snow. Help me out yall, this isn't right 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: There's gotta be some warm layer in there, because with these Blue's Clues ass graphics, it looks like all snow and I know that aint right This run doesn't bring the warmth anywhere near us. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Sadly, the GFS is my model of choice for this event 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1, 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Gonna be a big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Night and day difference between GFS and Euro. The H5 map really shows all you need to see to why the GFS is an area wide all snow event. I mean it isn’t crazy to bet against a monster phase, right? Especially with how this winter has gone so far. But we shall see… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Wait...was I right? It's all snow? The next panel too shows....snow. Help you out yall, this isn't right 18z GFS kills the primary off and pops a coastal quicker. It's all snow. She's a beaut, Clark! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Sadly, the GFS is my model of choice for this event Yeah...it's the GFS on GFS shit like it was when it was the only model not showing anything. It's too far S and E, but damn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, stormtracker said: Wait...was I right? It's all snow? Seems better because that low stays off the NC coast a bit further. Can’t check too much because of work… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Is this the 1st run with the pac data ingested? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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